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2 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
008c1922c4 feat(epc-prediction): anonymised Tier-1 fixture + builder (ADR-0030)
The committed gate needs frozen, reproducible data without dumping real UK
addresses into the repo. Add:
- harness anonymise_payload + stable_hash: hash street address + cert number
  into opaque, dedup-stable tokens; blank secondary address lines + post_town;
  keep postcode + all component/lodged fields (gov data is OGL). Unit-tested.
- scripts/build_epc_prediction_fixture.py: curate qualifying postcodes (>=1
  SAP 10.2 target + >=2 distinct addresses) from the local scratch corpus,
  anonymise, freeze under tests/fixtures/epc_prediction/.
- The frozen fixture: 15 postcodes / 280 certs / 36 SAP-10.2 targets.
  Verified no plaintext address_line_1 and post_town all blank.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-14 09:17:27 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
027ee1fba3 refactor(epc-prediction): extract shared leave-one-out scorer + corpus loader (ADR-0030)
"One scorer, two harnesses" (ADR-0030): the committed gate, the local script,
and the future battle-test must run the *same* scoring. Extract it:

- domain/epc_prediction/validation.py — `iter_predictions` (the single
  leave-one-out orchestration: latest-per-address hold-out, SAP-10.2 target
  filter, all-vintage source) + `evaluate_component_accuracy` (calculator-free
  ComponentAccuracy aggregation, the primary signal). Unit-tested.
- harness/epc_prediction_corpus.py — `load_corpus(dir)` IO: corpus dir ->
  Comparable cohorts (maps payloads, carries address + registration_date).

validate_epc_prediction.py now just loads + calls the scorer for the component
section and iterates iter_predictions for the calculator-floored end-to-end.
Identical numbers (181 targets, SAP MAE 6.34) — behaviour-preserving.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-14 09:12:08 +00:00