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Author SHA1 Message Date
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
2413bc87da feat(modelling): solid-fuel(coal)->gas boiler upgrade + boiler_flue_type end-state
Pin the coal-boiler-with-cylinder upgrade and add the `boiler_flue_type`
end-state field. A solid-fuel (coal) boiler (fuel 11, SAP code 153) on a
mains-gas street converts to a gas condensing boiler (fuel 11->26, code 102) —
the non-gas->gas path for a solid-fuel system, eligible because code 153 is in
the wet-boiler solid-fuel range 151-161 and mains gas is present.

New `boiler_flue_type` HeatingOverlay field, routed to main_heating_details[0]
and set to 2 (room-sealed/balanced) on both boiler shapes: every relodged after
lodges flue type 2, but coal's before lodged none. The field is SAP-inert (the
cascade score is unchanged by it), so it is written purely for end-state
fidelity — the overlay now represents the installed condensing boiler's flue.
Validated via the overlay-equality unit tests.

The coal after predates the user-locked "always add a cylinder thermostat when
absent" rule, so it stale-lodged thermostat 'N'; the pin corrects it to the
rule's end-state 'Y' in-test (the gas with-cylinder after got the same
correction by re-lodging). The cylinder is already 80 mm insulated, so the
jacket is skipped and only the thermostat is added; controls (2106) are
unchanged. Cascade-pinned delta 0 (SAP/CO2/PE).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-10 08:27:07 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
7bc9797a26 test(modelling): pin non-gas->gas + already-insulated-cylinder boiler upgrades
Two more boiler-upgrade cascade pins, validating the existing generator across
fuels and cylinder states (no source change):

- oil combi: an oil boiler (fuel 28, code 130) on a mains-gas street converts to
  a gas condensing combi (fuel 28->26, code 104). Proves the non-gas -> gas
  conversion gated on a mains-gas connection (ADR-0024 revised).
- already-insulated cylinder: a gas boiler heating a pre-jacketed cylinder
  (type 2 / 80 mm, no thermostat) gets a new boiler + a thermostat, with the
  jacket NOT re-applied. Proves the cylinder path's skip-jacket branch against a
  real cert. (Sourced from an LPG re-lodgement whose fuel the Summary mapper
  reads as mains gas 26 — a separate LPG fuel-mapping gap, noted in the test.)

Both pin delta 0 (SAP/CO2/PE) against the relodged after.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-09 16:37:32 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
63dd69ff8b feat(modelling): gas combi boiler upgrade + controls-when-inadequate
Extend the gas-boiler-upgrade Option to combi (no-cylinder) dwellings and add
the controls upgrade shared by both boiler shapes. A dwelling has a cylinder or
it does not, so the one `gas_boiler_upgrade` Option is shaped per dwelling:

- no cylinder -> a gas condensing combi (Table 4b code 104), no cylinder fields
  touched;
- a cylinder  -> a regular boiler (code 102) heating it, with the conditional
  cylinder jacket/thermostat (slice 1).

Controls: bring an inadequate boiler control up to full programmer + room
thermostat + TRVs (SAP 10.2 Table 4e Group 1 code 2106). "Inadequate" = the
Group-1 codes with NO room thermostat (2101, 2102, 2107, 2108, 2109, 2111) —
these lack boiler interlock (Table 4c(2) / footnote c) p.171), so adding a room
thermostat genuinely improves SAP. Room-thermostatted (2103/2104/2105/2106/2113)
or better zone controls (2110/2112) are left unchanged — never downgraded, so
no phantom uplift. The with-cylinder cert (control 2106) is therefore untouched
and its pin still holds at delta 0.

Validated by the combi before/after re-lodgement (cert 001431, gas boiler
upgrade - no cylinder): control 2111 "TRVs and bypass" -> 2106, fan flue
False->True, SAP code 112 -> 104. Cascade-pinned delta 0 (SAP/CO2/PE). Removed
the slice-1 placeholder test asserting no boiler Option fires without a cylinder
(the combi Option now correctly fires there).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-09 16:28:00 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
31c74ab500 feat(modelling): gas-boiler-upgrade-with-cylinder option in the heating rec
Add the first boiler-upgrade option to the single "Heating & Hot Water"
Recommendation (ADR-0024 expansion): a dwelling whose existing wet boiler heats
a hot-water cylinder is offered a new gas condensing boiler, with the cylinder
jacketed when under-insulated and given a thermostat when absent. One competing
Option (the Optimiser picks <=1), folded into one composite Plan line.

The end-state is read from the Elmhurst before/after re-lodgements (cert 001431,
gas boiler upgrade - with cylinder), which REVISE ADR-0024:

- Target is always a gas condensing boiler, not fuel-preserving: every after
  lodges fuel 26. Gas->gas always; a non-gas wet boiler ->gas only with a
  mains-gas connection; electric boilers are left alone (electrification is the
  upgrade path). Eligibility = wet-boiler SAP code (Table 4a/4b 101-141 /
  151-161 / 191-196) + not an electric boiler + mains gas present.
- End-state is a Table 4b SAP code, not a PCDB index: code 102 (regular boiler
  + cylinder). The calculator derives the condensing seasonal efficiency from
  the code, so no efficiency input exists or is needed.
- A modern condensing boiler has a fanned flue: the after flips
  `fan_flue_present` False->True on every cert (SAP 10.2 Table 4f flue-fan +
  the Table 4b condensing-efficiency basis). Added as a new HeatingOverlay
  field, routed to main_heating_details[0].
- Cylinder thermostat is always added when absent (user-locked); the jacket is
  the 80 mm `cylinder_insulation_type=2` end-state, applied only when the
  cylinder is below 80 mm (never downgrading a better one). Both are conditional
  per-dwelling components, not a frozen overlay.

Cascade-pinned delta-0 (SAP/CO2/PE) against the relodged after via
`_assert_overlay_reproduces_after`. NB the absolute SAP on this dwelling is
subject to a separate Summary-path mapper roof-fidelity gap (we read the roof
better-insulated than Elmhurst, scoring ~75 vs the printed 56); the gap is
identical on before+after (the boiler measure never touches the roof) so it
cancels and the pin still proves the exact heating field-delta. Tracked on the
calculator branch.

Wires the new `gas_boiler_upgrade` MeasureType through contingencies (0.26),
the offline sample catalogue, the catalogue-coverage list, and the ARA
first-run integration seed (the option fires on any mains-gas boiler+cylinder
dwelling).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-09 16:16:46 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
4006753620 fix(scripts): authenticate the EPC client with OPEN_EPC_API_TOKEN
The new gov EPC API (api.get-energy-performance-data..., Bearer auth) returns
403 "Bad authentication header" with EPC_AUTH_TOKEN but 200 with
OPEN_EPC_API_TOKEN — the token name is misleading (it is the Bearer token for
the new API, not the open-data API). Verified live against
/api/domestic/search. Unblocks the live EPC fetch in run_modelling_e2e.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 20:58:22 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
0f6077a830 feat(scripts): DB-catalogue local run + optional --persist for run_modelling_e2e
Slice 5 (local run sources the DB, read-only) + slice 6 (optional persist),
landing together as one script rewrite (the persist path is interleaved with
the compute path).

The same local computation now runs whether or not the result is stored:
- Both modes price against the live `material` catalogue (read-only
  ProductPostgresRepository over one shared Session) and model against a real
  Scenario read from the DB (--scenario-id; its goal_value drives the band,
  rejected if null) — so the inspected recommendations are exactly what gets
  stored. The JSON sample catalogue is no longer used by this script.
- --measures restricts the run to a comma-separated considered_measures
  allowlist (e.g. high_heat_retention_storage_heaters,solar_pv).
- --persist writes the inputs (EPC + spatial + solar) and the *same* computed
  Plan via the production repos in one PostgresUnitOfWork, then commits
  (idempotent: PlanPostgresRepository replaces by (property_id, scenario_id)).
  Gated: --persist requires --scenario-id and --portfolio-id. Default is
  inspect-only — no DB writes.

harness.console.run_modelling gains `products` and `scenario` overrides (the
seam the script drives); defaults unchanged, so existing callers are
unaffected. Suite 257 pass + 3 xfail; pyright clean; --help/guard/measure
parsing verified. Not yet executed against the DB (awaiting property_ids +
write-confirm).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 20:45:50 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
62e1d4b813 fix(product): deterministic catalogue pick by ordering get() by id
ProductPostgresRepository.get took .first() with no ORDER BY, so when a
measure type has several active material rows (the live catalogue holds 74
solar_pv, 5 high_heat_retention_storage_heaters) the chosen row — hence the
cost and material_id — depended on the database's physical row order. Order by
id so a re-seed prices the same product every time.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 20:35:45 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
7942a8101a feat(modelling): considered_measures allowlist on the orchestrator
Add domain/modelling/considered_measures.py::restrict_to_considered_measures —
the pure allowlist that limits a run to a chosen set of MeasureType (mirroring
the legacy engine's `inclusions`). It filters at the Option level, so a
multi-option Recommendation (e.g. Heating & Hot Water competing HHRSH against
an ASHP bundle) is kept with only its allowed Options; a Recommendation left
with none is dropped. None = consider everything (unrestricted default).

Thread `considered_measures: frozenset[MeasureType] | None` through
ModellingOrchestrator.run -> _plan_for -> _scored_candidate_groups /
_candidate_recommendations (applies the filter) and _measure_dependencies
(suppresses a forced dependency whose required measure is outside the
allowlist, so a restricted run forces nothing it is not considering). The
local-run seam (harness.console.run_modelling) gains the same param.

The Optimiser still freely chooses among survivors — including none. Tests:
the pure filter (3 cases) + an orchestrator-seam test proving a
{solar_pv}-restricted run yields only solar_pv options. 257 pass + 3 xfail;
pyright clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 20:32:11 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
9ef97be958 refactor(modelling): type measure_type fields as MeasureType
Tighten the recommendation/plan vocabulary off generic str:
MeasureOption.measure_type and PlanMeasure.measure_type are now MeasureType
(also _GlazingTarget.measure_type, MeasureDependency.triggers ->
frozenset[MeasureType], and the optimiser's chosen/required-type locals).
Because MeasureType is a StrEnum the change is transparent to persistence
(the `recommendation` varchar column), the optimiser group-by key, and every
`== "solar_pv"`-style comparison — so pyright now enforces the enum at every
construction site with no runtime behaviour change.

The catalogue boundary stays str: ProductRepository.get(measure_type: str)
and Product.measure_type are unchanged (they map arbitrary DB/JSON rows), so
the fake product repos in tests need no edit. Test construction helpers coerce
their str arg via MeasureType(...); direct constructions use members.

Suite green: tests/domain/modelling + orchestration + harness 253 pass + 3
xfail; pyright clean on production + tests (pre-existing moto + property-
override-rowcount baselines untouched).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 20:13:31 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
d58ac60d29 feat(modelling): MeasureType StrEnum as the canonical measure vocabulary
Introduce domain/modelling/measure_type.py — a StrEnum with one member per
modelled measure (the 15 the generators emit). A StrEnum so each member *is*
its string value: it persists straight into the `recommendation` varchar
column, is the optimiser's group-by key, and compares equal to the catalogue /
EPC strings — so it replaces the per-generator string constants with no
persistence or optimiser change.

Repoint every generator's measure-type constant/literal to a MeasureType
member (wall, solid_wall, roof, floor, glazing, lighting, ventilation,
heating, solar). Field annotations stay `str` for now; tightening them to
MeasureType is the next slice.

This is the enum the historical engine deferred (engine.py:970
"TODO - formalise property measure types into an enum") and the vocabulary the
forthcoming `considered_measures` allowlist will speak (mirroring the legacy
`inclusions`).

Suite green: tests/domain/modelling + orchestration + harness 253 pass + 3
xfail; pyright clean on the enum + generators.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 19:54:04 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
1b4806f8e4 feat(scripts): wire S3 geospatial + Google Solar into run_modelling_e2e
Per Property the inspection script now resolves the UPRN's spatial
reference from the Ordnance Survey Open-UPRN parquet in S3
(GeospatialS3Repository over a boto3 ParquetReader) and threads both
levers into run_modelling:

- planning_restrictions: the conservation/listed/heritage flags that gate
  the wall + solar measures (ADR-0019/0020).
- solar_insights: a live Google Solar buildingInsights fetch keyed on the
  reference coordinates, so the Solar PV Options can fire (ADR-0026).

Mirrors IngestionOrchestrator._fetch's coords->solar flow. Degrades
gracefully per Property: a UPRN S3 doesn't cover -> unrestricted/no-solar;
a point Google has no coverage for (BuildingInsightsNotFoundError) ->
no-solar; both still modelled. --no-solar skips the Google leg. A context
note (restrictions; solar) is printed and written to the md/csv summary.

Verified live: spatial_for + solar fetch round-trip on real UPRNs (S3 via
ambient ~/.aws creds, pyarrow reads parquet bytes). pyright clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 14:55:33 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
0918dd37ec feat(scripts): run_modelling_e2e — inspect recommendations per property_id
Revives the local recommendation-inspection flow for specific Properties.
`scripts/run_modelling_e2e.py` reads each Property's UPRN from the DB
(read-only), fetches the latest EPC live from the gov EPC API by UPRN, runs the
Modelling stage in memory (all Generators → Optimiser → costed, attributed
Plan), and prints a per-Property plan table + writes a Markdown/CSV summary.
Persists nothing — purely for inspection.

The local DB's Properties have no linked ingested EPC (epc_property.property_id
is NULL for all rows; Ingestion's source clients are stubbed, #1136), so the
EPC must be fetched inline rather than read back. Builds the connection from the
`DB_*` env vars in backend/.env and the EPC token from `EPC_AUTH_TOKEN`.

Threads optional solar insights through harness `run_modelling` (so Solar PV
Options can fire once coordinates are wired) and adds the `solar_pv` catalogue
row. Solar + planning restrictions + DB persistence are noted follow-ups.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 14:25:33 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
24492aa4ba Merge origin/main into feature/bill-derivation (calculator + mapper fixes)
Pulls in 42 commits of calculator/mapper accuracy fixes from the per-cert
mapper-validation and floor/roof/heating fronts.

Conflict resolutions:
- mapper `_is_elmhurst_roof_window`: main dropped the branch's "wall location →
  vertical" guard (it broke cert 000516's rooflight), but that re-broke cert
  001431's two External-wall U>3.0 windows (which must stay vertical). The two
  certs lodge a BYTE-IDENTICAL §11 row, so neither location nor U separates
  them — the real discriminator is the room-in-roof context. Replaced the
  unconditional U>3.0 backstop with one gated on the BP having a room-in-roof
  (`_elmhurst_bp_has_room_in_roof`): 000516's Main BP has a "Room in roof type
  1" (→ rooflight), 001431's does not (→ vertical). Validated against BOTH —
  full Elmhurst worksheet suite 1038 pass + the 001431 window-extraction pin.
- property_postgres_repository: kept main's `ids_by_uprn` method + the branch's
  `_restrictions_of` helper.
- sap_fuel.py: the branch relocated it to domain/billing/ (already carrying
  main's to_table_32_code normalization), so kept the old path deleted.

Fallout from main's fabric fixes (validated by the boiler-3 real-cert pin which
still reproduces at delta 0):
- re-pinned the boiler-1 + boiler-instant-hw ASHP snapshot scores;
- main's §14.2 gas-boiler main-fuel derivation resolved the BGB/102 baseline
  gap, so `test_gas_boiler_instant_hw_before_baselines` is now a passing test
  (was an xfail tripwire).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 13:12:21 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
2f3b1dbd3f test(modelling): Solar PV Elmhurst cascade pins + battery tripwire
Slice 9 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). Pins the
overlay→calculator PV cascade against Elmhurst's before/after re-lodgements of
cert 001431, across the orientation/pitch/overshading config space (the certs
lodge synthetic 1.00 kWp test vectors):
 - SE/SW, shaded (overshading 3/2), pitch 30°/45°
 - E/W, unshaded, pitch 60°/45°
 - NW/N, unshaded, pitch 60°/45° (the low-yield orientations)
Each hand-built SolarOverlay reproduces the relodged after at abs ≤ 1e-4 on
SAP / CO2 / primary energy.

Battery tripwire (per user): the "with battery" cert lodges a §19 5 kWh battery
the current extractor does NOT parse, so it scores identically to its
no-battery twin — the no-battery overlay reproduces it today, and the pin will
fail (alerting us to switch to the with-battery overlay) once the extractor
parses the battery. A companion test pins that the calculator already models
the 5 kWh battery (it raises SAP), so the fix target is established.

All five certs share an EES 'WGK' / SAP-code-502 main-heating lodgement the
mapper doesn't yet derive a fuel for; the pins patch the shared fuel (mains gas
26) identically on before+after to isolate the PV delta (the solar overlay
never touches heating), and `test_solar_before_baselines` xfails as the
forcing-function tripwire for that separate mapper-front gap.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 12:42:24 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
b249f69cb2 feat(modelling): thread SolarPotential into the orchestrator's solar Generator
Slice 8 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). The
ModellingOrchestrator now reads each Property's persisted Google Solar
buildingInsights JSON (uow.solar), projects it once per Property into a typed
SolarPotential via `_solar_potential_for` (None for a missing or error
payload), and threads it into `recommend_solar` alongside planning_restrictions
— mirroring the ASHP wiring. Solar fires only when a feasible potential is
present, so dwellings without fetched solar data are unaffected.

FakeSolarRepo now returns None for an unseeded Property (was raising) and
supports `by_property` seeding, so the orchestrator's new solar read is exercised.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 12:22:56 +00:00
KhalimCK
1b94da16d0
Merge pull request #1189 from Hestia-Homes/feature/per-cert-mapper-validation
Feature/per cert mapper validation
2026-06-08 13:19:58 +01:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
09cb8ceb9d feat(modelling): recommend_solar — eligibility + competing array Options
Slice 6 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). `recommend_solar`
emits one "Solar PV" Recommendation of up to five conservatively-sized configs
× {no battery, battery} = ≤10 competing Options (a free Optimiser candidate).
Each Option folds a SolarOverlay built from the chosen config: one
PhotovoltaicArray per non-north segment (peak_power = panels × panelCapacityW /
1000; orientation/pitch from geometry; generation-calibrated overshading),
is_dwelling_export_capable set True absolutely, a diverter when the dwelling
has a cylinder (None for a combi), a 5 kWh battery for the battery variant, and
the per-config composite cost from Products.solar_bundle_cost.

Eligibility = house/bungalow ∧ not listed/heritage (blocks_internal, the same
gate as ASHP — a conservation area does NOT block PV) ∧ no existing PV ∧ a
feasible SolarPotential. Flats and existing-PV top-up are deferred.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 12:14:24 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
46bca47365 feat(modelling): Products.solar_bundle_cost + committed solar rate sheet
Slice 7 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). Adds the
composite per-dwelling Solar PV cost on the Products collection (ADR-0025
pattern): pv_system(kWp band, nearest of the ECOPV06-13 EA bands 1.0→4.5 kWp,
floor/cap at the ends) + scaffolding(£900 first elevation + £450 each
additional, default 2) + enabling base (EICR £150 + DNO £50 + 2-way consumer
unit £330) + [diverter £980 if cylinder] + [battery if the with-battery
variant] → Cost(total, contingency_rate 0.15).

Rates are data in the committed solar_rates.json (Southern Housing "SOLAR PV &
BATTERY" EA column), loaded via SolarRates.from_json/.default and injectable.
The £2,000 / 5 kWh battery is NOT on the rate sheet — a flagged estimate
(battery_estimate=true), confirmed with the user to stand in until a DB rate.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 12:10:27 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
9dddfa00c8 feat(modelling): SolarOverlay + _fold_solar (sixth overlay surface)
Slice 5 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). Adds the flat
`SolarOverlay` and `_fold_solar`, the sixth Simulation Overlay surface: like
the ventilation/lighting overlays it targets no building part and folds its
fields onto `sap_energy_source` (home of the SAP Appendix M PV inputs) —
photovoltaic_arrays (absolute target, one PhotovoltaicArray per non-north
segment, replacing the dwelling's existing arrays), pv_diverter_present,
pv_connection, is_dwelling_export_capable (set True absolutely), pv_batteries.
Omitted fields leave the baseline unchanged (combi → no diverter); the
baseline is never mutated.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 10:10:15 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
c03f4ff123 feat(modelling): conservative PV config selection (5-config spread)
Slice 4 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026).
`select_conservative_configs` turns Google's full solarPanelConfigs ladder
into up to five competing array configs for the Optimiser: drop north-facing
planes (within 30° of due north, wrap-aware), cap usable panels at ~70% of
maxArrayPanelsCount (imagery misses obstructions; MCS edge setback), collapse
rungs that trim to the same usable size keeping the higher-generation layout,
then sample five spanning min→max by expected generation. Returns () when
nothing usable remains.

Real London example → 5 rungs at 4/12/19/26/34 panels (all ≤34.3 = 70% of
49); synthetic cases pin the north-drop and the 70% cap.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 10:02:15 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
82c3422788 feat(modelling): generation-calibrated PV overshading derivation
Slice 3 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). Per roof segment,
back-solve the effective overshading factor ZPV from Google's expected
generation against SAP's own unshaded annual output:

    ZPV = (yearlyEnergyDcKwh × 0.955) / (0.8 × kWp × S)

reusing the calculator's Appendix U3.3 annual solar radiation S via a new
public seam `pv_annual_solar_radiation_kwh_per_m2`. Dividing Google's
generation by SAP's S cancels orientation/tilt and isolates shading; the
result snaps to the RdSAP bucket {1:1.0, 2:0.8, 3:0.5, 4:0.35} via the
ADR-0026 midpoint cutpoints (≥0.90→1, 0.65–0.90→2, 0.425–0.65→3, <0.425→4;
ZPV>1→1). The real London example's planes all back-solve to ZPV>1 → code 1.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 09:59:48 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f31d5bcff9 feat(modelling): typed SolarPotential projection over Google buildingInsights
Slice 2 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). Adds the
strictly-typed `SolarPotential` domain projection over the raw Google Solar
`buildingInsights` JSON that Ingestion persists (SolarRepository): the
`solarPanelConfigs` ladder, each rung broken into its roof segments with
Google's continuous azimuth/tilt mapped to the SAP octant
(`azimuth_to_sap_octant`, 0°=N clockwise → 1=N..8=NW, matching the
calculator's ORIENTATION_BY_SAP10_CODE) and RdSAP §11.1 pitch code
(`pitch_to_sap_code`, snap to {0→1,30→2,45→3,60→4,90→5}).

Pinned against the real London buildingInsights example (mirrored into
fixtures from the user-provided RTF): 400 W panels, maxArrayPanelsCount 49,
46-rung ladder, per-segment SE/NW/NE/SW octants at ~32° → pitch code 2.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 09:55:55 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
545bb8c328 fix(mapper): map cylinder "No Insulation" to insulation_type=None
The Elmhurst §15.1 "Insulated: No Insulation" label was lodged but absent
from `_ELMHURST_CYLINDER_INSULATION_LABEL_TO_SAP10`, so
`_elmhurst_cylinder_insulation_code` raised UnmappedElmhurstLabel — blocking
the parse of every Solar PV example cert (the solar `before` lodges "No
Insulation"). An uninsulated cylinder has no insulation *type*, so per the
no-misleading-insulation convention it maps to `cylinder_insulation_type =
None` rather than naming a material; the lodged 0 mm thickness carries the
storage-loss signal the SAP 10.2 Table 2 dispatch needs.

Slice 1 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 09:52:06 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
222704cbc2 docs(modelling): ADR-0026 solar PV eligibility, sizing, overlay, costing
Designed via grill-with-docs. API-first (Google Solar -> typed SolarPotential):
one Solar PV Recommendation, up to 5 conservatively-sized configs x battery
on/off; new PV overlay surface (per-roof-segment arrays, diverter conditional on
cylinder, export-capable ensured); overshading generation-calibrated from the
API's expected generation; eligibility offers conservation areas (only listed/
heritage block); composite costing from EA rates (contingency 0.15). CONTEXT
gains Solar Potential, Solar PV Recommendation, Solar PV Eligibility.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 09:44:02 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
d0f57a0e94 docs: session-4 handover — floor_heat_loss=3 resolved (U=0.7), 7536 re-pinned
Code 3 = "(other premises below)" = above partially heated space (§3.12 →
U=0.7), confirmed 9/9 on single-BP certs (the diagnostic that dodged the
lossy-floors[] contamination). Records the 7536 re-pin and the lesson that
"irreducible residual" golden notes can mask a real mapper bug.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 22:26:21 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
8741fbdfac fix(floor): floor_heat_loss=3 → above partially heated space, U=0.7 (RdSAP §3.12)
The API `floor_heat_loss` code is authoritative — confirmed by joining each
single-BP cert's code to its independent `floors[].description` (which the
gov register publishes alongside the code):

  code 1 ↔ "To external air"        (exposed,        9/9)
  code 2 ↔ "To unheated space"      (semi-exposed,   6/6)
  code 3 ↔ "(other premises below)" (partially htd,  9/9)
  code 6 ↔ "(another dwelling below)" (party,      176/176)
  code 7 ↔ "Solid"/"Suspended …"    (ground,     all)

Code 3 was mis-mapped to "To unheated space" (semi-exposed) and, on
mid-/top-floor flats, had its floor area zeroed entirely by the
dwelling-level exposure heuristic. RdSAP 10 §3.12 (PDF p.25) classes a
flat's floor over non-domestic "other premises … heated, but at different
times" as "above a partially heated space" → the §5.14 (PDF p.47) constant
U=0.7 W/m²K — distinct from semi-exposed (Table 20) and party (no loss).

Fix: the mapper sets `is_above_partially_heated_space` on the floor=0
dimension for code 3 (string → "(other premises below)" for fidelity), and
the heat-transmission step lets that per-BP lodgement override the flat
suppression upward (mirroring the existing exposed / "another dwelling
below" overrides). The cascade already routes is_above_partial → U=0.7.

Re-pins golden cert 7536-3827: its Ext2 (bp3) lodges code 3, but the cert's
lossy `floors[]` summary dropped that description, so a prior agent guessed
"code 3 = ground" (U=1.12) and concluded the residual was an irreducible
"register-rounding" artifact. It was this bug: Ext2 floor U 1.12 → 0.70,
PE -6.1952 → -5.6414, CO2 -0.1639 → -0.1492 (both toward 0), SAP unchanged.

Eval: 909 computed, 45.1% → 45.3% within 0.5, mean|err| 1.702 → 1.659,
<1.0 59.5% → 60.2%. 13 code-3 certs improve (0380 +3.71 → -0.63, 0350
+7.82 → +0.83, 2610 +7.47 → -1.29); the few that overshoot were already
failing and carry independent fabric bugs (9763's walls = 8 W/K for 60 m²).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 22:25:04 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
75ef250ec8 docs: session-4 handover — exposed-floor fix shipped, floor-3 enum unconfirmed
Record that profiler lead #1 (floor_codes=3) is not a clean single cause
(bimodal + confounded), that the paired worksheet certs confirm only
codes 1/6/7 (code 3 unmapped → needs a worksheet for 0380-2087), and that
immersion_type=2 / main_control=2107 / roof_codes=1 are scatter, not
dispatch bugs. The exposed-floor-on-flats fix (§3.12) shipped at b40e0f67.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 21:53:25 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
b40e0f67b8 fix(floor): exposed floor on a flat carries heat loss (RdSAP §3.12)
A mid-/top-floor flat whose lowest floor is lodged as an exposed floor
(API floor_heat_loss=1) had its floor area zeroed by the dwelling-level
exposure heuristic, which keys only on the flat label and defaults
has_exposed_floor=False (assuming the floor sits over another *heated*
dwelling). RdSAP 10 §3.12 (PDF p.25) is explicit:

  "Otherwise the floor area of the flat ... is:
     - an exposed floor if there is an open space below"

i.e. a flat cantilevered over a passageway IS a heat-loss floor on
Table 20. The per-BP `is_exposed_floor` lodgement is authoritative and
now overrides the dwelling-level suppression upward, mirroring the
existing "another dwelling below" party override (which suppresses
downward). The code-1↔"E To external air" enum is confirmed by the
paired API+Summary worksheet certs (0350, 3800).

Eval: 45.1% → 45.3% within 0.5 (909 computed); cert 3836 +6.79 → +0.77,
5717 +1.31 → -0.07 and 0997 +0.76 → +0.05 cross into <0.5. Two
already-failing under-rated certs (7636, 2241) shift further — both are
dominated by independent cost-side over-counts the exposed floor merely
unmasks (7636 walls = 8.98 W/K for 33.87 m² is the real defect).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 21:47:52 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
ae34ca4d74 docs: session-3 API-profiling handover (raises cleared, profiler-driven leads)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 20:39:52 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
28b1da1e06 feat(diag): profile API SAP error against raw-API characteristics
Joins each computed cert's signed error (eval _results.csv) with a rich
feature set extracted from its RAW API JSON (not the mapped
EpcPropertyData), then ranks (feature, value) buckets by error carried
and by |mean signed| bias. Surfaces systematic API-path handling gaps —
a field the mapper silently drops still shows as an error-correlated
bucket. Companion to eval_api_sap_accuracy.py / decompose_api_cost_error.py.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 20:38:19 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
a8e5563ace fix(warm-air): Table 11 secondary fraction for category 9 → 0.10
main_heating_category=9 (warm-air systems, NOT heat pump) had no entry
in _SECONDARY_HEATING_FRACTION_BY_CATEGORY, so a warm-air main with a
lodged secondary raised UnmappedSapCode in
_secondary_heating_fraction_for_category — the last calc_raise in the
API sample (cert 0380-2197-2590-2996-2715: warm air mains gas code 506 +
electric room-heater secondary).

SAP 10.2 Table 11 (p.188): a gas/oil warm-air unit falls under "All gas,
liquid and solid fuel systems" (0.10), and electric warm air under
"Other electric systems" (also 0.10) — so 0.10 regardless of fuel. The
warm-air efficiency (Table 4a code→eff: 506→0.70) and Table 4f fan
energy were already wired; this was the only missing dispatch entry.

0380 now computes: SAP 78.1 vs lodged 77 (+1.1; the residual is per-cert
fabric/PV, not the warm-air dispatch — a faithful 0380 worksheet isn't
available, sim case 28 diverges at SAP 57 / code 502 / condensing unit).
Eval: zero raises remain, computed 908→909; mean|err| 1.703→1.702.
Regression green (2448 pass incl. golden 6035 + cohort); pyright
net-zero (44=44).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 20:26:32 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
11fb82b485 test(modelling): pin boiler-1/2 ASHP to the Vaillant overlay snapshot
The boiler-1 and boiler-2 after-certs predate the Vaillant product swap (they
lodge the old aroTHERM index 101413), so rather than wait on regenerated certs
these now snapshot the Vaillant overlay's own output on the before (SAP/CO2/PE
at 1e-4), taken as correct because the same overlay reproduces the corrected
Vaillant cert at delta 0 in the boiler-3 (system-boiler) pin. Drops the xfail
markers and the two stale, now-unreferenced after-cert fixtures.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 20:16:58 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
1c5675a063 fix(mapper): floor_heat_loss code 8 → no floor heat loss (extension over heated space)
API floor_heat_loss=8 is observed on EXTENSION building parts whose
floor sits over a heated space within the SAME dwelling (an upper-storey
extension over a heated room). RdSAP 10 §3 gives an internal floor
between heated storeys no floor heat loss — mechanically identical to a
code-6 party floor. `_api_floor_type_str` had no entry for 8, raising
UnmappedApiCode and blocking certs 0370-2254-6520-2426-5971 and
0997-1206-9806-0715-2904.

Map code 8 to the code-6 no-heat-loss string "(another dwelling below)"
(consumed by heat_transmission's party-floor suppression; != "Ground
floor" so the §5 (12) suspended-timber rule stays inert). Empirically
confirmed against both certs: the no-heat-loss treatment lands them
within 0.5 of lodged (0370-2254 68.92 vs 69; 0997-1206 40.68 vs 41),
whereas Ground-floor / unheated / external mappings miss 0997 by ~4 SAP.

Eval computed 906→908. Regression green (only the pre-existing
test_total_floor_area fails); pyright net-zero (38=38).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 18:54:00 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f40485887d fix(u-value): RdSAP10 ignores gov-API wall insulation conductivity → §5.8 default λ
The gov EPC API field wall_insulation_thermal_conductivity is OUTPUT
metadata in the openly-published EPC, not an input to the RdSAP10 tool
(Elmhurst) that produced it — its wall entry is Type + Insulation +
thickness only, with no conductivity field. So the RdSAP10 reduced-data
method always uses the SAP 10.2 §5.8 (p.41) default λ=0.04 W/m·K,
whatever code the register lodged.

`_resolve_wall_insulation_lambda_w_per_mk` previously mapped only code 1
(→0.04) and RAISED on others, blocking cert 2090-6909-8060-5201-6401
(code 3 on an internally-insulated 360mm solid-brick wall) with
calc_raise:ValueError. Now it returns the §5.8 default for any code.

Validated: 2090 computes to SAP 73.97 vs lodged 74 (err -0.03); λ of
0.04 / 0.03 / 0.025 all round to 74, and Elmhurst exposes no conductivity
input, so 0.04 is the spec-faithful RdSAP10 value. Eval computed
905→906; mean|err| 1.708→1.706. Regression green (only the 2 pre-existing
stone-wall U failures); pyright net-zero (69=69).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 18:39:01 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
dd92ba5972 refactor(modelling): load ASHP rates from a committed costs file
Slice 10 of ADR-0025 costing. The Southern Housing rate table moves from code
constants into ashp_rates.json (structured rows the flat scalar catalogue can't
hold), loaded via AshpRates.from_json. Products takes an injected AshpRates
(default: the committed sheet), so rates are now data -- tunable (e.g.
reuse_distribution_fraction) without a code change, and ready for ETL/DB-supplied
rates later. Behaviour-preserving: the 6 pinned cost tests still hold against the
default, plus a new test proving injected rates drive the total.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 23:19:53 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
037daa98ef test: reflect ASHP winning more often after the Vaillant swap
The efficient Vaillant aroTHERM plus 5 kW (ADR-0025) now raises SAP even on gas
dwellings, so the Optimiser selects the ASHP bundle far more often -- a deliberate
product shift (user-confirmed). Updated the integration/harness tests:
- ARA multi-measure: ASHP is additive to the kept fabric package -> add to set.
- ARA listed_uprn: is_listed blocks walls AND ASHP (blocks_internal); the gate is
  now observable via ASHP (selected unrestricted, blocked listed).
- report three-measures: ASHP + solid-floor displace the fabric stack; assert
  their triggers (property_type, main_heating_category / floor).
- console hhr + solid_wall coverage tests: assert the measure is OFFERED as a
  candidate (the wiring/eligibility intent), since ASHP now out-competes them in
  selection; also assert the optimised package leads with ASHP.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 21:49:12 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
b089bde1e6 docs(modelling): add Products term to CONTEXT (ADR-0025)
The rich catalogue collection over Product carrying cost-composition behaviour;
records the catalogue-math vs dwelling-interpretation split.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 21:33:09 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
32f1916619 test(modelling): finalize Vaillant ASHP swap on the cascade pins
The representative heat pump is now the Vaillant aroTHERM plus 5 kW (index
110257, committed with the generator). boiler-3's after-cert is re-sourced from
the corrected Vaillant relodgement and its cascade pin passes at delta 0
(SAP 63.85 -> 72.30). boiler-1 and boiler-2(instant-HW) pins are xfail pending
their own corrected Vaillant after-certs (_ASHP_PRODUCT_REPIN_REASON).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 21:33:09 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
449d8c5b95 fix(hw): direct-acting electric boiler (191) → zero primary circuit loss
SAP 10.2 Table 3 (PDF p.160) names "Direct-acting electric boiler"
verbatim in the primary-loss zero list (alongside electric immersion,
combi, CPSU, integral-vessel heat pump). RdSAP 10 §12 (p.62) classifies
SAP code 191 as the direct-acting electric boiler. Its cylinder is
immersion-heated with no primary pipework, so no primary circuit loss
applies — but `_primary_loss_applies` had no 191 branch, so a 191 main
(main_heating_category 2, "Boiler and radiators, electric") fell through
to the cat-{1,2} boiler branch and accrued ~1177 kWh/yr of phantom
primary loss on the electric-flat segment.

Validated against the cert-2474 worksheet: §4 (59) primary loss = 0,
(64) HW output 1760 (cylinder) + (64a) shower 581. Cert 2474 HW kWh
3585 → 2408; SAP 64.66 → 70.35 (the residual to the lodged 78 is an
Unknown-meter data-fidelity artifact — the register recorded meter_type=3
"Unknown" but the lodged rating used an 18-hour off-peak meter, per RdSAP
§12 / the example worksheets).

Eval mean|err| 1.720 → 1.708 (headline 45.0%, flat ±1 cert — the
electric-flat segment is dominated by the meter data-fidelity artifact).
Regression green (2448 pass incl. golden 6035 + ASHP cohort 1e-4);
pyright net-zero.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 21:31:27 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f06a048a6f feat(modelling): ASHP option carries the composite per-dwelling cost
Slice 9 of ADR-0025 costing. _ashp_option now prices via Products.ashp_bundle_
cost(ashp_cost_inputs(epc)) instead of the flat catalogue scalar; the catalogue
row is still read for its material_id. Pinned on boiler-3: gas reuse dwelling
composes to 15600.60 (decommission 720 + pump 9720 + cylinder 2382.60 + reuse
distribution 2778) with 25% contingency.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 21:17:06 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
6f136a8d6a feat(modelling): classify ASHP existing system by fuel code
Slice 8 of ADR-0025 costing. _existing_system keys on the heating fuel code,
not the mains_gas flag -- the 001431 electric fixtures all lodge mains_gas=True
(gas available at the property) while heating electrically (fuel 30), which the
flag-based check misread as gas (and would have wrongly reused a non-existent
wet system). Electric/gas/oil/LPG map to their categories; empty details ->
NONE; unrecognised -> OTHER (gas-line fallback).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 21:10:45 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f182f36802 feat(modelling): ashp_cost_inputs reads a dwelling into AshpCostInputs
Slice 7 of ADR-0025 costing: the modelling-layer interpretation half of the
split. ashp_cost_inputs derives existing system (mains_gas/fuel/SAP-code),
size band (floor area <= 75 m2), design heat loss (floor_area x 0.05 -- the
chosen proxy over HLC, ADR updated), radiator count (habitable + 3, floor-area
fallback) and reusable-wet-system flag. Catalogue math (Products) stays
EPC-free. ADR-0025 updated to record the floor-area pump-sizing choice.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:59:27 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
c7acf43b52 test(modelling): pin ASHP radiator-count clamp to table bounds
Slice 6 of ADR-0025 costing. Characterises the distribution clamp built in the
tracer: a radiator proxy below 4 prices as the 4-rad band, above 12 as the
12-rad band, in-range exact.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:44:57 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
fd9e020b09 test(modelling): pin ASHP heat-pump band round-up at the edges
Slice 5 of ADR-0025 costing. Characterises the pump-band selection built in
the tracer: a design heat loss is rounded UP to the smallest covering band
{5,8,11,15,16+} kW, and loads above the largest band take the top rate. Edge
pins (5.0/5.01/8.0/8.01/11.0/15.0/15.01/25.0) lock the boundaries.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:44:19 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
9860f06864 feat(modelling): ASHP decommission fallbacks for off-sheet systems
Slice 4 of ADR-0025 costing. ASHP is offered to any house regardless of fuel,
so _decommission now prices a fallback instead of raising: no system -> 0,
electric room/panel heaters -> electric-storage line, anything else -> gas
line (representative default). Never blocks ASHP eligibility.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:42:14 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
22612a19eb feat(modelling): ASHP reuse case prices flush + half distribution
Slice 3 of ADR-0025 costing. When the dwelling has a reusable wet system,
_distribution charges a power-flush (168) plus _REUSE_DISTRIBUTION_FRACTION
(0.5) of the full radiator band -- a documented stand-in for partial radiator
upsizing at ASHP flow temps, the headline uncertainty in the model. Without a
wet system the full new distribution is priced.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:41:06 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
cf7c2e017d feat(modelling): ASHP decommission cost by existing system
Slice 2 of ADR-0025 costing. _decommission maps the existing system to its
Southern Housing line: gas/oil flat 720, LPG 960 (tank+fuel removal),
electric-storage 570/840 by property-size band. Unmapped systems raise for
now -- the no-system/electric-other/other fallbacks land in the next slice.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:36:12 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
d23b84209d feat(modelling): Products.ashp_bundle_cost composite ASHP cost (tracer)
First slice of the per-dwelling ASHP bundle costing (ADR-0025). Products is
the rich catalogue collection over Product, owning the catalogue math: given
a typed AshpCostInputs it sums the applicable Southern Housing rate lines
(decommission + heat-pump band + fixed cylinder + full wet distribution) into
a Cost with the separate 25% ASHP contingency. Pure -- no EpcPropertyData or
calculator. Pinned exact (1e-9) against the real rate sheet. Reuse branch,
decommission variants, fallbacks, band edges and radiator clamp follow.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:32:54 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
2bc73fb08d fix(cost): HP-DHW from PCDB heat pump bills Table 12a ASHP_APP_N WH split
When DHW is heated by the main heat pump (WHC 901/902/914 = "from main
system") and the main carries a PCDB Table 362 record,
`_hot_water_fuel_cost_gbp_per_kwh` billed the electric HW at 100% off-peak
low rate (its long-standing TODO). SAP 10.2 Table 12a Grid 1 WH column
(PDF p.191) puts HP-DHW on the ASHP/GSHP-from-database row: 0.70
high-rate fraction at 7-hour and 10-hour → 0.70×14.68 + 0.30×7.50 =
12.526 p/kWh (10-hour), not 7.50 p. The low-rate collapse over-credited
the cat-4 HP-DHW cluster.

Fix: pass the cert WHC into the helper and, for HP-DHW (WHC ∈ {901,902,
914} + PCDB-HP main), bill at the ASHP_APP_N WH blended rate. Electric
IMMERSION (WHC 903) is a different Table 12a row (off-peak immersion 0.17
/ Table 13) and stays on the 100%-low-rate fallback until that slice
lands.

cat-4 cluster (20 certs): mean|err| 2.43→2.11, mean signed +0.06→-0.52
(now per-cert scatter, no systematic bias); cert 9472 +6.4→+3.2, 2789
+6.8→+4.0, 4135 +2.7→within 0.5. Headline mean|err| 1.727→1.720.
Regression green (2447 pass incl. golden 6035 + ASHP cohort at 1e-4);
pyright net-zero.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 19:54:01 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
e41a0bc0d7 fix(cost): PCDB heat pump without SAP code bills Table 12a ASHP_APP_N split
A heat pump that resolves via its PCDB Table 362 index alone (API path,
data_source=1, no Table-4a SAP code) had sap_main_heating_code=None, so
`_table_12a_system_for_main` fell through the 211-227/521-524 code-range
gate to None → the "100% off-peak low-rate" fallback. On a Dual meter
(RdSAP §12 Rule 3 routes heat pumps to the 10-hour tariff) this billed
space heating at 7.50 p/kWh instead of the SAP 10.2 Table 12a Grid 1
(PDF p.191) ASHP/GSHP-from-database row: 0.80 high-rate fraction →
0.80×14.68 + 0.20×7.50 = 13.244 p/kWh. The collapse over-credited the
whole cat-4 heat-pump cluster.

Fix: route any main with a PCDB heat-pump record to ASHP_APP_N regardless
of SAP code (a Table 362 record IS an Appendix-N heat pump by
definition). ASHP_APP_N and GSHP_APP_N share the 0.80 SH fraction at
7h/10h, so ASHP_APP_N is the canonical Appendix-N row for the SH split.

cat-4 cluster (20 certs): within-0.5 45%→50%, mean signed +1.43→+0.06,
mean|err| 3.81→2.43; cert 9472 +15.0→+6.4, 2789 +13.4→+6.8. Headline
45.0%→45.1%, mean|err| 1.757→1.727. Regression green (only the
pre-existing test_total_floor_area fails); pyright net-zero.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 19:48:37 +00:00