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Only main wall_construction was set to the cohort mode; the other homogeneous categoricals (wall insulation, construction age band, roof construction, floor construction) were left as template-copied, so one median-size template's quirks set them. Apply the same cohort-mode mechanism to all of them per ADR-0029 decision 4 — the template still supplies geometry, only the categorical codes move to the mode. Verified mode beats (or ties) template-copy per categorical before applying. Smoke corpus (29 leave-one-out) classification rates: construction_age_band 55.2% -> 65.5% roof_construction 72.4% -> 79.3% floor_construction 46.2% -> 84.6% wall_insulation_type 93.1% (tie — already template-strong) Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
131 lines
4.8 KiB
Python
131 lines
4.8 KiB
Python
"""EPC Prediction synthesis (ADR-0029).
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`EpcPrediction.predict` turns the selected `ComparableProperties` into a
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predicted `EpcPropertyData`: copy a coherent representative template's structure
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(building parts, windows, geometry), set the homogeneous categoricals to the
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recency-weighted cohort mode, then apply Landlord Overrides on top. Pure domain
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logic — deterministic neighbour synthesis, not ML.
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"""
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from __future__ import annotations
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import copy
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import statistics
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from collections import Counter
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from typing import Iterable, Optional, Union
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from datatypes.epc.domain.epc_property_data import (
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EpcPropertyData,
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SapBuildingPart,
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)
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from domain.epc_prediction.comparable_properties import (
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Comparable,
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ComparableProperties,
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PredictionTarget,
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)
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class EpcPrediction:
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"""Synthesises a predicted `EpcPropertyData` from Comparable Properties."""
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def predict(
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self, target: PredictionTarget, comparables: ComparableProperties
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) -> EpcPropertyData:
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"""Predict the target's EPC picture: copy a representative template's
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structure (coherent for the calculator), then set the homogeneous
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categoricals to the cohort mode."""
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template: Comparable = self._template(comparables)
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predicted: EpcPropertyData = copy.deepcopy(template.epc)
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self._apply_categorical_modes(predicted, comparables)
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self._apply_overrides(predicted, target)
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return predicted
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@staticmethod
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def _template(comparables: ComparableProperties) -> Comparable:
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"""The representative comparable whose structure seeds the prediction:
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the member whose floor area is closest to the cohort median. A single
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neighbour's geometry is copied wholesale, so a size-representative
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template keeps the prediction off the cohort's size outliers (ADR-0029
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decision 4: closest on size)."""
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members: tuple[Comparable, ...] = comparables.members
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median_area: float = statistics.median(
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c.epc.total_floor_area_m2 for c in members
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)
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return min(
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members,
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key=lambda c: abs(c.epc.total_floor_area_m2 - median_area),
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)
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@staticmethod
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def _apply_categorical_modes(
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predicted: EpcPropertyData, comparables: ComparableProperties
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) -> None:
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"""Override the predicted picture's homogeneous categoricals — wall /
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roof / floor construction, wall insulation, age band — with the cohort
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mode (robust to an atypical template, per ADR-0029 decision 4). The
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template still supplies the geometry; only the categorical codes move to
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the mode."""
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if not predicted.sap_building_parts:
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return
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main: SapBuildingPart = predicted.sap_building_parts[0]
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members = comparables.members
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for attr in _MAIN_PART_CATEGORICALS:
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mode = _mode(_main_part_attr(c, attr) for c in members)
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if mode is not None:
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setattr(main, attr, mode)
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floor_values: list[int] = [
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v for c in members if (v := _main_floor_construction(c)) is not None
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]
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floor_dims = main.sap_floor_dimensions
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if floor_values and floor_dims:
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floor_dims[0].floor_construction = Counter(floor_values).most_common(
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1
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)[0][0]
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@staticmethod
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def _apply_overrides(
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predicted: EpcPropertyData, target: PredictionTarget
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) -> None:
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"""Apply the known Landlord Overrides on top of the estimate — a known
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value always wins over the cohort mode (ADR-0029)."""
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if not predicted.sap_building_parts:
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return
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if target.wall_construction is not None:
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predicted.sap_building_parts[0].wall_construction = (
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target.wall_construction
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)
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# The homogeneous categoricals carried directly on the main building part. Floor
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# construction lives on the main floor dimension and is handled separately.
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_MAIN_PART_CATEGORICALS: tuple[str, ...] = (
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"wall_construction",
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"wall_insulation_type",
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"construction_age_band",
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"roof_construction",
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)
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def _main_part_attr(
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comparable: Comparable, attr: str
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) -> Optional[Union[int, str]]:
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parts: list[SapBuildingPart] = comparable.epc.sap_building_parts
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return getattr(parts[0], attr) if parts else None
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def _main_floor_construction(comparable: Comparable) -> Optional[int]:
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parts: list[SapBuildingPart] = comparable.epc.sap_building_parts
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if not parts:
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return None
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dims = parts[0].sap_floor_dimensions
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return dims[0].floor_construction if dims else None
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def _mode(
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values: Iterable[Optional[Union[int, str]]],
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) -> Optional[Union[int, str]]:
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"""The most common non-None value, or None when there are none."""
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present = [v for v in values if v is not None]
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if not present:
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return None
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return Counter(present).most_common(1)[0][0]
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