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Author SHA1 Message Date
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
ac94a543b1 Set main_heating on the test_validation partial EPC builder 🟩
The heating-donor display synthesis reads donor.epc.main_heating, which has no
dataclass default — so a partial object.__new__ EpcPropertyData must set it.
test_validation's _comparable builder didn't, failing the two leave-one-out
scorer tests in CI (the full epc_prediction suite wasn't run pre-push).
main_heating_controls / sap_ventilation default to None via class attributes.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 12:35:01 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
e2915d8042 Prefer a MAIN-bearing prediction template so EPC-less dwellings predict 🟩
A predicted EPC is seeded by deep-copying one representative neighbour's
structure. _template chose the member whose floor area was closest to the
cohort median, ignoring building-part labels. When that member's only part
was lodged with a null identifier (mapped to OTHER), the prediction had no
MAIN part and the modelling_e2e handler rejected it as "not predictable" —
discarding an otherwise-rich same-type cohort.

Restrict the template to MAIN-bearing members (median still over the whole
cohort); fall back to closest-on-size only when none are MAIN-bearing, so an
all-unlabelled cohort is left for the handler's MAIN-part guard to reject
rather than silently relabelling real data.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-24 13:20:43 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
db3bf00602 fix(synthesis): Coherent Heating System — synthesisers own the whole boundary
A dwelling's heating is one conceptual system, but its fields are scattered
across EpcPropertyData (a gov-API schema mirror): the cluster on sap_heating, the
electricity tariff on sap_energy_source.meter_type, hot-water flags loose at top
level. Three places synthesise a heating system — Measure Options, Landlord
Overrides, EPC Prediction's donor — and each hand-copied a different ad-hoc
subset. The override and donor both dropped meter_type, so an electric-storage
system landed on the template's single-rate meter and billed overnight heat at
the peak rate: property 713406 scored SAP 13 (G) vs ~50 (E), inflating the HHRSH
measure to +45.8 and overshooting the plan to band A.

Establish a single Coherent Heating System boundary (CONTEXT.md) that every
synthesiser must cover, with a source-appropriate fill policy (ADR-0035):

- Override overlay *completes* the partial system the landlord named. Companion
  fields are now DERIVED from the SAP code, not hand-attached per archetype: the
  off-peak meter from the calculator's single off-peak classification (new
  OFF_PEAK_IMPLYING_HEATING_CODES = SAP §12 Rules 1-2), and an unobserved storage
  charge control defaults to the conservative manual control (Table 4e 2401). So
  adding a heating archetype is just adding its code — companions can't be
  forgotten. A contract test guards it (every off-peak code drags a Dual meter).
- Prediction's heating donor now *carries* the donor's meter_type alongside its
  sap_heating cluster — the donor is already coherent.

Coherence is a synthesis-time obligation only; the calculator still scores a real
lodged cert exactly as lodged.

Verified on 713406: baseline 13 -> 47.8 (E), matching its recorded rating; the
phantom HHRSH recommendation is gone and the plan no longer overshoots to A.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-24 10:46:11 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
7ca1f815f6 refactor(epc-prediction): PR review — rename ComparableProperty, relocate PredictionTarget
Two review points from @dancafc:

1) Rename the `Comparable` dataclass → `ComparableProperty` (it models one
   comparable *property*; the collection stays `ComparableProperties`). Applied
   across domain, repositories, orchestration, harness, scripts, and tests with a
   word-boundary rename so `ComparableProperties` is untouched.

2) Move `PredictionTarget` out of comparable_properties.py into prediction_target.py
   (where `PredictionTargetAttributes` + `build_prediction_target` already live).
   comparable_properties.py now imports it; no import cycle (prediction_target no
   longer depends on comparable_properties). Importers updated.

92 tests pass across the touched suites; pyright strict clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 13:34:44 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
027ee1fba3 refactor(epc-prediction): extract shared leave-one-out scorer + corpus loader (ADR-0030)
"One scorer, two harnesses" (ADR-0030): the committed gate, the local script,
and the future battle-test must run the *same* scoring. Extract it:

- domain/epc_prediction/validation.py — `iter_predictions` (the single
  leave-one-out orchestration: latest-per-address hold-out, SAP-10.2 target
  filter, all-vintage source) + `evaluate_component_accuracy` (calculator-free
  ComponentAccuracy aggregation, the primary signal). Unit-tested.
- harness/epc_prediction_corpus.py — `load_corpus(dir)` IO: corpus dir ->
  Comparable cohorts (maps payloads, carries address + registration_date).

validate_epc_prediction.py now just loads + calls the scorer for the component
section and iterates iter_predictions for the calculator-floored end-to-end.
Identical numbers (181 targets, SAP MAE 6.34) — behaviour-preserving.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-14 09:12:08 +00:00