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a5b7310911
Investigated recency-weighting (weight cohort votes by an exponential decay
in cert age). Key finding: it must be SELECTIVE. On the validation corpus it
HURTS permanent categoricals (wall 91.2->89.5, age 78.5->75.7 — discards
still-valid data) but clearly HELPS time-varying ones, where a recent
neighbour reflects the current physical state:
roof_insulation_thickness 56.7 -> 60.7% corpus (+4pp)
29.4 -> 41.2% fixture (+12pp)
So apply a recency-weighted mode only to roof_insulation_thickness (loft
top-ups happen over time); keep the plain mode for permanent categoricals.
tau = 4yr (~2.8yr half-life); falls back to plain mode when no registration
dates are lodged. Gate floor ratcheted 0.2941 -> 0.4118.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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| .. | ||
| addresses | ||
| billing | ||
| epc_prediction | ||
| fuel_rates | ||
| magicplan | ||
| modelling | ||
| property | ||
| property_baseline | ||
| sap10_calculator | ||
| tasks | ||
| __init__.py | ||
| test_building_geometry.py | ||
| test_postcode.py | ||