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Cohort residual slice 8: 000477 xfail re-diagnosed — space-heating residual unmasked
Slices 6+7 landed Table 3c, closing 000477's Σ(61) combi loss to spec (HW kWh = 2119 vs PDF 2116, Δ<3 kWh). With the +575 kWh HW overshoot removed, the underlying §9/§10 useful-space-heating residual is now visible: useful_space_heating_kwh_per_yr = 9156 vs PDF 10111 = ~9.4% undershoot, pushing SAP 67 vs PDF 65 (Δ=+2; previous Δ=+1 was masked by the bogus Table 3a 600 kWh/yr combi-loss default). Updates the xfail reason to reflect reality. The residual sits in internal gains / mean internal temp / HLC / responsiveness — not Appendix J. Tracked as a separate cohort residual; slices 9-11 (000516/000480/000487 build_epc lodgement) proceed independently and will surface the same residual on those fixtures once their cert fields close. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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@ -74,15 +74,15 @@ _ELMHURST_000474_EXPECTED: Final[ElmhurstExpectedSap] = ElmhurstExpectedSap(
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@pytest.mark.xfail(
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reason=(
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"Table 3c two-profile combi-loss override not yet implemented. PCDB "
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"18118 (Vaillant ecoTEC sustain 24) lodges separate_dhw_tests=2 → "
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"spec routes to Table 3c, which uses both Profile M (F1, R1) and "
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"Profile L (F2, R2) loss factors. Our override gate (`_pcdb_table_"
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"3b_combi_loss_override`) only accepts separate_dhw_tests==1 (Table "
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"3b row 1, single-profile) → falls back to Table 3a keep-hot time-"
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"clock 600 kWh/yr default = 25x overshoot on combi loss → +712 HW "
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"kWh → continuous SAP +0.83 over PDF (66 vs 65). Re-enable when "
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"Table 3c lands per the next ticket (see project memory)."
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"Useful space-heating undershoot. Slice 6+7 landed Table 3c so "
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"Σ(61) (combi loss) closes — HW kWh = 2119 vs PDF 2116 (Δ<3). "
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"But useful_space_heating_kwh_per_yr = 9156 vs PDF 10111 = ~9.4% "
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"undershoot, dominating an unmasked +£cost gain that pushes SAP "
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"67 vs PDF 65 (Δ=+2, was Δ=+1 under the pre-Table-3c Table 3a "
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"default which masked the residual with a +575 kWh HW overshoot). "
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"The residual sits in the §9/§10 cascade (internal gains / mean "
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"internal temp / HLC / responsiveness), not Appendix J. Tracked "
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"separately under the cohort residual roadmap."
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),
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strict=True,
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)
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