roof_construction codes group by FORM (empirical: 1=Flat 98%, 4/5/8=
Pitched 88-99%, 3=dwelling-above 100% over 7,974 certs; 7/9=premises-
above per #1452), so the filter matches families — an exact-code filter
would wrongly drop pitched neighbours lodged as 5/8. Historic prefixes
map to the same families; roof rooms and thatch stay unconditioned.
Harness ladder replay and telemetry mirror the new filter.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Per pair, replay the age->fuel->TFA conditioning ladder over the plain
arm's cohort to record ENGAGED vs RELAXED per filter, and record whether
each historic stable attribute still agrees with the newly lodged cert
(the direct staleness measurement). Emitted as JSONL (--telemetry) and
aggregated into two diagnosis tables appended to the report.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Classification hit-rates for every compare_prediction component, all five
numeric residuals, and the secondary calculator-floored SAP residual
(calc(predicted) − lodged), plain vs conditioned side by side — the same
metric shape as the prediction-corpus gate (ADR-0030). Pair-check now
precedes the cohort fetch so a national postcode sweep only pays the
expensive search-by-postcode for shards that actually hold a pair.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Finds pre-2012 (S3 backup) x SAP-10.2 (new API) cert pairs per postcode,
predicts each from its leave-one-out cohort with and without ADR-0054
conditioning, and reports compare_prediction hit rates side by side.
Evidence for the stable-attribute whitelist, not a CI gate.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
