Model/domain
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar fa11df56c2 fix(epc-prediction): dedupe re-lodgements + leak-free leave-one-out (ADR-0029)
The register lists every historical lodgement, so a postcode cohort
contains the same physical address many times (LS61AA: 15 certs / 11
addresses; NG71AA: 15 / 9 — "FLAT 3" appears 3x in each). Two
consequences:

  - Production: a re-lodged neighbour was counting up to 3x towards the
    cohort mode. select_comparables now dedupes candidates to the latest
    cert per address (one comparable per real neighbour) — Comparable
    gains address + registration_date (the register metadata its docstring
    already anticipated, read straight off the cached payload).

  - Validation: leave-one-out leaked — predicting a flat from a near-
    identical re-lodgement of itself. The harness now holds out a whole
    address (excludes every sibling cert) and evaluates on the latest cert
    per address (the best ground truth).

Removing the leak gives the honest numbers (19 distinct addresses):
  wall_construction      93.1% -> 89.5%
  construction_age_band  65.5% -> 52.6%
  roof_construction      79.3% -> 68.4%
  floor_area mean|.|     37.9  -> 52.6 m2
The earlier figures were inflated by self-leakage; these are the real
accuracy to beat.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-14 00:40:23 +00:00
..
addresses standardist Address 2026-05-22 10:13:32 +00:00
billing feat(modelling): attribute per-measure bill savings via a telescoping cascade 2026-06-03 18:01:11 +00:00
data_transformation moved classifier data transformation to an easy one 2026-06-01 14:53:34 +00:00
epc Remove EPC and asset_list changes unrelated to SAL handler 2026-06-01 16:39:09 +00:00
epc_prediction fix(epc-prediction): dedupe re-lodgements + leak-free leave-one-out (ADR-0029) 2026-06-14 00:40:23 +00:00
fuel_rates feat(fuel-rates): FuelRates snapshot + repository foundation (ADR-0014) 2026-06-02 09:29:07 +00:00
geospatial feat(geospatial): one-read spatial reference (coords + restrictions) 2026-06-04 17:13:39 +00:00
magicplan add todo comment for named ranges 2026-06-10 13:32:11 +00:00
modelling feat(modelling): cost data for secondary-heating-removal (ADR-0028) 2026-06-11 13:51:16 +00:00
property feat(modelling): thread Property planning restrictions to the solid-wall gate 2026-06-04 16:32:26 +00:00
property_baseline feat(baseline): sap_code_to_fuel normalizes via the calculator's own helper 2026-06-05 18:59:25 +00:00
sap10_calculator added test for a 1000 examples 2026-06-09 16:02:21 +00:00
sap10_ml added test for a 1000 examples 2026-06-09 16:02:21 +00:00
tasks added postcode splitter rewrite to ddd 2026-05-19 16:35:09 +00:00
building_geometry.py feat(modelling): floor Recommendation Generator + ground-floor-area geometry 2026-06-03 09:12:29 +00:00
postcode.py get rid of comments 2026-05-20 13:21:11 +00:00