diff --git a/tests/orchestration/test_property_baseline_orchestrator.py b/tests/orchestration/test_property_baseline_orchestrator.py
index 76ee42ce1..a848ddd22 100644
--- a/tests/orchestration/test_property_baseline_orchestrator.py
+++ b/tests/orchestration/test_property_baseline_orchestrator.py
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 from __future__ import annotations
 
-from typing import TYPE_CHECKING
+from typing import Optional, TYPE_CHECKING
 
 import pytest
 
@@ -244,6 +244,80 @@ def test_run_raises_when_no_rhi_and_no_scored_result() -> None:
     assert uow.commits == 0
 
 
+class _PredictedRebaseliner(Rebaseliner):
+    """Scores a predicted picture into a fixed Effective Performance, ignoring the
+    (absent) lodged half — a predicted Property always has ``physical_state_changed``,
+    so the calculator output IS the Effective Performance (ADR-0039)."""
+
+    def __init__(self, effective: Performance, result: SapResult) -> None:
+        self._effective = effective
+        self._result = result
+
+    def rebaseline(
+        self,
+        property_id: int,
+        effective_epc: EpcPropertyData,
+        lodged: Optional[Performance],
+        *,
+        physical_state_changed: bool = False,
+    ) -> RebaselineResult:
+        return RebaselineResult(
+            effective=self._effective,
+            reason="physical_state_changed",
+            sap_result=self._result,
+        )
+
+
+def _predicted_property() -> Property:
+    """A predicted Property (ADR-0031): no lodged EPC, only a neighbour-synthesised
+    predicted EPC whose recorded performance fields are a *different dwelling's* —
+    the phantom Lodged Performance this fix must not propagate. Mirrors the #1361
+    exemplar (uprn 34003067 / property 742072), predicted-only."""
+    predicted = object.__new__(EpcPropertyData)
+    predicted.energy_rating_current = 14  # phantom: copied from a neighbour template
+    predicted.current_energy_efficiency_band = Epc.G
+    predicted.co2_emissions_current = 5.0
+    predicted.energy_consumption_current = 400
+    predicted.sap_version = 10.2
+    predicted.renewable_heat_incentive = None
+    return Property(
+        identity=PropertyIdentity(
+            portfolio_id=1, postcode="A0 0AA", address="1 Some Street", uprn=34003067
+        ),
+        epc=None,
+        predicted_epc=predicted,
+    )
+
+
+def test_run_persists_no_lodged_performance_for_a_predicted_property() -> None:
+    # Arrange — a predicted Property (no lodged cert); the rebaseliner scores its
+    # predicted picture into a known Effective Performance.
+    property_baseline_repo = FakePropertyBaselineRepo()
+    uow = FakeUnitOfWork(
+        property=FakePropertyRepo({742072: _predicted_property()}),
+        property_baseline=property_baseline_repo,
+    )
+    effective = Performance(
+        sap_score=57, epc_band=Epc.D, co2_emissions=1.5, primary_energy_intensity=160
+    )
+    orchestrator = PropertyBaselineOrchestrator(
+        unit_of_work=lambda: uow,
+        rebaseliner=_PredictedRebaseliner(
+            effective, _sap_result_with_heating(space_kwh=4200.0, water_kwh=1600.0)
+        ),
+        fuel_rates=FuelRatesStaticFileRepository(),
+    )
+
+    # Act
+    orchestrator.run([742072])
+
+    # Assert — no lodged comparator was manufactured from the neighbour-synthesised
+    # EPC's recorded fields; the Effective half is still persisted.
+    (baseline, _) = property_baseline_repo.saved[0]
+    assert baseline.lodged is None
+    assert baseline.effective == effective
+
+
 def test_run_derives_and_persists_a_bill_when_the_rebaseliner_scores() -> None:
     # Arrange — a rebaseliner that hands back a SapResult with lighting energy,
     # so the orchestrator prices it into a Bill at the committed snapshot.