build_first_run_pipeline now constructs epc_prediction=EpcPrediction() and accepts
comparables_repo + prediction_attributes_reader as optional params, threading them
into IngestionOrchestrator (ADR-0031). The on-switch is now just supplying those
two arguments — no orchestrator/handler edits — once they exist: the cohort repo
(its EPC client is the source client pending #1136) and the property_overrides
attributes reader (built separately). Both default None, so the feature stays OFF
and ingestion is unchanged until they're passed.
The epc_property.source migration is live, so the predicted-EPC persistence slot
(slice-5c) now works against the real DB. Handover updated to reflect the simpler
composition-root step.
pyright strict clean; handler + pipeline + ingestion-prediction tests pass.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Pulls in 42 commits of calculator/mapper accuracy fixes from the per-cert
mapper-validation and floor/roof/heating fronts.
Conflict resolutions:
- mapper `_is_elmhurst_roof_window`: main dropped the branch's "wall location →
vertical" guard (it broke cert 000516's rooflight), but that re-broke cert
001431's two External-wall U>3.0 windows (which must stay vertical). The two
certs lodge a BYTE-IDENTICAL §11 row, so neither location nor U separates
them — the real discriminator is the room-in-roof context. Replaced the
unconditional U>3.0 backstop with one gated on the BP having a room-in-roof
(`_elmhurst_bp_has_room_in_roof`): 000516's Main BP has a "Room in roof type
1" (→ rooflight), 001431's does not (→ vertical). Validated against BOTH —
full Elmhurst worksheet suite 1038 pass + the 001431 window-extraction pin.
- property_postgres_repository: kept main's `ids_by_uprn` method + the branch's
`_restrictions_of` helper.
- sap_fuel.py: the branch relocated it to domain/billing/ (already carrying
main's to_table_32_code normalization), so kept the old path deleted.
Fallout from main's fabric fixes (validated by the boiler-3 real-cert pin which
still reproduces at delta 0):
- re-pinned the boiler-1 + boiler-instant-hw ASHP snapshot scores;
- main's §14.2 gas-boiler main-fuel derivation resolved the BGB/102 baseline
gap, so `test_gas_boiler_instant_hw_before_baselines` is now a passing test
(was an xfail tripwire).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Slice 5a: the promotion. Replaces StubRebaseliner in production and collapses the
shadow runner into the rebaseliner (ADR-0013 amendment).
- CalculatorRebaseliner runs Sap10Calculator on every Property:
* sap_version < 10.2 -> Effective Performance IS the calculator output
(band via Epc.from_sap_score, CO2 kg->t, PEUI rounded), reason "pre_sap10".
* sap_version >= 10.2 -> Effective = lodged (API figures on-target), and the
calculator only logs divergence (SAP>0.5, PEUI/CO2 1%) as a validation signal.
* a calculator raise propagates -> batch aborts (ADR-0012); fix the cert at once.
- Rebaseliner.rebaseline gains property_id (for the divergence log).
- LoggingCalculatorShadow / the calculator_shadow seam removed from the
orchestrator; its divergence-comparison logic now lives in the rebaseliner.
- StubRebaseliner kept (signature updated) for orchestrator/repo unit tests.
The SapResult->EnergyBreakdown adapter + BillDerivation wiring (to populate the
bill block) follow once the appliances/cooking SapResult fields land.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Wire Sap10Calculator into PropertyBaselineOrchestrator as a non-load-bearing
shadow runner. For each property it scores the Effective EPC beside the
load-bearing Lodged/Effective write, catches any strict-raise -> log.error
(never aborts the batch), and on success log.warning's divergence from Lodged:
SAP |continuous - lodged| > 0.5; PEUI/CO2 > 1% relative (CO2 after kg->tonnes).
Every line is tagged with sap_version so SAP-10.2 signal separates from
older-spec drift (ADR-0010 Validation Cohort).
Per ADR-0013, Calculated SAP10 Performance is not a persisted third value-set:
effective = calculated in every baselining scenario, so the calculator IS the
mechanism that produces Effective Performance (the Rebaseliner). It runs in
shadow only while being hardened; when overrides/estimation land it is promoted
to drive Effective and the failure posture flips to abort (ADR-0012, calculator
now load-bearing). No table change.
- ADR-0013 + CONTEXT (Calculated SAP10 Performance / Effective Performance /
Rebaselining) record the decision.
- CalculatorShadow port + LoggingCalculatorShadow + Calculator protocol.
- FakeCalculatorShadow for orchestrator unit tests.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
ModellingOrchestrator gains a constructor-injected FuelRatesRepository (mirrors
Baseline): run() resolves get_current() once and reuses one BillDerivation across
the batch. _plan_for prices the baseline and post-package end-states from the
SapResults already on their Scores (no extra calculate) and passes the Bills to
Plan. PlanRow mirror + from_domain gain the four live columns post_energy_bill /
energy_bill_savings / post_energy_consumption / energy_consumption_savings.
Pipeline/handler wire the fuel-rates repo. Integration tests assert the columns
persist: the multi-measure (fallback) plan shows positive bill+consumption
savings; the already-at-target zero-measure plan shows the current bill with
exactly zero savings. Fuel-switch measures price at the new fuel for free (we
bill the simulated end-state). 183 modelling/billing/orchestration/repo tests
pass, pyright strict clean. Plan-level only; per-measure savings next.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Slice 4b — closes the #1157 tracer. ModellingOrchestrator.run(property_ids,
scenario_ids, portfolio_id) now does real work in one Unit of Work,
committed once (ADR-0011/0012/0016/0017):
read Property (effective EPC) + Scenario via repos → recommend_cavity_wall
→ select its Option → PackageScorer.score (role-2 package total) +
marginal_impacts (role-3 attribution) → build Plan/PlanMeasure →
uow.plan.save → commit.
- AraFirstRunPipeline / ModellingStage thread portfolio_id from the trigger
body (one source of truth); handler builds the real orchestrator
(unit_of_work + Sap10Calculator), dropping the Scenario/Materials stubs.
- ScenarioRepository.get_many promoted to @abstractmethod now the bare-stub
instantiations are gone.
- New ara_first_run-style integration test: a property with an uninsulated
cavity wall yields a persisted Plan + one cavity_wall_insulation Plan
Measure (priced from the Product, figures present, linked by plan_id).
Numeric SAP correctness is pinned separately in test_elmhurst_cascade_pins.
- Existing pipeline integration test updated: seeds scenario 7 and runs the
real Modelling stage (its already-insulated sample wall yields an empty
package — no crash).
121 pass across repositories/modelling/orchestration/app; pyright strict clean.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
The PropertyBaselineOrchestrator now reads the current Fuel Rates snapshot
once per batch, builds a BillDerivation, and prices each scored property's
SapResult -> EnergyBreakdown into a Bill carried on PropertyBaselinePerformance
(None only on the stub no-calculator path). The Bill is flattened onto nullable
bill_* flat columns (per-section kwh+cost, standing charges, SEG credit, total)
on the postgres table, with bill_total_annual_bill_gbp as the not-null
discriminator on read-back. Section absent from the bill stays None, not 0.
Updated all four orchestrator construction sites to inject the FuelRatesRepository
port (handler + three test sites), and the FE migration doc to reflect the
prefixed columns and that they are now populated.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Slice 5a: the promotion. Replaces StubRebaseliner in production and collapses the
shadow runner into the rebaseliner (ADR-0013 amendment).
- CalculatorRebaseliner runs Sap10Calculator on every Property:
* sap_version < 10.2 -> Effective Performance IS the calculator output
(band via Epc.from_sap_score, CO2 kg->t, PEUI rounded), reason "pre_sap10".
* sap_version >= 10.2 -> Effective = lodged (API figures on-target), and the
calculator only logs divergence (SAP>0.5, PEUI/CO2 1%) as a validation signal.
* a calculator raise propagates -> batch aborts (ADR-0012); fix the cert at once.
- Rebaseliner.rebaseline gains property_id (for the divergence log).
- LoggingCalculatorShadow / the calculator_shadow seam removed from the
orchestrator; its divergence-comparison logic now lives in the rebaseliner.
- StubRebaseliner kept (signature updated) for orchestrator/repo unit tests.
The SapResult->EnergyBreakdown adapter + BillDerivation wiring (to populate the
bill block) follow once the appliances/cooking SapResult fields land.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Wire Sap10Calculator into PropertyBaselineOrchestrator as a non-load-bearing
shadow runner. For each property it scores the Effective EPC beside the
load-bearing Lodged/Effective write, catches any strict-raise -> log.error
(never aborts the batch), and on success log.warning's divergence from Lodged:
SAP |continuous - lodged| > 0.5; PEUI/CO2 > 1% relative (CO2 after kg->tonnes).
Every line is tagged with sap_version so SAP-10.2 signal separates from
older-spec drift (ADR-0010 Validation Cohort).
Per ADR-0013, Calculated SAP10 Performance is not a persisted third value-set:
effective = calculated in every baselining scenario, so the calculator IS the
mechanism that produces Effective Performance (the Rebaseliner). It runs in
shadow only while being hardened; when overrides/estimation land it is promoted
to drive Effective and the failure posture flips to abort (ADR-0012, calculator
now load-bearing). No table change.
- ADR-0013 + CONTEXT (Calculated SAP10 Performance / Effective Performance /
Rebaselining) record the decision.
- CalculatorShadow port + LoggingCalculatorShadow + Calculator protocol.
- FakeCalculatorShadow for orchestrator unit tests.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
