Model/domain/epc_prediction
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar cd43c52cf9 feat(epc-prediction): score the heating components (ADR-0030 Component Accuracy)
Heating is the dominant SAP lever (ablating it to actual cut the SAP error
~7 -> ~4.5) yet was entirely unscored. Add the heating group to
compare_prediction's categorical_hits: main fuel / category / control (off
the primary MainHeatingDetail), water-heating fuel / code, has-cylinder,
cylinder insulation, secondary heating (off SapHeating).

Template-copied baseline on the 40-postcode corpus (no predictor change
yet — this just makes the signal visible):
  heating_main_fuel        93.4%
  heating_main_category    92.7%
  water_heating_fuel/code  91.7% / 92.4%
  heating_main_control     62.1%   <- weak
  has_hot_water_cylinder   78.5%
  cylinder_insulation_type 35.8% (n=120)   <- weak
  secondary_heating_type   16.8% (n=125)   <- weak

Fuel/category predict well from the template; controls, cylinder, and
secondary heating are poor and now drive the next predictor slices.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-14 08:53:15 +00:00
..
__init__.py feat(epc-prediction): Comparable Properties selection ladder (ADR-0029) 2026-06-13 23:44:57 +00:00
comparable_properties.py fix(epc-prediction): dedupe re-lodgements + leak-free leave-one-out (ADR-0029) 2026-06-14 00:40:23 +00:00
epc_prediction.py feat(epc-prediction): cohort-mode the roof/floor/insulation/age categoricals (ADR-0029) 2026-06-14 00:31:16 +00:00
prediction_comparison.py feat(epc-prediction): score the heating components (ADR-0030 Component Accuracy) 2026-06-14 08:53:15 +00:00