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69 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
fb3516ee95 Floor insulation is withheld when it cannot lower the derived floor U 🟩
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-03 16:06:45 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
23ebd5e637
Merge pull request #1446 from Hestia-Homes/fix/ashp-size-to-dwelling-heat-loss
Size the ASHP to the dwelling's design heat loss (fix undersized fixed pump scoring below baseline)
2026-07-03 13:32:30 +01:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
7a039d30bc Cavity fill is withheld when it cannot lower the derived wall U 🟩
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-03 11:41:33 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
7c8b161653 Solid-wall insulation is withheld when it cannot lower the derived wall U 🟩
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-03 11:40:41 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
bf240e3315 ASHP sizing targets the Appendix-N efficiency peak (realistic installed pump) 🟩
Sizing selects the aroTHERM plus rung nearest PSR ~0.8 (0.8 x design heat
loss) — the Appendix-N efficiency peak, reproducing the pump a real
installer fits — rather than the MCS PSR>=1.0 capacity target, which
oversizes. Validated against the relodged Elmhurst ASHP cert (delta 0
held at the 5 kW Vaillant); the two self-snapshot pins re-pin to their
correctly-sized larger pumps, and the orchestrator/harness thread the
calculator's design heat loss so production sizes to the dwelling. Manual
SapResult test stubs carry the new design_heat_loss_kw field.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-03 11:02:13 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
b25e7bb7f9 ASHP cost sizes to the threaded design heat loss over the floor-area proxy 🟩
_ashp_option threads its sized design heat loss into ashp_cost_inputs so
the cost band and the pump's efficiency record share one figure — a leaky
dwelling's larger pump is priced on the matching band.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-03 10:29:50 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
6f70e65bc4 ASHP cost sizes to the threaded design heat loss over the floor-area proxy 🟥
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-03 10:29:14 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
2dd637a657 The ASHP bundle sizes the heat pump to the dwelling's design heat loss 🟩
_ashp_option now selects the aroTHERM plus PCDB record matching the
threaded design heat loss (floor-area proxy fallback), so the overlay's
efficiency anchor is sized to the dwelling instead of a fixed 5 kW unit.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-03 10:28:08 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
df38dda7b0 The ASHP bundle sizes the heat pump to the dwelling's design heat loss 🟥
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-03 10:26:35 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
b18fc3878b ASHP sizing selects the smallest pump meeting the dwelling's design heat loss 🟩
The sizing ladder (Vaillant aroTHERM plus 3.5-12 kW PCDB records) picks
the smallest rung whose rated output meets the design heat loss, so SAP
10.2 Appendix N reads the heat-pump efficiency near its PSR peak instead
of collapsing on an undersized fixed unit.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-03 10:13:46 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
b37be6327c ASHP sizing selects the smallest pump meeting the dwelling's design heat loss 🟥
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-03 10:13:19 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
4ca3491eb2
Merge pull request #1426 from Hestia-Homes/fix/hhrsh-storage-offpeak-pricing
Fix HHRSH storage heaters priced at peak rate (engine 48 vs accredited Elmhurst 71)
2026-07-02 12:50:32 +01:00
Jun-te Kim
f5fbeb8e7e Fix HHRSH storage heaters priced at peak rate (engine 48 vs Elmhurst 71)
The high-heat-retention storage-heater (HHRSH) recommendation was computed
as LOWERING SAP and wrongly rejected by the Optimiser, leaving electric-
room-heater flats/maisonettes stuck at band E with no sensible plan.

Root cause: `_HHR_STORAGE_OVERLAY` sets `sap_main_heating_code=409` (HHR
storage) + `meter_type="Dual"` but left `main_heating_category` at the
pre-existing value (10 = electric room heaters). The SAP 10.2 Table 12a
space-heating high-rate-fraction resolver classifies by category, so it
misread the off-peak storage heating as direct-acting electric (1.00
high-rate) and priced 100% at the 7-hour peak rate (15.29p) instead of the
storage off-peak split (0.00, ~5.5p).

Verified against accredited Elmhurst RdSAP-10 on UPRN 100020942571
(8 Booth Close, SE28 8BW): engine HHRSH SAP 48 (peak-priced, cost £1087)
vs Elmhurst 71 (cost ~£611); with the fix the engine gives 73 / £576.

Two-part fix (defence in depth, so no future overlay/mapper can
reintroduce it):
- `_HHR_STORAGE_OVERLAY` now sets `main_heating_category=7`, keeping the
  overlaid EPC internally consistent.
- `_table_12a_system_for_main` now classifies electric storage heaters by
  their Table 4a SAP code (401-409) as well as `category==7`, checked
  before the room-heater branch, so a specific storage code is
  authoritative over a stale/inconsistent category.

Tests: new regression `test_storage_heater_classified_by_sap_code_over_stale_category`;
updated the HHRSH overlay pin. Full accuracy corpus still passes (no regressions).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-02 11:24:03 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
6d812d99c5 An unlodged roof type with ND thickness gets no roof recommendation 🟩
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-02 11:20:55 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
63c889bd02 Roof dispatcher docstring and constants reflect the sentinel-aware pitched trigger 🟪
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-02 11:09:07 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
1d13dee38e ND loft roof on a pre-1950 dwelling gets loft insulation 🟩
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-02 11:05:47 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f3bdf0e884 Vaulted ND roof on a pre-1950 dwelling gets sloping-ceiling insulation 🟩
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-02 11:01:43 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
5b4a1b4966 Classify PCDB-index gas boilers with no SAP code for heating recs
Gov-API certs that lodge a gas boiler as main_heating_category=2 + a PCDB
main_heating_index_number but omit sap_main_heating_code were carried with
a null code, so the heating generators (which gated on sap_main_heating_code
alone) never evaluated them for a boiler upgrade or a system tune-up — they
silently got nothing (£0 works, plateau at D). The SAP calculator already
handles this shape (cert_to_inputs._is_wet_boiler_main), so the calculator
modelled these as wet boilers while the recommenders ignored them.

Mirror the calculator's classification in the generator:
- _is_wet_boiler / _is_electric_boiler fall back, when no SAP code is
  lodged, to a PCDB Table 105 boiler index or main_heating_category in
  {1,2} (heat pumps excluded); electric boilers stay excluded by the code
  range when lodged, else by an electricity main fuel.
- _already_condensing reads the boiler's declared PCDB winter efficiency
  when there is no Table 4b code, so a modern condensing boiler lodged this
  way still isn't offered a pointless like-for-like swap (gets a tune-up).

Verified read-only on portfolio 814 / scenario 1271: pids 742304, 742306,
742322, 742325, 742336 now get a gas_boiler_upgrade (two cross D->C on the
boiler alone) where they had £0 works; predicted properties whose heating
donor is a PCDB-shape boiler (e.g. 742095/742102/742105) also recover a
tune-up. Fixes the A#2 slice of #1388 (and unblocks 742302/742367).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-01 14:52:47 +00:00
Daniel Roth
6eb2a02a6e Gate community-heated dwellings from ASHP recommendation 🟩
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-01 14:18:52 +00:00
Daniel Roth
3d562be398 Gate community-heated dwellings from HHRSH recommendation 🟩
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-01 14:14:52 +00:00
Daniel Roth
a174301136 rename mains_gas to gas_connection_available 2026-07-01 10:50:58 +00:00
Daniel Roth
9835b7115c On-gas-street electric dwelling (API fuel code 29) is offered HHRSH 🟩
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-01 10:38:30 +00:00
Daniel Roth
266a276dae revert changes 2026-07-01 09:52:06 +00:00
Daniel Roth
d4f735e096 Broaden mains_gas comment to cover all non-gas heating fuels, not just electric
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-01 09:48:22 +00:00
Daniel Roth
5a537df14b HHRSH offered to solid-biomass dwelling with mains_gas=True despite off-gas heating fuel 🟩
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-01 09:42:32 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
8606cab5f0 fix(pv): credit PV only when connected to the dwelling's meter 🟩
Gate PV generation/credit in cert_to_inputs on gov-API pv_connection:
credit only when ==2 ('connected'); ==1 ('present but not connected to the
dwelling's meter') contributes zero to the dwelling's cost/CO2/PE per
RdSAP 10 §11.1 / SAP 10.2 Appendix M. Non-int (None / site-notes str) keeps
the credit-if-array behaviour, so the Elmhurst/Summary + synthetic paths are
unchanged (no regression).

Corpus: all 5 pv_connection=1 PV certs move inside ±0.5 (e.g. 100051118081
+6.5→+0.5); MAE 0.760→0.740, within-0.5 73.8→74.3%, no regression
(pv_connection=2 certs keep their credit).

Also corrects a now-load-bearing latent bug: the solar-recommendation
overlay tagged recommended arrays pv_connection=1 ('not connected') — which
the new gate would zero. A new install connects to the dwelling's meter, so
it must be 2; pinned by the overlay test.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-29 13:40:51 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
0a2ed67e94 Harden Dwelling-Roof Cap on real data: positional segments, ground-floor basis 🟩
Three corrections found by re-running property 742003 end-to-end:
- roofSegmentStats are POSITIONAL — real responses omit the segmentIndex field
  the fixture happened to carry; key the centre/area lookup by array position.
- Base the cap on ground_floor_area (the footprint the roof covers), not the
  greatest per-storey area; roof_area is the fallback.
- Clamp the basis by total_floor_area: predicted EPCs borrow the structural
  template's geometry (742003: a 118.62 m² MAIN ground floor) decoupled from
  the predicted 55 m² (ADR-0029), so without the clamp the cap reads the
  template's larger footprint.

Result: 742003 plan A/92.4 (16 kWp) -> C/74.4 (6.4 kWp). 29 solar tests +
orchestration threading + products green.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 12:24:52 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
edce0f46af Dwelling-Roof Cap bounds the PV array to the dwelling's own roof 🟩
select_conservative_configs now also caps panels by the dwelling's own usable
roof — min(0.70 × maxArrayPanelsCount, roof_area/cos(pitch) × 0.5 / panel_area)
— threaded from recommend_solar via roof_area(epc, MAIN) (ADR-0038). No-op on
correctly-matched homes; falls back to the Google cap when the EPC has no MAIN
part. Defeats Google footprint conflation (semi-detached/terraced).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-26 12:17:07 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
80d617aa5b modelling: glazing overlay models draught-proofing + frame-factor re-lodge
Fitting sealed glazing units changes two things beyond the pane's U/g
that the cascade reads, which the overlay didn't model — leaving the
double/secondary before→after pins ~0.7 SAP short (xfail):

1. Draught-proofing (RdSAP 10 §8.1). Sealed units draught-proof the panes
   they replace, re-lodging the dwelling-level `percent_draughtproofed`
   (cert 001431: 84 → 100). The §2 cascade reads that dwelling-level
   value, so the overlay now carries it. `_recompute_percent_draughtproofed`
   anchors on the lodged before-% — `after = round((round(before%/100 × N)
   + flips) / N × 100)`, N = openable windows (vertical + roof) + doors,
   flips = upgraded panes that were not draught-proofed — so it's robust
   to incomplete window extraction (unchanged openings are already in the
   aggregate). ~0.3 SAP.

2. Frame factor (§6 solar gains). A replacement unit re-lodges its own
   FF=0.70, overriding the pane it replaced — the two "single glazing,
   known data" panes lodge FF 1.00 / 0.50 (one is 6.6 m²), so leaving them
   unchanged understated solar gains by ~+150 kWh space heating. `WindowOverlay`
   now carries `frame_factor`, written flat onto the window. ~0.4 SAP.

Wiring: `EpcSimulation.percent_draughtproofed` + `WindowOverlay.frame_factor`
new fields; `apply_simulations` / `_fold_window` write them; the glazing
generator computes both from the upgraded set and cert 001431's after.

Un-xfails `test_{double,secondary}_glazing_overlay_reproduces_the_relodged_after`
— both now pin SAP/CO2/PE to the relodged after within tolerance. Updates
the two `test_glazing_recommendation` overlay expectations for the new
`frame_factor`. 96 modelling tests pass; zero new pyright errors.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-24 08:25:08 +00:00
Daniel Roth
25c695186b measured excluded plus get geospatial nearby stuff working 2026-06-22 16:12:16 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
53d9f21f73 fix(modelling): offer ASHP when the catalogue has no ASHP row
The ASHP bundle is priced from the rate sheet (ADR-0025); the catalogue
row is read only for its material id, which is nullable end-to-end. The
live `material` catalogue has no `air_source_heat_pump` row, so
`products.get` raised `ValueError: no active product` and aborted every
ASHP-eligible property.

Add `ProductNotFound(ValueError)` + a concrete `ProductRepository
.get_optional`, raise the typed error from both repos, and have
`_ashp_option` look the row up optionally — a missing row now yields an
ASHP Option with `material_id=None` rather than crashing.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 14:55:41 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
c11eb46b8a fix(modelling): HHR overlay sets off-peak immersion type so HW Table 13 applies
The HHR-storage HeatingOverlay (ADR-0024) added an off-peak electric
immersion cylinder but never set `immersion_heating_type`, so the overlaid
cert left it None. The calculator then could not resolve `immersion_single`
for the SAP 10.2 Table 13 HW high-rate split and billed hot water 100% at
the off-peak low rate — £127.41 vs the relodged after-cert's £169.39,
overstating the overlay's SAP by +1.26 (CO2/PE matched, isolating it to the
HW cost path).

Add `immersion_heating_type` to HeatingOverlay, route it through
`_fold_heating` (it lives on `sap_heating`), and set it to 1 (single
off-peak immersion) on the HHR overlay to match the relodged reference.
Closes both `test_hhr_storage_overlay_reproduces_the_relodged_after_*`
cascade pins (electric-storage and no-system befores share the after).

Pre-existing failure (present before this branch's recent commits), outside
the handover regression gate. Full modelling suite 220 pass, pyright net-
zero.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-15 06:53:14 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
ae7959f57c feat(modelling): secondary-heating-removal generator + MeasureType (ADR-0028)
recommend_secondary_heating_removal offers one standalone Option that clears the
lodged secondary system. Eligibility is purely physical (offer iff
sap_heating.secondary_heating_type is set) — no effectiveness gate, since a
lodged secondary is a fixed emitter per RdSAP (portables are ignored), and the
electric-storage §A.2.2 no-op is the Optimiser's call (ADR-0028 decisions 1-2).
Priced at a flat per-dwelling decommission cost, not room-scaled.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-11 13:35:14 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
6ce6e89de1 feat(modelling): gate boiler upgrade on the existing boiler's efficiency
Don't offer a like-for-like gas boiler swap to a dwelling whose existing gas
boiler is already at least as efficient as the new condensing boiler (SAP 10.2
Table 4b codes 102/104 = 84% winter) — it gains nothing, and the dwelling gets
the tune-up (cylinder + controls) instead. `_already_condensing` compares the
existing code's Table 4b winter efficiency to 84%; a non-Table-4b code (solid
fuel) has no comparable efficiency and is never treated as already-condensing.

The gate is GAS-ONLY: a non-gas boiler → gas is a fuel switch whose value (cost
/ carbon) is not captured by winter efficiency, so oil/LPG/coal → gas is never
suppressed on efficiency grounds (only gated on the mains-gas connection).

This correctly demotes the gas-with-cylinder example (cert lodges code 114
"Regular, condensing", 84% winter) to a tune-up case — confirming that 114→102
is ~0 boiler-efficiency gain in both our calc and Elmhurst (both Table 4b 84%);
Elmhurst's uplift there came from the cylinder + flue, not the boiler. The
boiler-with-cylinder overlay stays validated by the lpg pin (code 115, non-
condensing + cylinder) and by recasting the 114 fixtures' code to a pre-1998
non-condensing boiler (110) in the boiler tests — the overlay overwrites the
code to 102 regardless, so only eligibility changes, not the delta-0 result.
New tests: an already-condensing gas boiler yields no boiler upgrade (but a
tune-up); an oil condensing boiler is not gated (the fuel switch survives).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-11 07:15:58 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
ae7e6a0c42 feat(modelling): composite per-dwelling boiler + tune-up costing (ADR-0027)
Replace the flat placeholder scalars (boiler £3000; tune-up £500/£900) with a
per-dwelling composite cost, mirroring the ASHP architecture (ADR-0025): a
`HeatingRates` table (data, `heating_rates.json`), typed `BoilerCostInputs` /
`TuneUpCostInputs`, pure `Products.boiler_bundle_cost` / `tune_up_cost`, and
modelling-layer interpreters that read the dwelling into those inputs.

The cost mirrors the Simulation Overlay component-for-component, sharing the
controls + cylinder pricing across both options:

- tune-up (standard) = standard controls + cylinder fixes
- tune-up (zone)     = zone controls + cylinder fixes
- boiler upgrade     = £3200 all-in + standard controls (only when the upgrade
  fired a controls change) + cylinder fixes

Standard controls are priced INCREMENTALLY — only the parts missing to reach
SAP 2106 (programmer £120 / room thermostat £150 / TRV £35×radiators), read
from a Table 4e Group-1 feature map so a dwelling that already has a room
thermostat + TRVs is only charged the programmer. Zone controls are a full
smart kit (hub £205 + smart TRV £50×radiators) — the smart TRV is itself the
room sensor, so there is no separate per-room sensor line. Cylinder fixes:
jacket £50 (when under-insulated) + thermostat £150 (when absent). The boiler
is a like-for-like wet swap (no radiators/flue/pipework — eligibility already
requires an existing wet boiler), so those dead-code extras are not modelled.

Figures are research-validated 2025/26 UK installed costs (legacy Costs.py
lineage); fully-loaded totals with one contingency on top (Model B, not the
legacy VAT/preliminaries engine). Contingency: boiler 0.26; tune-ups 0.10
(was a 0.15 placeholder). ADR-0027 records the design; CONTEXT.md's Heating
Eligibility entry updated to cover the partial boiler/tune-up family + composed
cost. Products cost pins (delta<=1e-9) + interpreter tests + generator
composite-cost assertions.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-10 19:41:06 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
07f534ee11 feat(modelling): system tune-up options (standard + zone controls)
Add the system tune-up to the heating Recommendation: keep the existing wet
boiler but install better heating controls and fix the cylinder. Two competing
Options (the Optimiser picks <=1 across the whole heating rec) per the user's
two best control end-states:

- system_tune_up        — standard controls (programmer + room thermostat +
  TRVs, SAP 10.2 Table 4e code 2106)
- system_tune_up_zoned  — time-and-temperature zone control (code 2110, type 3):
  more SAP uplift for more cost

Both keep the boiler (no fuel / SAP code / flue change), set the control
ABSOLUTELY to their end-state, and apply the conditional cylinder fixes (an
80 mm jacket when under-insulated, a thermostat when absent — only when a
cylinder exists). Each control option is offered only when it genuinely improves
the existing control — standard is skipped when the control is already 2106 /
2110 / 2112, zone when already 2110 / 2112 — so neither is ever a downgrade or a
no-op.

Validated against the Elmhurst "system tune up" re-lodgements (cert 001431):
nine befores spanning controls 2101-2113 all converge to the two common afters,
proving the control overlay is absolute. The cascade pin is parametrised over
two starting controls (2101 "no control" + 2113 "room thermostat and TRVs") x
both afters, delta 0 (SAP/CO2/PE).

Wires the two MeasureTypes through contingencies (0.15), the offline catalogue
(500 / 900), the catalogue-coverage list, the report triggers, and the ARA
first-run seed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-10 10:20:46 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
2413bc87da feat(modelling): solid-fuel(coal)->gas boiler upgrade + boiler_flue_type end-state
Pin the coal-boiler-with-cylinder upgrade and add the `boiler_flue_type`
end-state field. A solid-fuel (coal) boiler (fuel 11, SAP code 153) on a
mains-gas street converts to a gas condensing boiler (fuel 11->26, code 102) —
the non-gas->gas path for a solid-fuel system, eligible because code 153 is in
the wet-boiler solid-fuel range 151-161 and mains gas is present.

New `boiler_flue_type` HeatingOverlay field, routed to main_heating_details[0]
and set to 2 (room-sealed/balanced) on both boiler shapes: every relodged after
lodges flue type 2, but coal's before lodged none. The field is SAP-inert (the
cascade score is unchanged by it), so it is written purely for end-state
fidelity — the overlay now represents the installed condensing boiler's flue.
Validated via the overlay-equality unit tests.

The coal after predates the user-locked "always add a cylinder thermostat when
absent" rule, so it stale-lodged thermostat 'N'; the pin corrects it to the
rule's end-state 'Y' in-test (the gas with-cylinder after got the same
correction by re-lodging). The cylinder is already 80 mm insulated, so the
jacket is skipped and only the thermostat is added; controls (2106) are
unchanged. Cascade-pinned delta 0 (SAP/CO2/PE).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-10 08:27:07 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
63dd69ff8b feat(modelling): gas combi boiler upgrade + controls-when-inadequate
Extend the gas-boiler-upgrade Option to combi (no-cylinder) dwellings and add
the controls upgrade shared by both boiler shapes. A dwelling has a cylinder or
it does not, so the one `gas_boiler_upgrade` Option is shaped per dwelling:

- no cylinder -> a gas condensing combi (Table 4b code 104), no cylinder fields
  touched;
- a cylinder  -> a regular boiler (code 102) heating it, with the conditional
  cylinder jacket/thermostat (slice 1).

Controls: bring an inadequate boiler control up to full programmer + room
thermostat + TRVs (SAP 10.2 Table 4e Group 1 code 2106). "Inadequate" = the
Group-1 codes with NO room thermostat (2101, 2102, 2107, 2108, 2109, 2111) —
these lack boiler interlock (Table 4c(2) / footnote c) p.171), so adding a room
thermostat genuinely improves SAP. Room-thermostatted (2103/2104/2105/2106/2113)
or better zone controls (2110/2112) are left unchanged — never downgraded, so
no phantom uplift. The with-cylinder cert (control 2106) is therefore untouched
and its pin still holds at delta 0.

Validated by the combi before/after re-lodgement (cert 001431, gas boiler
upgrade - no cylinder): control 2111 "TRVs and bypass" -> 2106, fan flue
False->True, SAP code 112 -> 104. Cascade-pinned delta 0 (SAP/CO2/PE). Removed
the slice-1 placeholder test asserting no boiler Option fires without a cylinder
(the combi Option now correctly fires there).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-09 16:28:00 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
31c74ab500 feat(modelling): gas-boiler-upgrade-with-cylinder option in the heating rec
Add the first boiler-upgrade option to the single "Heating & Hot Water"
Recommendation (ADR-0024 expansion): a dwelling whose existing wet boiler heats
a hot-water cylinder is offered a new gas condensing boiler, with the cylinder
jacketed when under-insulated and given a thermostat when absent. One competing
Option (the Optimiser picks <=1), folded into one composite Plan line.

The end-state is read from the Elmhurst before/after re-lodgements (cert 001431,
gas boiler upgrade - with cylinder), which REVISE ADR-0024:

- Target is always a gas condensing boiler, not fuel-preserving: every after
  lodges fuel 26. Gas->gas always; a non-gas wet boiler ->gas only with a
  mains-gas connection; electric boilers are left alone (electrification is the
  upgrade path). Eligibility = wet-boiler SAP code (Table 4a/4b 101-141 /
  151-161 / 191-196) + not an electric boiler + mains gas present.
- End-state is a Table 4b SAP code, not a PCDB index: code 102 (regular boiler
  + cylinder). The calculator derives the condensing seasonal efficiency from
  the code, so no efficiency input exists or is needed.
- A modern condensing boiler has a fanned flue: the after flips
  `fan_flue_present` False->True on every cert (SAP 10.2 Table 4f flue-fan +
  the Table 4b condensing-efficiency basis). Added as a new HeatingOverlay
  field, routed to main_heating_details[0].
- Cylinder thermostat is always added when absent (user-locked); the jacket is
  the 80 mm `cylinder_insulation_type=2` end-state, applied only when the
  cylinder is below 80 mm (never downgrading a better one). Both are conditional
  per-dwelling components, not a frozen overlay.

Cascade-pinned delta-0 (SAP/CO2/PE) against the relodged after via
`_assert_overlay_reproduces_after`. NB the absolute SAP on this dwelling is
subject to a separate Summary-path mapper roof-fidelity gap (we read the roof
better-insulated than Elmhurst, scoring ~75 vs the printed 56); the gap is
identical on before+after (the boiler measure never touches the roof) so it
cancels and the pin still proves the exact heating field-delta. Tracked on the
calculator branch.

Wires the new `gas_boiler_upgrade` MeasureType through contingencies (0.26),
the offline sample catalogue, the catalogue-coverage list, and the ARA
first-run integration seed (the option fires on any mains-gas boiler+cylinder
dwelling).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-09 16:16:46 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
9ef97be958 refactor(modelling): type measure_type fields as MeasureType
Tighten the recommendation/plan vocabulary off generic str:
MeasureOption.measure_type and PlanMeasure.measure_type are now MeasureType
(also _GlazingTarget.measure_type, MeasureDependency.triggers ->
frozenset[MeasureType], and the optimiser's chosen/required-type locals).
Because MeasureType is a StrEnum the change is transparent to persistence
(the `recommendation` varchar column), the optimiser group-by key, and every
`== "solar_pv"`-style comparison — so pyright now enforces the enum at every
construction site with no runtime behaviour change.

The catalogue boundary stays str: ProductRepository.get(measure_type: str)
and Product.measure_type are unchanged (they map arbitrary DB/JSON rows), so
the fake product repos in tests need no edit. Test construction helpers coerce
their str arg via MeasureType(...); direct constructions use members.

Suite green: tests/domain/modelling + orchestration + harness 253 pass + 3
xfail; pyright clean on production + tests (pre-existing moto + property-
override-rowcount baselines untouched).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 20:13:31 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
d58ac60d29 feat(modelling): MeasureType StrEnum as the canonical measure vocabulary
Introduce domain/modelling/measure_type.py — a StrEnum with one member per
modelled measure (the 15 the generators emit). A StrEnum so each member *is*
its string value: it persists straight into the `recommendation` varchar
column, is the optimiser's group-by key, and compares equal to the catalogue /
EPC strings — so it replaces the per-generator string constants with no
persistence or optimiser change.

Repoint every generator's measure-type constant/literal to a MeasureType
member (wall, solid_wall, roof, floor, glazing, lighting, ventilation,
heating, solar). Field annotations stay `str` for now; tightening them to
MeasureType is the next slice.

This is the enum the historical engine deferred (engine.py:970
"TODO - formalise property measure types into an enum") and the vocabulary the
forthcoming `considered_measures` allowlist will speak (mirroring the legacy
`inclusions`).

Suite green: tests/domain/modelling + orchestration + harness 253 pass + 3
xfail; pyright clean on the enum + generators.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 19:54:04 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
09cb8ceb9d feat(modelling): recommend_solar — eligibility + competing array Options
Slice 6 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). `recommend_solar`
emits one "Solar PV" Recommendation of up to five conservatively-sized configs
× {no battery, battery} = ≤10 competing Options (a free Optimiser candidate).
Each Option folds a SolarOverlay built from the chosen config: one
PhotovoltaicArray per non-north segment (peak_power = panels × panelCapacityW /
1000; orientation/pitch from geometry; generation-calibrated overshading),
is_dwelling_export_capable set True absolutely, a diverter when the dwelling
has a cylinder (None for a combi), a 5 kWh battery for the battery variant, and
the per-config composite cost from Products.solar_bundle_cost.

Eligibility = house/bungalow ∧ not listed/heritage (blocks_internal, the same
gate as ASHP — a conservation area does NOT block PV) ∧ no existing PV ∧ a
feasible SolarPotential. Flats and existing-PV top-up are deferred.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 12:14:24 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
c03f4ff123 feat(modelling): conservative PV config selection (5-config spread)
Slice 4 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026).
`select_conservative_configs` turns Google's full solarPanelConfigs ladder
into up to five competing array configs for the Optimiser: drop north-facing
planes (within 30° of due north, wrap-aware), cap usable panels at ~70% of
maxArrayPanelsCount (imagery misses obstructions; MCS edge setback), collapse
rungs that trim to the same usable size keeping the higher-generation layout,
then sample five spanning min→max by expected generation. Returns () when
nothing usable remains.

Real London example → 5 rungs at 4/12/19/26/34 panels (all ≤34.3 = 70% of
49); synthetic cases pin the north-drop and the 70% cap.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 10:02:15 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
82c3422788 feat(modelling): generation-calibrated PV overshading derivation
Slice 3 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). Per roof segment,
back-solve the effective overshading factor ZPV from Google's expected
generation against SAP's own unshaded annual output:

    ZPV = (yearlyEnergyDcKwh × 0.955) / (0.8 × kWp × S)

reusing the calculator's Appendix U3.3 annual solar radiation S via a new
public seam `pv_annual_solar_radiation_kwh_per_m2`. Dividing Google's
generation by SAP's S cancels orientation/tilt and isolates shading; the
result snaps to the RdSAP bucket {1:1.0, 2:0.8, 3:0.5, 4:0.35} via the
ADR-0026 midpoint cutpoints (≥0.90→1, 0.65–0.90→2, 0.425–0.65→3, <0.425→4;
ZPV>1→1). The real London example's planes all back-solve to ZPV>1 → code 1.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 09:59:48 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f06a048a6f feat(modelling): ASHP option carries the composite per-dwelling cost
Slice 9 of ADR-0025 costing. _ashp_option now prices via Products.ashp_bundle_
cost(ashp_cost_inputs(epc)) instead of the flat catalogue scalar; the catalogue
row is still read for its material_id. Pinned on boiler-3: gas reuse dwelling
composes to 15600.60 (decommission 720 + pump 9720 + cylinder 2382.60 + reuse
distribution 2778) with 25% contingency.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 21:17:06 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
6f136a8d6a feat(modelling): classify ASHP existing system by fuel code
Slice 8 of ADR-0025 costing. _existing_system keys on the heating fuel code,
not the mains_gas flag -- the 001431 electric fixtures all lodge mains_gas=True
(gas available at the property) while heating electrically (fuel 30), which the
flag-based check misread as gas (and would have wrongly reused a non-existent
wet system). Electric/gas/oil/LPG map to their categories; empty details ->
NONE; unrecognised -> OTHER (gas-line fallback).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 21:10:45 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f182f36802 feat(modelling): ashp_cost_inputs reads a dwelling into AshpCostInputs
Slice 7 of ADR-0025 costing: the modelling-layer interpretation half of the
split. ashp_cost_inputs derives existing system (mains_gas/fuel/SAP-code),
size band (floor area <= 75 m2), design heat loss (floor_area x 0.05 -- the
chosen proxy over HLC, ADR updated), radiator count (habitable + 3, floor-area
fallback) and reusable-wet-system flag. Catalogue math (Products) stays
EPC-free. ADR-0025 updated to record the floor-area pump-sizing choice.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:59:27 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
9f17a27766 feat(modelling): ASHP overlay resets water_heating_code to the HP end-state
The ASHP bundle is a fixed whole-system end-state (confirmed: always the same
contractor cylinder), so the hot-water arrangement is fixed too. The overlay now
sets water_heating_code=901 ("from main system") absolutely, so a combi (909/611)
or electric (903/908) before is reset to HW-from-the-heat-pump — previously the
overlay relied on the before already lodging 901 (true for boiler-1, not in
general). No-op for the boiler-1 pin (stays 1e-4). Cascade pins for combi /
electric-with-cylinder befores await example certs. ADR-0024.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 17:18:58 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
a9da21c4b6 feat(modelling): recommend_heating offers the ASHP bundle
Adds the air-source heat-pump Option to the competing "Heating & Hot Water"
bundles. Its overlay is the absolute heat-pump end-state (fixed representative
PCDB index 101413 + category 4 + control 2210 + HWP cylinder + single meter +
off mains gas), pinned against the relodged after-cert next slice. Eligibility
is physical/planning only (ADR-0024, research-grounded): any non-flat
house/bungalow, not listed/heritage (PlanningRestrictions.blocks_internal —
conservation is offered with a caveat, not excluded), not already a heat pump;
floor area / built form / fuel / fabric are deliberately not gates. recommend_
heating gains a restrictions param (defaulted). An already-HHR electric house
now correctly gets ASHP as a better end-state.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 16:56:00 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
b3badc9b10 test(modelling): HHRSH before/after cascade pins (001431) at 1e-4
The same absolute-target HHR overlay reproduces the common relodged after from
two different base systems (existing electric storage; "no system present"
electric) — proving the bundle is a true whole-system end-state. Closes one
named gap the pin surfaced: the relodged HHR cylinder lodges
cylinder_thermostat='Y', so HeatingOverlay + _fold_heating + the HHRSH overlay
gain cylinder_thermostat (ΔSAP 0.065 -> <1e-4). ADR-0024.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-05 19:09:23 +00:00