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633 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Jun-te Kim
a6123d762c Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/Hestia-Homes/Model into feature/junte+khalim 2026-06-12 13:45:30 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
ff4a2e4242
Merge pull request #1198 from Hestia-Homes/feature/bill-derivation
Feature/bill derivation
2026-06-12 14:44:30 +01:00
Jun-te Kim
77c5f7da49 Merge branch 'feature/bill-derivation' of https://github.com/Hestia-Homes/Model into feature/junte+khalim 2026-06-12 12:52:40 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
0d1ec2228d feat(modelling): cost data for secondary-heating-removal (ADR-0028)
Flat per-dwelling decommission price (sample_catalogue \£250) + 0.25 contingency
(covers unknown heater count / hard-wired-vs-plugged / repaint extent). The JSON
repo joins the contingency from config, proven by the new repo test. No composite
Products machinery — a lodged secondary is one roughly-fixed job, not room-scaled.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-11 13:51:16 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
ae7959f57c feat(modelling): secondary-heating-removal generator + MeasureType (ADR-0028)
recommend_secondary_heating_removal offers one standalone Option that clears the
lodged secondary system. Eligibility is purely physical (offer iff
sap_heating.secondary_heating_type is set) — no effectiveness gate, since a
lodged secondary is a fixed emitter per RdSAP (portables are ignored), and the
electric-storage §A.2.2 no-op is the Optimiser's call (ADR-0028 decisions 1-2).
Priced at a flat per-dwelling decommission cost, not room-scaled.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-11 13:35:14 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
9b286e4a22 feat(modelling): SecondaryHeatingOverlay clears the lodged secondary (ADR-0028)
The first overlay surface that sets fields to *absent* rather than to a
target state: _fold_secondary_heating clears sap_heating.secondary_heating_type
+ secondary_fuel_type, so the calculator's Table 11 secondary-fraction split
(SAP 10.2 §9a) routes 100% of space heating to the main. On an electric-storage
main RdSAP §A.2.2 re-forces a default secondary, making removal a no-op there —
left to the Optimiser to de-select (ADR-0028 decisions 2-3).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-11 13:13:20 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
6ce6e89de1 feat(modelling): gate boiler upgrade on the existing boiler's efficiency
Don't offer a like-for-like gas boiler swap to a dwelling whose existing gas
boiler is already at least as efficient as the new condensing boiler (SAP 10.2
Table 4b codes 102/104 = 84% winter) — it gains nothing, and the dwelling gets
the tune-up (cylinder + controls) instead. `_already_condensing` compares the
existing code's Table 4b winter efficiency to 84%; a non-Table-4b code (solid
fuel) has no comparable efficiency and is never treated as already-condensing.

The gate is GAS-ONLY: a non-gas boiler → gas is a fuel switch whose value (cost
/ carbon) is not captured by winter efficiency, so oil/LPG/coal → gas is never
suppressed on efficiency grounds (only gated on the mains-gas connection).

This correctly demotes the gas-with-cylinder example (cert lodges code 114
"Regular, condensing", 84% winter) to a tune-up case — confirming that 114→102
is ~0 boiler-efficiency gain in both our calc and Elmhurst (both Table 4b 84%);
Elmhurst's uplift there came from the cylinder + flue, not the boiler. The
boiler-with-cylinder overlay stays validated by the lpg pin (code 115, non-
condensing + cylinder) and by recasting the 114 fixtures' code to a pre-1998
non-condensing boiler (110) in the boiler tests — the overlay overwrites the
code to 102 regardless, so only eligibility changes, not the delta-0 result.
New tests: an already-condensing gas boiler yields no boiler upgrade (but a
tune-up); an oil condensing boiler is not gated (the fuel switch survives).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-11 07:15:58 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
ae7e6a0c42 feat(modelling): composite per-dwelling boiler + tune-up costing (ADR-0027)
Replace the flat placeholder scalars (boiler £3000; tune-up £500/£900) with a
per-dwelling composite cost, mirroring the ASHP architecture (ADR-0025): a
`HeatingRates` table (data, `heating_rates.json`), typed `BoilerCostInputs` /
`TuneUpCostInputs`, pure `Products.boiler_bundle_cost` / `tune_up_cost`, and
modelling-layer interpreters that read the dwelling into those inputs.

The cost mirrors the Simulation Overlay component-for-component, sharing the
controls + cylinder pricing across both options:

- tune-up (standard) = standard controls + cylinder fixes
- tune-up (zone)     = zone controls + cylinder fixes
- boiler upgrade     = £3200 all-in + standard controls (only when the upgrade
  fired a controls change) + cylinder fixes

Standard controls are priced INCREMENTALLY — only the parts missing to reach
SAP 2106 (programmer £120 / room thermostat £150 / TRV £35×radiators), read
from a Table 4e Group-1 feature map so a dwelling that already has a room
thermostat + TRVs is only charged the programmer. Zone controls are a full
smart kit (hub £205 + smart TRV £50×radiators) — the smart TRV is itself the
room sensor, so there is no separate per-room sensor line. Cylinder fixes:
jacket £50 (when under-insulated) + thermostat £150 (when absent). The boiler
is a like-for-like wet swap (no radiators/flue/pipework — eligibility already
requires an existing wet boiler), so those dead-code extras are not modelled.

Figures are research-validated 2025/26 UK installed costs (legacy Costs.py
lineage); fully-loaded totals with one contingency on top (Model B, not the
legacy VAT/preliminaries engine). Contingency: boiler 0.26; tune-ups 0.10
(was a 0.15 placeholder). ADR-0027 records the design; CONTEXT.md's Heating
Eligibility entry updated to cover the partial boiler/tune-up family + composed
cost. Products cost pins (delta<=1e-9) + interpreter tests + generator
composite-cost assertions.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-10 19:41:06 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
8ad560dc48 Merge branch 'feature/bill-derivation' of https://github.com/Hestia-Homes/Model into feature/junte+khalim 2026-06-10 16:44:43 +00:00
Daniel Roth
8976f55636 add todo comment for named ranges 2026-06-10 13:32:11 +00:00
Daniel Roth
0edeeaefa6 populate_sheet writes to new Sero template column layout 🟩 2026-06-10 13:21:50 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
07f534ee11 feat(modelling): system tune-up options (standard + zone controls)
Add the system tune-up to the heating Recommendation: keep the existing wet
boiler but install better heating controls and fix the cylinder. Two competing
Options (the Optimiser picks <=1 across the whole heating rec) per the user's
two best control end-states:

- system_tune_up        — standard controls (programmer + room thermostat +
  TRVs, SAP 10.2 Table 4e code 2106)
- system_tune_up_zoned  — time-and-temperature zone control (code 2110, type 3):
  more SAP uplift for more cost

Both keep the boiler (no fuel / SAP code / flue change), set the control
ABSOLUTELY to their end-state, and apply the conditional cylinder fixes (an
80 mm jacket when under-insulated, a thermostat when absent — only when a
cylinder exists). Each control option is offered only when it genuinely improves
the existing control — standard is skipped when the control is already 2106 /
2110 / 2112, zone when already 2110 / 2112 — so neither is ever a downgrade or a
no-op.

Validated against the Elmhurst "system tune up" re-lodgements (cert 001431):
nine befores spanning controls 2101-2113 all converge to the two common afters,
proving the control overlay is absolute. The cascade pin is parametrised over
two starting controls (2101 "no control" + 2113 "room thermostat and TRVs") x
both afters, delta 0 (SAP/CO2/PE).

Wires the two MeasureTypes through contingencies (0.15), the offline catalogue
(500 / 900), the catalogue-coverage list, the report triggers, and the ARA
first-run seed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-10 10:20:46 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
2413bc87da feat(modelling): solid-fuel(coal)->gas boiler upgrade + boiler_flue_type end-state
Pin the coal-boiler-with-cylinder upgrade and add the `boiler_flue_type`
end-state field. A solid-fuel (coal) boiler (fuel 11, SAP code 153) on a
mains-gas street converts to a gas condensing boiler (fuel 11->26, code 102) —
the non-gas->gas path for a solid-fuel system, eligible because code 153 is in
the wet-boiler solid-fuel range 151-161 and mains gas is present.

New `boiler_flue_type` HeatingOverlay field, routed to main_heating_details[0]
and set to 2 (room-sealed/balanced) on both boiler shapes: every relodged after
lodges flue type 2, but coal's before lodged none. The field is SAP-inert (the
cascade score is unchanged by it), so it is written purely for end-state
fidelity — the overlay now represents the installed condensing boiler's flue.
Validated via the overlay-equality unit tests.

The coal after predates the user-locked "always add a cylinder thermostat when
absent" rule, so it stale-lodged thermostat 'N'; the pin corrects it to the
rule's end-state 'Y' in-test (the gas with-cylinder after got the same
correction by re-lodging). The cylinder is already 80 mm insulated, so the
jacket is skipped and only the thermostat is added; controls (2106) are
unchanged. Cascade-pinned delta 0 (SAP/CO2/PE).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-10 08:27:07 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
63dd69ff8b feat(modelling): gas combi boiler upgrade + controls-when-inadequate
Extend the gas-boiler-upgrade Option to combi (no-cylinder) dwellings and add
the controls upgrade shared by both boiler shapes. A dwelling has a cylinder or
it does not, so the one `gas_boiler_upgrade` Option is shaped per dwelling:

- no cylinder -> a gas condensing combi (Table 4b code 104), no cylinder fields
  touched;
- a cylinder  -> a regular boiler (code 102) heating it, with the conditional
  cylinder jacket/thermostat (slice 1).

Controls: bring an inadequate boiler control up to full programmer + room
thermostat + TRVs (SAP 10.2 Table 4e Group 1 code 2106). "Inadequate" = the
Group-1 codes with NO room thermostat (2101, 2102, 2107, 2108, 2109, 2111) —
these lack boiler interlock (Table 4c(2) / footnote c) p.171), so adding a room
thermostat genuinely improves SAP. Room-thermostatted (2103/2104/2105/2106/2113)
or better zone controls (2110/2112) are left unchanged — never downgraded, so
no phantom uplift. The with-cylinder cert (control 2106) is therefore untouched
and its pin still holds at delta 0.

Validated by the combi before/after re-lodgement (cert 001431, gas boiler
upgrade - no cylinder): control 2111 "TRVs and bypass" -> 2106, fan flue
False->True, SAP code 112 -> 104. Cascade-pinned delta 0 (SAP/CO2/PE). Removed
the slice-1 placeholder test asserting no boiler Option fires without a cylinder
(the combi Option now correctly fires there).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-09 16:28:00 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
31c74ab500 feat(modelling): gas-boiler-upgrade-with-cylinder option in the heating rec
Add the first boiler-upgrade option to the single "Heating & Hot Water"
Recommendation (ADR-0024 expansion): a dwelling whose existing wet boiler heats
a hot-water cylinder is offered a new gas condensing boiler, with the cylinder
jacketed when under-insulated and given a thermostat when absent. One competing
Option (the Optimiser picks <=1), folded into one composite Plan line.

The end-state is read from the Elmhurst before/after re-lodgements (cert 001431,
gas boiler upgrade - with cylinder), which REVISE ADR-0024:

- Target is always a gas condensing boiler, not fuel-preserving: every after
  lodges fuel 26. Gas->gas always; a non-gas wet boiler ->gas only with a
  mains-gas connection; electric boilers are left alone (electrification is the
  upgrade path). Eligibility = wet-boiler SAP code (Table 4a/4b 101-141 /
  151-161 / 191-196) + not an electric boiler + mains gas present.
- End-state is a Table 4b SAP code, not a PCDB index: code 102 (regular boiler
  + cylinder). The calculator derives the condensing seasonal efficiency from
  the code, so no efficiency input exists or is needed.
- A modern condensing boiler has a fanned flue: the after flips
  `fan_flue_present` False->True on every cert (SAP 10.2 Table 4f flue-fan +
  the Table 4b condensing-efficiency basis). Added as a new HeatingOverlay
  field, routed to main_heating_details[0].
- Cylinder thermostat is always added when absent (user-locked); the jacket is
  the 80 mm `cylinder_insulation_type=2` end-state, applied only when the
  cylinder is below 80 mm (never downgrading a better one). Both are conditional
  per-dwelling components, not a frozen overlay.

Cascade-pinned delta-0 (SAP/CO2/PE) against the relodged after via
`_assert_overlay_reproduces_after`. NB the absolute SAP on this dwelling is
subject to a separate Summary-path mapper roof-fidelity gap (we read the roof
better-insulated than Elmhurst, scoring ~75 vs the printed 56); the gap is
identical on before+after (the boiler measure never touches the roof) so it
cancels and the pin still proves the exact heating field-delta. Tracked on the
calculator branch.

Wires the new `gas_boiler_upgrade` MeasureType through contingencies (0.26),
the offline sample catalogue, the catalogue-coverage list, and the ARA
first-run integration seed (the option fires on any mains-gas boiler+cylinder
dwelling).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-09 16:16:46 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
3b7d26fe34 added test for a 1000 examples 2026-06-09 16:02:21 +00:00
Daniel Roth
236f33c25f move spreadsheet population logic to domain 2026-06-09 14:43:24 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
06cb4f7b6e Merge branch 'feature/bill-derivation' into feature/junte+khalim 2026-06-09 10:06:40 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
7942a8101a feat(modelling): considered_measures allowlist on the orchestrator
Add domain/modelling/considered_measures.py::restrict_to_considered_measures —
the pure allowlist that limits a run to a chosen set of MeasureType (mirroring
the legacy engine's `inclusions`). It filters at the Option level, so a
multi-option Recommendation (e.g. Heating & Hot Water competing HHRSH against
an ASHP bundle) is kept with only its allowed Options; a Recommendation left
with none is dropped. None = consider everything (unrestricted default).

Thread `considered_measures: frozenset[MeasureType] | None` through
ModellingOrchestrator.run -> _plan_for -> _scored_candidate_groups /
_candidate_recommendations (applies the filter) and _measure_dependencies
(suppresses a forced dependency whose required measure is outside the
allowlist, so a restricted run forces nothing it is not considering). The
local-run seam (harness.console.run_modelling) gains the same param.

The Optimiser still freely chooses among survivors — including none. Tests:
the pure filter (3 cases) + an orchestrator-seam test proving a
{solar_pv}-restricted run yields only solar_pv options. 257 pass + 3 xfail;
pyright clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 20:32:11 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
9ef97be958 refactor(modelling): type measure_type fields as MeasureType
Tighten the recommendation/plan vocabulary off generic str:
MeasureOption.measure_type and PlanMeasure.measure_type are now MeasureType
(also _GlazingTarget.measure_type, MeasureDependency.triggers ->
frozenset[MeasureType], and the optimiser's chosen/required-type locals).
Because MeasureType is a StrEnum the change is transparent to persistence
(the `recommendation` varchar column), the optimiser group-by key, and every
`== "solar_pv"`-style comparison — so pyright now enforces the enum at every
construction site with no runtime behaviour change.

The catalogue boundary stays str: ProductRepository.get(measure_type: str)
and Product.measure_type are unchanged (they map arbitrary DB/JSON rows), so
the fake product repos in tests need no edit. Test construction helpers coerce
their str arg via MeasureType(...); direct constructions use members.

Suite green: tests/domain/modelling + orchestration + harness 253 pass + 3
xfail; pyright clean on production + tests (pre-existing moto + property-
override-rowcount baselines untouched).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 20:13:31 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
d58ac60d29 feat(modelling): MeasureType StrEnum as the canonical measure vocabulary
Introduce domain/modelling/measure_type.py — a StrEnum with one member per
modelled measure (the 15 the generators emit). A StrEnum so each member *is*
its string value: it persists straight into the `recommendation` varchar
column, is the optimiser's group-by key, and compares equal to the catalogue /
EPC strings — so it replaces the per-generator string constants with no
persistence or optimiser change.

Repoint every generator's measure-type constant/literal to a MeasureType
member (wall, solid_wall, roof, floor, glazing, lighting, ventilation,
heating, solar). Field annotations stay `str` for now; tightening them to
MeasureType is the next slice.

This is the enum the historical engine deferred (engine.py:970
"TODO - formalise property measure types into an enum") and the vocabulary the
forthcoming `considered_measures` allowlist will speak (mirroring the legacy
`inclusions`).

Suite green: tests/domain/modelling + orchestration + harness 253 pass + 3
xfail; pyright clean on the enum + generators.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 19:54:04 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
b48700e964 Merge branch 'main' into feature/junte+khalim 2026-06-08 16:56:15 +00:00
Daniel Roth
aaeb339254 Logging plus invoke locally bypassing subtask handler 2026-06-08 13:32:59 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
24492aa4ba Merge origin/main into feature/bill-derivation (calculator + mapper fixes)
Pulls in 42 commits of calculator/mapper accuracy fixes from the per-cert
mapper-validation and floor/roof/heating fronts.

Conflict resolutions:
- mapper `_is_elmhurst_roof_window`: main dropped the branch's "wall location →
  vertical" guard (it broke cert 000516's rooflight), but that re-broke cert
  001431's two External-wall U>3.0 windows (which must stay vertical). The two
  certs lodge a BYTE-IDENTICAL §11 row, so neither location nor U separates
  them — the real discriminator is the room-in-roof context. Replaced the
  unconditional U>3.0 backstop with one gated on the BP having a room-in-roof
  (`_elmhurst_bp_has_room_in_roof`): 000516's Main BP has a "Room in roof type
  1" (→ rooflight), 001431's does not (→ vertical). Validated against BOTH —
  full Elmhurst worksheet suite 1038 pass + the 001431 window-extraction pin.
- property_postgres_repository: kept main's `ids_by_uprn` method + the branch's
  `_restrictions_of` helper.
- sap_fuel.py: the branch relocated it to domain/billing/ (already carrying
  main's to_table_32_code normalization), so kept the old path deleted.

Fallout from main's fabric fixes (validated by the boiler-3 real-cert pin which
still reproduces at delta 0):
- re-pinned the boiler-1 + boiler-instant-hw ASHP snapshot scores;
- main's §14.2 gas-boiler main-fuel derivation resolved the BGB/102 baseline
  gap, so `test_gas_boiler_instant_hw_before_baselines` is now a passing test
  (was an xfail tripwire).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 13:12:21 +00:00
Daniel Roth
bd4ad9022c Merge branch 'main' into feature/handle-new-magicplan-response-structure 2026-06-08 12:36:27 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
09cb8ceb9d feat(modelling): recommend_solar — eligibility + competing array Options
Slice 6 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). `recommend_solar`
emits one "Solar PV" Recommendation of up to five conservatively-sized configs
× {no battery, battery} = ≤10 competing Options (a free Optimiser candidate).
Each Option folds a SolarOverlay built from the chosen config: one
PhotovoltaicArray per non-north segment (peak_power = panels × panelCapacityW /
1000; orientation/pitch from geometry; generation-calibrated overshading),
is_dwelling_export_capable set True absolutely, a diverter when the dwelling
has a cylinder (None for a combi), a 5 kWh battery for the battery variant, and
the per-config composite cost from Products.solar_bundle_cost.

Eligibility = house/bungalow ∧ not listed/heritage (blocks_internal, the same
gate as ASHP — a conservation area does NOT block PV) ∧ no existing PV ∧ a
feasible SolarPotential. Flats and existing-PV top-up are deferred.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 12:14:24 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
46bca47365 feat(modelling): Products.solar_bundle_cost + committed solar rate sheet
Slice 7 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). Adds the
composite per-dwelling Solar PV cost on the Products collection (ADR-0025
pattern): pv_system(kWp band, nearest of the ECOPV06-13 EA bands 1.0→4.5 kWp,
floor/cap at the ends) + scaffolding(£900 first elevation + £450 each
additional, default 2) + enabling base (EICR £150 + DNO £50 + 2-way consumer
unit £330) + [diverter £980 if cylinder] + [battery if the with-battery
variant] → Cost(total, contingency_rate 0.15).

Rates are data in the committed solar_rates.json (Southern Housing "SOLAR PV &
BATTERY" EA column), loaded via SolarRates.from_json/.default and injectable.
The £2,000 / 5 kWh battery is NOT on the rate sheet — a flagged estimate
(battery_estimate=true), confirmed with the user to stand in until a DB rate.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 12:10:27 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
9dddfa00c8 feat(modelling): SolarOverlay + _fold_solar (sixth overlay surface)
Slice 5 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). Adds the flat
`SolarOverlay` and `_fold_solar`, the sixth Simulation Overlay surface: like
the ventilation/lighting overlays it targets no building part and folds its
fields onto `sap_energy_source` (home of the SAP Appendix M PV inputs) —
photovoltaic_arrays (absolute target, one PhotovoltaicArray per non-north
segment, replacing the dwelling's existing arrays), pv_diverter_present,
pv_connection, is_dwelling_export_capable (set True absolutely), pv_batteries.
Omitted fields leave the baseline unchanged (combi → no diverter); the
baseline is never mutated.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 10:10:15 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
c03f4ff123 feat(modelling): conservative PV config selection (5-config spread)
Slice 4 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026).
`select_conservative_configs` turns Google's full solarPanelConfigs ladder
into up to five competing array configs for the Optimiser: drop north-facing
planes (within 30° of due north, wrap-aware), cap usable panels at ~70% of
maxArrayPanelsCount (imagery misses obstructions; MCS edge setback), collapse
rungs that trim to the same usable size keeping the higher-generation layout,
then sample five spanning min→max by expected generation. Returns () when
nothing usable remains.

Real London example → 5 rungs at 4/12/19/26/34 panels (all ≤34.3 = 70% of
49); synthetic cases pin the north-drop and the 70% cap.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 10:02:15 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
82c3422788 feat(modelling): generation-calibrated PV overshading derivation
Slice 3 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). Per roof segment,
back-solve the effective overshading factor ZPV from Google's expected
generation against SAP's own unshaded annual output:

    ZPV = (yearlyEnergyDcKwh × 0.955) / (0.8 × kWp × S)

reusing the calculator's Appendix U3.3 annual solar radiation S via a new
public seam `pv_annual_solar_radiation_kwh_per_m2`. Dividing Google's
generation by SAP's S cancels orientation/tilt and isolates shading; the
result snaps to the RdSAP bucket {1:1.0, 2:0.8, 3:0.5, 4:0.35} via the
ADR-0026 midpoint cutpoints (≥0.90→1, 0.65–0.90→2, 0.425–0.65→3, <0.425→4;
ZPV>1→1). The real London example's planes all back-solve to ZPV>1 → code 1.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 09:59:48 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f31d5bcff9 feat(modelling): typed SolarPotential projection over Google buildingInsights
Slice 2 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). Adds the
strictly-typed `SolarPotential` domain projection over the raw Google Solar
`buildingInsights` JSON that Ingestion persists (SolarRepository): the
`solarPanelConfigs` ladder, each rung broken into its roof segments with
Google's continuous azimuth/tilt mapped to the SAP octant
(`azimuth_to_sap_octant`, 0°=N clockwise → 1=N..8=NW, matching the
calculator's ORIENTATION_BY_SAP10_CODE) and RdSAP §11.1 pitch code
(`pitch_to_sap_code`, snap to {0→1,30→2,45→3,60→4,90→5}).

Pinned against the real London buildingInsights example (mirrored into
fixtures from the user-provided RTF): 400 W panels, maxArrayPanelsCount 49,
46-rung ladder, per-segment SE/NW/NE/SW octants at ~32° → pitch code 2.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 09:55:55 +00:00
Daniel Roth
7a1aaf4965 Window carries no opening_type — ventilation table is the sole persistence point 🟩 2026-06-08 09:45:15 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
8741fbdfac fix(floor): floor_heat_loss=3 → above partially heated space, U=0.7 (RdSAP §3.12)
The API `floor_heat_loss` code is authoritative — confirmed by joining each
single-BP cert's code to its independent `floors[].description` (which the
gov register publishes alongside the code):

  code 1 ↔ "To external air"        (exposed,        9/9)
  code 2 ↔ "To unheated space"      (semi-exposed,   6/6)
  code 3 ↔ "(other premises below)" (partially htd,  9/9)
  code 6 ↔ "(another dwelling below)" (party,      176/176)
  code 7 ↔ "Solid"/"Suspended …"    (ground,     all)

Code 3 was mis-mapped to "To unheated space" (semi-exposed) and, on
mid-/top-floor flats, had its floor area zeroed entirely by the
dwelling-level exposure heuristic. RdSAP 10 §3.12 (PDF p.25) classes a
flat's floor over non-domestic "other premises … heated, but at different
times" as "above a partially heated space" → the §5.14 (PDF p.47) constant
U=0.7 W/m²K — distinct from semi-exposed (Table 20) and party (no loss).

Fix: the mapper sets `is_above_partially_heated_space` on the floor=0
dimension for code 3 (string → "(other premises below)" for fidelity), and
the heat-transmission step lets that per-BP lodgement override the flat
suppression upward (mirroring the existing exposed / "another dwelling
below" overrides). The cascade already routes is_above_partial → U=0.7.

Re-pins golden cert 7536-3827: its Ext2 (bp3) lodges code 3, but the cert's
lossy `floors[]` summary dropped that description, so a prior agent guessed
"code 3 = ground" (U=1.12) and concluded the residual was an irreducible
"register-rounding" artifact. It was this bug: Ext2 floor U 1.12 → 0.70,
PE -6.1952 → -5.6414, CO2 -0.1639 → -0.1492 (both toward 0), SAP unchanged.

Eval: 909 computed, 45.1% → 45.3% within 0.5, mean|err| 1.702 → 1.659,
<1.0 59.5% → 60.2%. 13 code-3 certs improve (0380 +3.71 → -0.63, 0350
+7.82 → +0.83, 2610 +7.47 → -1.29); the few that overshoot were already
failing and carry independent fabric bugs (9763's walls = 8 W/K for 60 m²).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 22:25:04 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
b40e0f67b8 fix(floor): exposed floor on a flat carries heat loss (RdSAP §3.12)
A mid-/top-floor flat whose lowest floor is lodged as an exposed floor
(API floor_heat_loss=1) had its floor area zeroed by the dwelling-level
exposure heuristic, which keys only on the flat label and defaults
has_exposed_floor=False (assuming the floor sits over another *heated*
dwelling). RdSAP 10 §3.12 (PDF p.25) is explicit:

  "Otherwise the floor area of the flat ... is:
     - an exposed floor if there is an open space below"

i.e. a flat cantilevered over a passageway IS a heat-loss floor on
Table 20. The per-BP `is_exposed_floor` lodgement is authoritative and
now overrides the dwelling-level suppression upward, mirroring the
existing "another dwelling below" party override (which suppresses
downward). The code-1↔"E To external air" enum is confirmed by the
paired API+Summary worksheet certs (0350, 3800).

Eval: 45.1% → 45.3% within 0.5 (909 computed); cert 3836 +6.79 → +0.77,
5717 +1.31 → -0.07 and 0997 +0.76 → +0.05 cross into <0.5. Two
already-failing under-rated certs (7636, 2241) shift further — both are
dominated by independent cost-side over-counts the exposed floor merely
unmasks (7636 walls = 8.98 W/K for 33.87 m² is the real defect).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 21:47:52 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
a8e5563ace fix(warm-air): Table 11 secondary fraction for category 9 → 0.10
main_heating_category=9 (warm-air systems, NOT heat pump) had no entry
in _SECONDARY_HEATING_FRACTION_BY_CATEGORY, so a warm-air main with a
lodged secondary raised UnmappedSapCode in
_secondary_heating_fraction_for_category — the last calc_raise in the
API sample (cert 0380-2197-2590-2996-2715: warm air mains gas code 506 +
electric room-heater secondary).

SAP 10.2 Table 11 (p.188): a gas/oil warm-air unit falls under "All gas,
liquid and solid fuel systems" (0.10), and electric warm air under
"Other electric systems" (also 0.10) — so 0.10 regardless of fuel. The
warm-air efficiency (Table 4a code→eff: 506→0.70) and Table 4f fan
energy were already wired; this was the only missing dispatch entry.

0380 now computes: SAP 78.1 vs lodged 77 (+1.1; the residual is per-cert
fabric/PV, not the warm-air dispatch — a faithful 0380 worksheet isn't
available, sim case 28 diverges at SAP 57 / code 502 / condensing unit).
Eval: zero raises remain, computed 908→909; mean|err| 1.703→1.702.
Regression green (2448 pass incl. golden 6035 + cohort); pyright
net-zero (44=44).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 20:26:32 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f40485887d fix(u-value): RdSAP10 ignores gov-API wall insulation conductivity → §5.8 default λ
The gov EPC API field wall_insulation_thermal_conductivity is OUTPUT
metadata in the openly-published EPC, not an input to the RdSAP10 tool
(Elmhurst) that produced it — its wall entry is Type + Insulation +
thickness only, with no conductivity field. So the RdSAP10 reduced-data
method always uses the SAP 10.2 §5.8 (p.41) default λ=0.04 W/m·K,
whatever code the register lodged.

`_resolve_wall_insulation_lambda_w_per_mk` previously mapped only code 1
(→0.04) and RAISED on others, blocking cert 2090-6909-8060-5201-6401
(code 3 on an internally-insulated 360mm solid-brick wall) with
calc_raise:ValueError. Now it returns the §5.8 default for any code.

Validated: 2090 computes to SAP 73.97 vs lodged 74 (err -0.03); λ of
0.04 / 0.03 / 0.025 all round to 74, and Elmhurst exposes no conductivity
input, so 0.04 is the spec-faithful RdSAP10 value. Eval computed
905→906; mean|err| 1.708→1.706. Regression green (only the 2 pre-existing
stone-wall U failures); pyright net-zero (69=69).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 18:39:01 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
dd92ba5972 refactor(modelling): load ASHP rates from a committed costs file
Slice 10 of ADR-0025 costing. The Southern Housing rate table moves from code
constants into ashp_rates.json (structured rows the flat scalar catalogue can't
hold), loaded via AshpRates.from_json. Products takes an injected AshpRates
(default: the committed sheet), so rates are now data -- tunable (e.g.
reuse_distribution_fraction) without a code change, and ready for ETL/DB-supplied
rates later. Behaviour-preserving: the 6 pinned cost tests still hold against the
default, plus a new test proving injected rates drive the total.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 23:19:53 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
449d8c5b95 fix(hw): direct-acting electric boiler (191) → zero primary circuit loss
SAP 10.2 Table 3 (PDF p.160) names "Direct-acting electric boiler"
verbatim in the primary-loss zero list (alongside electric immersion,
combi, CPSU, integral-vessel heat pump). RdSAP 10 §12 (p.62) classifies
SAP code 191 as the direct-acting electric boiler. Its cylinder is
immersion-heated with no primary pipework, so no primary circuit loss
applies — but `_primary_loss_applies` had no 191 branch, so a 191 main
(main_heating_category 2, "Boiler and radiators, electric") fell through
to the cat-{1,2} boiler branch and accrued ~1177 kWh/yr of phantom
primary loss on the electric-flat segment.

Validated against the cert-2474 worksheet: §4 (59) primary loss = 0,
(64) HW output 1760 (cylinder) + (64a) shower 581. Cert 2474 HW kWh
3585 → 2408; SAP 64.66 → 70.35 (the residual to the lodged 78 is an
Unknown-meter data-fidelity artifact — the register recorded meter_type=3
"Unknown" but the lodged rating used an 18-hour off-peak meter, per RdSAP
§12 / the example worksheets).

Eval mean|err| 1.720 → 1.708 (headline 45.0%, flat ±1 cert — the
electric-flat segment is dominated by the meter data-fidelity artifact).
Regression green (2448 pass incl. golden 6035 + ASHP cohort 1e-4);
pyright net-zero.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 21:31:27 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f06a048a6f feat(modelling): ASHP option carries the composite per-dwelling cost
Slice 9 of ADR-0025 costing. _ashp_option now prices via Products.ashp_bundle_
cost(ashp_cost_inputs(epc)) instead of the flat catalogue scalar; the catalogue
row is still read for its material_id. Pinned on boiler-3: gas reuse dwelling
composes to 15600.60 (decommission 720 + pump 9720 + cylinder 2382.60 + reuse
distribution 2778) with 25% contingency.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 21:17:06 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
6f136a8d6a feat(modelling): classify ASHP existing system by fuel code
Slice 8 of ADR-0025 costing. _existing_system keys on the heating fuel code,
not the mains_gas flag -- the 001431 electric fixtures all lodge mains_gas=True
(gas available at the property) while heating electrically (fuel 30), which the
flag-based check misread as gas (and would have wrongly reused a non-existent
wet system). Electric/gas/oil/LPG map to their categories; empty details ->
NONE; unrecognised -> OTHER (gas-line fallback).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 21:10:45 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f182f36802 feat(modelling): ashp_cost_inputs reads a dwelling into AshpCostInputs
Slice 7 of ADR-0025 costing: the modelling-layer interpretation half of the
split. ashp_cost_inputs derives existing system (mains_gas/fuel/SAP-code),
size band (floor area <= 75 m2), design heat loss (floor_area x 0.05 -- the
chosen proxy over HLC, ADR updated), radiator count (habitable + 3, floor-area
fallback) and reusable-wet-system flag. Catalogue math (Products) stays
EPC-free. ADR-0025 updated to record the floor-area pump-sizing choice.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:59:27 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
9860f06864 feat(modelling): ASHP decommission fallbacks for off-sheet systems
Slice 4 of ADR-0025 costing. ASHP is offered to any house regardless of fuel,
so _decommission now prices a fallback instead of raising: no system -> 0,
electric room/panel heaters -> electric-storage line, anything else -> gas
line (representative default). Never blocks ASHP eligibility.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:42:14 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
22612a19eb feat(modelling): ASHP reuse case prices flush + half distribution
Slice 3 of ADR-0025 costing. When the dwelling has a reusable wet system,
_distribution charges a power-flush (168) plus _REUSE_DISTRIBUTION_FRACTION
(0.5) of the full radiator band -- a documented stand-in for partial radiator
upsizing at ASHP flow temps, the headline uncertainty in the model. Without a
wet system the full new distribution is priced.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:41:06 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
cf7c2e017d feat(modelling): ASHP decommission cost by existing system
Slice 2 of ADR-0025 costing. _decommission maps the existing system to its
Southern Housing line: gas/oil flat 720, LPG 960 (tank+fuel removal),
electric-storage 570/840 by property-size band. Unmapped systems raise for
now -- the no-system/electric-other/other fallbacks land in the next slice.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:36:12 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
d23b84209d feat(modelling): Products.ashp_bundle_cost composite ASHP cost (tracer)
First slice of the per-dwelling ASHP bundle costing (ADR-0025). Products is
the rich catalogue collection over Product, owning the catalogue math: given
a typed AshpCostInputs it sums the applicable Southern Housing rate lines
(decommission + heat-pump band + fixed cylinder + full wet distribution) into
a Cost with the separate 25% ASHP contingency. Pure -- no EpcPropertyData or
calculator. Pinned exact (1e-9) against the real rate sheet. Reuse branch,
decommission variants, fallbacks, band edges and radiator clamp follow.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:32:54 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
2bc73fb08d fix(cost): HP-DHW from PCDB heat pump bills Table 12a ASHP_APP_N WH split
When DHW is heated by the main heat pump (WHC 901/902/914 = "from main
system") and the main carries a PCDB Table 362 record,
`_hot_water_fuel_cost_gbp_per_kwh` billed the electric HW at 100% off-peak
low rate (its long-standing TODO). SAP 10.2 Table 12a Grid 1 WH column
(PDF p.191) puts HP-DHW on the ASHP/GSHP-from-database row: 0.70
high-rate fraction at 7-hour and 10-hour → 0.70×14.68 + 0.30×7.50 =
12.526 p/kWh (10-hour), not 7.50 p. The low-rate collapse over-credited
the cat-4 HP-DHW cluster.

Fix: pass the cert WHC into the helper and, for HP-DHW (WHC ∈ {901,902,
914} + PCDB-HP main), bill at the ASHP_APP_N WH blended rate. Electric
IMMERSION (WHC 903) is a different Table 12a row (off-peak immersion 0.17
/ Table 13) and stays on the 100%-low-rate fallback until that slice
lands.

cat-4 cluster (20 certs): mean|err| 2.43→2.11, mean signed +0.06→-0.52
(now per-cert scatter, no systematic bias); cert 9472 +6.4→+3.2, 2789
+6.8→+4.0, 4135 +2.7→within 0.5. Headline mean|err| 1.727→1.720.
Regression green (2447 pass incl. golden 6035 + ASHP cohort at 1e-4);
pyright net-zero.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 19:54:01 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
e41a0bc0d7 fix(cost): PCDB heat pump without SAP code bills Table 12a ASHP_APP_N split
A heat pump that resolves via its PCDB Table 362 index alone (API path,
data_source=1, no Table-4a SAP code) had sap_main_heating_code=None, so
`_table_12a_system_for_main` fell through the 211-227/521-524 code-range
gate to None → the "100% off-peak low-rate" fallback. On a Dual meter
(RdSAP §12 Rule 3 routes heat pumps to the 10-hour tariff) this billed
space heating at 7.50 p/kWh instead of the SAP 10.2 Table 12a Grid 1
(PDF p.191) ASHP/GSHP-from-database row: 0.80 high-rate fraction →
0.80×14.68 + 0.20×7.50 = 13.244 p/kWh. The collapse over-credited the
whole cat-4 heat-pump cluster.

Fix: route any main with a PCDB heat-pump record to ASHP_APP_N regardless
of SAP code (a Table 362 record IS an Appendix-N heat pump by
definition). ASHP_APP_N and GSHP_APP_N share the 0.80 SH fraction at
7h/10h, so ASHP_APP_N is the canonical Appendix-N row for the SH split.

cat-4 cluster (20 certs): within-0.5 45%→50%, mean signed +1.43→+0.06,
mean|err| 3.81→2.43; cert 9472 +15.0→+6.4, 2789 +13.4→+6.8. Headline
45.0%→45.1%, mean|err| 1.757→1.727. Regression green (only the
pre-existing test_total_floor_area fails); pyright net-zero.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 19:48:37 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
4d1a58b828 fix(tariff): Unknown meter + storage/CPSU main → off-peak (§12)
Electric storage heaters (and CPSU) charge overnight and cannot run
economically on a single rate, so their presence is physical evidence the
dwelling is on an off-peak tariff. RdSAP 10 §12 (PDF p.62) applied Rules
1-4 only for a Dual meter; an "Unknown" (code 3) meter returned STANDARD
without consulting the heating type, so a cat-7 storage main billed its
overnight charge at the standard 13.19 p/kWh instead of the 7-hour low
rate (5.50 p/kWh) — ~2.4x too high → large under-rate.

Two coupled fixes:
- `rdsap_tariff_for_cert`: for an Unknown meter, infer the off-peak tariff
  from a Rule-1 CPSU (→10-hour) or Rule-2 storage (→7-hour) main; keep
  STANDARD otherwise. Direct-acting/room heaters/heat pumps (Rule 3) are
  NOT off-peak evidence (run on demand, exist on single-rate meters) so
  they stay STANDARD — billing them 100% at the low rate over-credits.
- `_fuel_cost` now resolves its tariff via the §12-aware `_rdsap_tariff`
  (not the raw `tariff_from_meter_type`), so the off-peak branch fires for
  these storage certs and the legacy scalar fields bill the low rate.

Mirrors `_is_off_peak_meter`'s existing Unknown+electric heuristic (which
already routes HW/secondary off-peak), closing the main-space-heating gap.
Meter-3 electric cluster: mean |err| 11.18 → 6.52, within-1.0 3 → 5 (cert
7336 -26.1 → -0.16, 0380 -19.9 → +1.0). Eval headline 44.9% → 45.0%, mean
|err| 1.82 → 1.76, mean signed -0.08 → +0.02. A few storage certs overshoot
(other residuals the standard rate was masking).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 19:02:34 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
678aa7affd fix(cascade): main-roof U ignores Room-in-Roof "no insulation" leak
The main pitched/flat roof U-value was derived from the JOINED text of
every roofs[] entry. A room-in-roof carries its own §3.9/§3.10 shell
area + U-value cascade (Table 17 / Table 18 col 4), so a multi-roof cert
lodged "Pitched, insulated (assumed) | Roof room(s), no insulation
(assumed)" leaked the RR's "no insulation" marker into the main roof's
u_roof → U=2.30 applied to the WHOLE main roof, ~3x over-stating its heat
loss. This is the 4700-family regular-roof-U leak.

`_joined_main_roof_descriptions` drops "Roof room(s)" entries before the
main-roof u_roof, falling back to the unfiltered join only for pure-RR
dwellings (every entry an RR) to preserve their prior behaviour. The RR
shell U is unaffected (computed separately) — golden 6035 stays green.

RR-leak cluster (18 certs, RR "no insulation" + a non-RR primary roof):
mean |err| 6.14 → 4.85, within-1.0 0 → 8, within-0.5 0 → 3. Eval headline
44.8% → 44.9%, mean |err| 1.851 → 1.824, mean signed -0.152 → -0.081. Two
certs overshoot (other residuals the leak was masking); the spec rule is
applied uniformly.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 18:27:41 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
a64e857b94 fix(u-value): "Unknown" roof insulation → Table 18 default, not 2.30
A roof lodged "Unknown loft insulation" carries roof_insulation_thickness
"NI" (Not Indicated → parsed to 0) or "ND" (None): the thickness is
UNDETERMINED, not zero. RdSAP 10 §5.11.4 (p.44) is deterministic here —
"U-values in Table 18 are used when thickness of insulation cannot be
determined" — so the roof takes the Table 18 age-band default (column (1)
pitched / column (3) flat), NOT the uninsulated 2.30 the Table 16 row-0
lookup returns for a parsed-0 thickness. The "Unknown" text is RdSAP's
rendering of the undetermined-thickness observation, distinct from a
genuine "no insulation" lodgement (which keeps 2.30).

u_roof gains an "unknown"-description branch ahead of the parsed-0 → 2.30
path, gated on undetermined thickness (None or 0). Top-floor flats with
"Pitched/Flat, Unknown ... insulation" were the worst electric-flat
under-raters: roof U=2.30 gave HLP ~3.7 on dwellings rated SAP 69-70.

Cluster (14 certs, roof desc contains "unknown", no "no insulation"):
mean |err| 7.79 → 1.82, within-0.5 1→4, within-1.0 1→6. Cert 9836
roof_w_per_k 58.2→10.1, SAP -27.8 → -3.5. Eval headline 44.4% → 44.8%,
mean |err| 1.944 → 1.851. Two certs overshoot (other residuals the wrong
roof-U was masking); the spec value is applied uniformly regardless.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 18:20:18 +00:00