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Author SHA1 Message Date
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
e097ce2cef docs: finalise 7536 as 0240-like (resid +1, do not chase)
After three faithful-worksheet iterations (simulated cases 15/16/17), the
7536 +1 SAP residual is confirmed 0240-like — an Elmhurst register-rounding
residual not reproducible from the API-only JSON, not a calculator bug.

Case 17 is faithful on windows (Main 16.98 / Ext1 13.59 / Ext2 1.89) and
ground floors; every per-element value matches our cascade: walls
0.70/0.28/0.40, roofs 0.40/0.18/0.68 (S0380.214), window U-eff
2.4368/1.8519, ground floors 0.97/0.26/1.12. The only worksheet divergences
were manual-entry artifacts: case-16 inverted the floor order (put the
50.98 m² upper floor as ground), and case-17 auto-derived spurious "to
external air" exposed floors from the small-ground/big-upper geometry —
real 7536 lodges floor_heat_loss 2/7/3 (unheated-space / ground), none is
code 1 (exposed). Our spec-correct cont SAP is 68.924; lodged 68 carries
Elmhurst's own residual.

Notes-only; pin unchanged (resid +1, PE -6.1952, CO2 -0.1639). Suite green.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 09:41:48 +00:00
Daniel Roth
db2cbc9c57 SharePoint upload is skipped when client is None 🟩 2026-06-04 09:33:07 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
8b5ab1c59e feat(modelling): turnkey offline cohort script (tables + CSV)
CertResult now carries its Plan (with flat baseline/post-SAP/measures
properties), and `format_cohort_csv` renders one browsable row per cert
(SAP transition, band, measures, cost, bill saving, valuation %, error).
`scripts/run_modelling_cohort.py` is turnkey: no args runs the committed
golden cohort, prints a sense-check table for the first measure-bearing
certs (a capped preview so a large dump doesn't flood the terminal), the
summary, and writes modelling_cohort.csv (gitignored). Point it at the
EPC dump when it lands.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 09:30:53 +00:00
Daniel Roth
416dac0512 SharePoint upload is skipped when client is None 🟥 2026-06-04 09:29:24 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
d8ef40c745 feat(modelling): offline cohort runner over an EPC-JSON dump
`harness.cohort.run_cohort(paths)` parses each API-shaped EPC JSON with
from_api_response and models it via run_modelling — no database, no
network — capturing per-cert errors instead of aborting the sweep, plus
`format_cohort_summary`. A thin `scripts/run_modelling_cohort.py` CLI
points it at a directory. Proven over the 57 golden API certs: 56 ran
offline, 15 produced measures, 1 errored (COAL has no Fuel Rates entry —
a BillDerivation coverage gap, not a harness one). Ready for the EPC dump.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 09:23:32 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
98f5ee4fca feat(modelling): robust offline modelling inspection (run_modelling)
Two fixes that unblock offline, no-database inspection over an arbitrary
EPC dump:

- Complete the harness sample catalogue with loft_insulation and
  solid_floor_insulation — the four fabric generators can emit five
  Measure Types, but the catalogue priced only three, so an offline run
  on a property with an uninsulated loft or solid floor raised mid-run.
  A new test pins the catalogue to cover every generator Measure Type.
- Add `run_modelling(epc, ...)` — runs ONLY the Modelling stage (no
  Ingestion / Baseline), so it needs no lodged recorded-performance / RHI
  and inspects recommendations on any calculator-scorable EPC. `run_one`
  (full pipeline) stays for when you want Baseline too.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 09:19:18 +00:00
Daniel Roth
eb72b0223f add ECO_SHAREPOINT_ID env var 2026-06-04 09:11:08 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
b3f4609c2d feat(modelling): wire Valuation Uplift onto the Plan
The Plan derives its Valuation Uplift (ADR-0018) from its baseline -> post
band jump and works+contingency cost, given one external input — the
Property's current market value (a Property Valuation, mostly absent).
`Plan.valuation` / `Plan.baseline_epc_rating` are derived like the other
headline figures; `PlanModel.from_domain` maps the £ forms to the live
plan.valuation_* columns (NULL when no value — the percentage is not
persisted on those columns). `Property.current_market_value` is the new
optional source; the orchestrator threads it onto the Plan. `run_one`
takes a `current_market_value` so the harness can value the uplift, and
the sense-check table shows the average % (always) plus the £ forms when
known.

Sourcing the current market value (upload / default) remains deferred
(ADR-0018); it is None throughout until that lands, so the columns stay
NULL at scale.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 08:59:04 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
ac7f510ccb S0380.214: as-built sloping-ceiling roof → Table 18 col (3)
A "Pitched, sloping ceiling" roof (roof_construction code 8) lodged with
"As Built" insulation (no measured thickness → None) was wrongly routed to
RdSAP 10 Table 18 column (1) "insulation between joists or unknown". A
sloping ceiling has no joist void, so per RdSAP 10 §5.11 roof-input item
5-5 ("Sloping ceiling insulation … unknown / as built → Table 18") and
Table 18 note (b) ("Applies also to roof with sloping ceiling") it takes
column (3) — band F = 0.68, band L = 0.18 (vs col 1 0.40 / 0.16).

Discriminator is the code-8 "sloping ceiling" string only: code-5 vaulted
ceilings stay on column (1) per the 33 cohort-2 "ND" vaulted certs
(S0380.211), and the "NI"/"ND" unknown case is untouched. New
`is_pitched_sloping_ceiling` flag threaded from heat_transmission to
`u_roof`; pre-1950 bands already reach the same col (3) value (2.30) via
the mapper's thickness=0 → Table 16 row-0 override, so the new branch
carries the post-1950 bands where col 1 ≠ col 3.

Worksheet-validated by simulated case 15 (the 7536 replica): our cascade
on its Summary matches the P960 worksheet exactly — roof HLC 29.17 W/K,
cont SAP 65.04 vs 65. Re-pins golden cert 7536: roof 26.77 → 29.17, cont
SAP 69.071 → 68.924, PE -7.0776 → -6.1952, CO2 -0.1875 → -0.1639 (SAP
integer 68, resid +1 unchanged — the remaining +0.92 is a diffuse demand
under-count needing a fully-faithful worksheet). Blast radius: 7536 only.

Suite: 2388 passed, 1 skipped (main); sap10_ml 233 passed + 2 pre-existing
stone-formula failures (out of scope). Zero new pyright errors.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 08:58:37 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
e6f54df92b feat(modelling): ValuationUplift domain class (percentage-primary)
The financial-uplift model per ADR-0018. `estimate_valuation_uplift(
current_band, target_band, current_value=None, total_cost=None)` returns
a `ValuationUplift`: band-transition uplift compounded from four broker
tables (MoneySupermarket / Lloyds per-step, Knight Frank / Rightmove
whole-jump), taking min/max/mean across the covering sources. Always a
percentage; absolute £ forms (increase at each bound + post-retrofit
value) only when a current market value is supplied; the 2x ROI cap
rescales the percentages and can only bite once a value is known. A
non-improving jump is a clean 0% no-op.

Pure function, no external dependency. Persisting it (where the value
lands) and sourcing the current market value stay deferred (ADR-0018).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 08:33:19 +00:00
Daniel Roth
0bec880c6e
Merge pull request #1163 from Hestia-Homes/pashub-fetcher-all-files
Pashub fetcher: Optionally fetch all files. Also make ECS certificate a core file
2026-06-04 09:31:29 +01:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
31da90f5eb feat(modelling): persist recommendation.material_id from the catalogue
Expand half of the recommendation_materials retirement (ADR-0017). A
Plan Measure installs a single Product, so thread its catalogue id end to
end — Product.id -> MeasureOption.material_id -> PlanMeasure.material_id
-> recommendation.material_id — replacing the per-material BOM child
table with one nullable column on the row. ProductPostgresRepository
reads the id from MaterialRow; the four fabric generators set it on their
Option; the orchestrator carries it onto the Plan Measure; the mirror
declares + maps the column. Optional throughout (the JSON stopgap
catalogue carries no ids -> NULL).

The multi-measure integration test now pins each persisted measure's
material_id to its seeded MaterialRow id. Migration spec (live column
must be added before this deploys; contraction is the owner's next step)
in docs/migrations/recommendation-material-id.md.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 08:26:58 +00:00
Daniel Roth
1c1642c1c5 add TODO comment 2026-06-04 08:19:16 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
c5520b82f9 feat(modelling): run_one console entrypoint for DB-less inspection
Slice 3. `harness.console.run_one(epc, goal_band=...)` wires the full
AraFirstRunPipeline against in-memory fakes — no Postgres, no network —
runs one property, prints the sense-check table, and returns the Plan
for interactive poking from a REPL at the worktree root. Defaults to the
committed harness sample catalogue.

Refactors the slice-1 integration test to delegate to run_one (dropping
~70 lines of duplicated wiring + the now-unused test catalogue fixture),
so it exercises the shipped entrypoint rather than a parallel copy. The
new console test covers run_one's print/return contract.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 08:14:14 +00:00
Daniel Roth
09e31c2a98 correct magicplan orchestration tests 2026-06-04 08:13:20 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
9329978374 feat(modelling): sense-check table for a Plan in the DB-less harness
Slice 2. `harness.plan_table.format_plan_table(plan)` renders a Plan as a
plain-text table — one package summary line (baseline SAP/band -> post
SAP/band, CO2 saved, cost of works + contingency, bill saved) and one
line per Plan Measure (signed SAP points, cost, delivered kWh + £
savings). Pure presentation: reads the Plan, computes nothing. The
DB-less First Run test now prints it (visible under `pytest -s`) so the
modelled package can be eyeballed and debugged by hand.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 08:06:53 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
26d7fc036e docs(modelling): record Valuation Uplift design (ADR-0018 + glossary)
From the grill-with-docs pass on the depth+scale phase. Splits the
overloaded "valuation" into two glossary terms — Property Valuation
(current market value, a Baseline attribute, mostly missing) and
Valuation Uplift (plan-conditional, percentage-primary; absolute £ only
when a Property Valuation exists, 2x ROI cap on the £ form). ADR-0018
records the percentage-primary decision and why (the EPC scale corpus
has no market values, so a value-primary model produces nothing), plus
the deferred sourcing / per-measure / rental-yield items.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 07:52:33 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
d5f1fc335b test(modelling): run First Run with no database via in-memory fakes
Slice 1 of the DB-less inspection harness. Complete the in-memory
FakeUnitOfWork so the ModellingOrchestrator runs with no Postgres:
add FakeScenarioRepository + FakePlanRepository (idempotent, keyed by
(property_id, scenario_id)), expose scenario/product/plan on the fake
unit, and grow FakePropertyRepo to compose the effective EPC from the
EPC repo at read time — mirroring PropertyPostgresRepository, so the
EPC Ingestion persists is visible to Baseline + Modelling (the
through-repos hand-off, in memory).

The new integration test drives the full AraFirstRunPipeline
(Ingestion -> Baseline -> Modelling) against the FakeUnitOfWork — no
Session ever opened — on the uninsulated 000490 fixture with its lodged
recorded-performance filled in (it already carries the RHI block, so
Baseline can run) and asserts a multi-measure Plan is produced. The
committed product catalogue prices the wall/floor/ventilation measures
it fires.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 07:51:44 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
ec64c39d74 docs: correct 2130/7536 drive-to-zero diagnosis (distinct causes, not shared)
Per each cert's notes: 7536 is a glazing-U gap (S0380.97 glazing_type=2
Table 24 default vs the cert's higher lodged U on multi-age bps) — the
tractable target; 2130's SAP +1 is a PV-β cohort cascade interaction, not
a fabric line. The earlier "multi-part wall, shared cause" label was wrong.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 00:14:10 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f50195ac54 docs: handover — golden SAP drive-to-zero priority (2130/7536); 0240 architectural
Add a CURRENT PRIORITY section: of 53 pinned golden certs, 3 have non-zero
SAP residual. 2130 (+0.85 cont) + 7536 (+0.57 cont) are real multi-part-wall
fabric over-predictions (the drive-to-zero targets, possibly one shared
cause). 0240 (-1) is architectural — the lodged 73 needs an unpreserved
2013+ pump; document the cause, do NOT re-pin (user decision).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 00:00:23 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
b9bbcecb42 docs: Thread 2 cost +4 closed by S0380.213 heat-network standing charge
Record the £120 standing-charge fix (Table 12 note (l) + §C3.2, case 14
(351)), the corrected diagnosis (standing charge, not cost scaling — the
4.24 p/kWh heat price was already right), the double-count avoidance, and
the remaining ~7% demand over-count (SAP -2). Bump HEAD/baseline/next-slice.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 23:46:32 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
ee484d9f4a S0380.213: heat-network standing charge (£120) — fixes 9390 cost under-count
Cert 9390 (community mains-gas boiler, API main_fuel_type=20) drew £0
standing charge → fuel cost under-counted → SAP read +4 high (71 vs 67).

Root cause: the standing-charge logic (`additional_standing_charges_gbp`)
only knows the GAS branch (`_is_gas_code`) and the off-peak-electric branch.
A heat-network community fuel is not a Table-32 gas code — EPC 20 = "mains
gas (community)" normalises to Table-32 code 20 (biomass), so
`_is_gas_code(20)` is False and the standing came out £0. The Summary path
masks this because it lodges community gas as Table-32 code 1 (ordinary
mains gas), which IS gas-recognised and already draws the £120 gas standing
— so the CH1-6 corpus was unaffected while the API path lost the charge.

Spec basis (verified against SAP 10.2 spec PDF):
- Table 12 (p.191) "Heat networks" row standing charge = £120/yr, note (k).
- Note (l): "Include half this value if only DHW is provided by a heat
  network."
- §C3.2 (p.58): the full charge applies when the space heating is also a
  heat network.
Worksheet-validated: simulated case 14 (community boilers + mains gas,
space + water) → worksheet (351) Additional standing charges = £120.

Fix: new `_heat_network_standing_charge_gbp(epc, main)` returns the
heat-network standing (£120 full when the space main is a heat network;
£60 when only DHW is on the network) or None otherwise. Applied at both
fuel-cost call sites, REPLACING the fuel-based `additional_standing_charges
_gbp` for heat-network mains (NOT additive) so a Summary-path community-gas
main — already £120 via the gas branch — is not double-counted to £240. The
CH1-6 community corpus stays exactly £120 (59 corpus tests pass).

9390 SAP +4 → -2 (cont 65.39 vs lodged 67): the spec-correct £120 standing
EXPOSES a separate ~7% demand over-count (also visible as PE 220 vs lodged
205) — a heat-source-efficiency-default / fabric residual, follow-up scope.
9390 is unpinned (retired P2.2 per ADR-0010 §10); helper locked by 2 unit
tests. Full suite 2386 passed, 1 skipped.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 23:45:24 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f658f7ce71 docs: Thread 2 CO2/PE collision fixed by S0380.212; cost +4 tail open
Record the heat-network fuel-code collision fix (EPC 20 'mains gas
(community)' → Table-12 51), case-14 validation, and the remaining
cost-scaling gap (heat-network cost path missing 1/heat_source_eff).
Bump HEAD/next-slice; update shipped + audit tables.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 23:27:45 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
08dd0b4c73 S0380.212: fix community fuel-code collision in heat-network CO2/PE/cost
Cert 9390-2722-3520 (community mains-gas boiler scheme, sap_main_heating_
code=301, main_fuel_type=20) emitted CO2 0.44 t vs lodged 2.8 t — 6.4x low.

Root cause: the EPC `main_fuel_type` enum and the SAP Table 12 / Table 32
fuel-code numbering COLLIDE in the 18-25 range. Per
`datatypes/epc/domain/epc_codes.csv` (RdSAP-Schema-17.0) EPC fuel
20 = "mains gas (community)", but Table 12/32 code 20 is a solid biomass
fuel (CO2 0.028, PE 1.046, wood-logs price). The factor lookups
(`co2_factor_kg_per_kwh` / `primary_energy_factor` / `unit_price_p_per_kwh`)
check the Table-12/32 dict FIRST, so the EPC community fuel 20 silently
returned the biomass factor instead of translating 20 -> Table 12 code 51
(community mains gas: CO2 0.210, PE 1.130, mains-gas price).

Fix: new `_heat_network_factor_fuel_code(main)` translates the EPC community
fuel to its Table-12 code via `API_FUEL_TO_TABLE_12`, but ONLY for
heat-network mains (`_is_heat_network_main`) — a genuine biomass boiler
(non-community) keeps its raw Table-12 factor. Applied at the five
heat-network factor sites: space-heating CO2 / PE / unit-price and
water-heating (WHC 901) CO2 / PE. The Summary path is unaffected (it maps
"Mains gas - community" to code 1, no collision), so the community-heating
corpus (CH1-6) is untouched.

Worksheet-validated against simulated case 14 (community boilers + mains
gas, SAP code 301): worksheet (367) CO2 factor 0.2100, (467) PE factor
1.1300 — exactly the Table-12 code-51 values the translator now reaches.
9390 CO2 0.44 -> 3.03 t (lodged 2.8; spec-correct factors over the API-only
register residual per [[feedback-worksheet-not-api-reference]]), PE 204 ->
220 (the spec-correct 1.13 factor; the prior 204≈205 match was the
collision coinciding with the register residual). 9390 is unpinned (retired
at P2.2 per ADR-0010 §10); the translator is locked by two unit tests.

REMAINING (separate follow-up): 9390 SAP +4 is a cost-side gap — the
heat-network cost path does not apply the 1/heat_source_eff (1/0.80)
scaling that the CO2/PE paths do, so community fuel cost under-counts.

Suite: 2616 passed, 1 skipped (community corpus green); the 2
test_rdsap_uvalues stone-formula failures are pre-existing (HEAD 58ff7d88).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 23:25:53 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
b8b7e02034 docs(modelling): next-phase handover — depth + scale e2e + grilling prompt
Capture the next phase (close persisted-field gaps + financial uplift, plus a
large-scale e2e run of a SAP 10.2 EPC dump and console manual testing; measure
coverage deferred) and a self-contained handover prompt for a fresh agent to
pick up via a grilling session.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 23:09:08 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
c3c44fa3d0 docs: Thread 2 unblocked — case 14 (code-301 boiler+gas) arbitrates 9390
Record the community mains-gas BOILER worksheet (case 14): target (386)
heat-network CO2 factor 0.2640, distribution loss 1.49, code 301. 9390
decomposition: PE matches (204 vs 205), CO2 6.5x low (collision), SAP +4
separate cost gap.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 23:07:05 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
55af4ee2d7 docs: Thread 1 (roof) CLOSED by S0380.211; Thread 2 needs code-301 gas ws
Record the roof closure (vaulted NI → Table 18 col 1 0.16, cohort-arbitrated
not the guessed 0.25), the AGENT_GUIDE suite-command gap (sap10_ml/tests/ not
run) + pre-existing stone failures, cases 11/12/13 now available, and the
fuel-20 = community-gas (Table 12 code 51) note. Thread 2 still needs a
code-301 community-boiler + mains-gas worksheet (case 13 is code-302 CHP).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 22:59:35 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
90f6720cae S0380.211: vaulted/sloping roof NI insulation → Table 18 col (1), not 50 mm
Closes the Ext1 vaulted-roof over-count that S0380.209 exposed on golden
cert 0240-0200-5706. BP2 lodges roof_construction=5 (vaulted ceiling),
roof_insulation_thickness="NI" (parsed to 0), description "Pitched,
insulated (assumed)", band J. The cascade returned U=0.68 — the RdSAP 10
§5.11.4 (p.44) retrofit-50 mm "insulation at joists" row. A vaulted /
sloping ceiling has no ceiling-joist void, so that row does not apply; per
RdSAP 10 §5.11 Table 18 (p.45) it takes the column (1) age-band default
(band J = 0.16).

The arbiter is the cohort, not the spec text alone: 33 cohort-2 certs
lodge "ND" (thickness None) vaulted roofs (roof_construction=5, band D)
that already pin to their dr87 worksheets at U=0.40 = Table 18 col (1) by
falling through the age-band default. 0240's only difference is the "NI"
sentinel (insulation present, unknown thickness) which uniquely hit the
0.68 override. (The S0380.209 note's predicted "cont ≈ 72.31" assumed a
col-3 0.25 value; the cohort's ND vaulted roofs disprove that — they use
col (1), so 0240 lands at cont 72.4617.)

Implementation: new `u_roof(is_sloping_ceiling=...)` flag, threaded from
heat_transmission for roof_construction_type containing "sloping ceiling"
(code 8) or "vaulted" (code 5). It fires only for the NI case
(thickness 0 + "insulated (assumed)"), routing to the col (1) age-band
default; the "ND"/None path is untouched (already col 1) and a NORMAL
pitched-with-loft roof still takes the §5.11.4 50 mm row (flag defaults
False). roof 76.93 → ~68 W/K → 0240 PE +5.5044 → +1.5181, CO2 +0.2757 →
+0.0728 (SAP integer 72 unchanged — the true value; lodged 73 needs the
unpreserved 2013+ pump).

Also corrects test_u_wall_cavity_as_built_partial_insulation_routes_to_
filled_cavity_row → ..._routes_to_as_built_row: a missed S0380.210
follow-up. That test (in domain/sap10_ml/tests/, which the AGENT_GUIDE §4
suite command does not run) asserted the pre-S0380.210 "partial insulation
→ filled" behavior on legacy-map parity, not worksheet evidence; S0380.210
corrected it to the as-built row per RdSAP 10 Table 6 + golden cert 0390's
four-metric closure.

Suite: 2614 passed, 1 skipped; the 2 remaining failures in
test_rdsap_uvalues.py (stone §5.6 thin-wall formula vs Table-6 1.7 cap)
are pre-existing (fail at HEAD 58ff7d88, before this branch's work).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 22:57:22 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
a25495d770 docs(modelling): handover — plan_recommendations retired + models consolidated
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 22:57:08 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
6f0dcc0455 test(modelling): characterise the portfolio aggregation over plan_id
Pin the FE-facing aggregate_portfolio_recommendations (previously untested): it
sums a Scenario's default Recommendations onto the Scenario row, joining
Recommendation → Plan on recommendation.plan_id. Locks the m2m→plan_id read cut
for the FE-critical path, now testable thanks to the full-parity ScenarioModel.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 22:54:15 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
c18968ba3c refactor(modelling): consolidate scenario + installed_measure into the subpackage
Move the scenario and installed_measure tables into
infrastructure/postgres/modelling/ as full-parity SQLModel definitions
(ScenarioModel, InstalledMeasureModel + MeasureType), completing the cluster
consolidation. backend/app/db/models/recommendations.py is now a pure
re-export shim.

ScenarioModel.goal is the PortfolioGoal enum (legacy planning branches on it),
sourced from domain/modelling/portfolio_goal.py; the repo's to_domain maps it to
its value string, so domain Scenario.goal is now the value ("Increasing EPC")
consistent with the orchestrator's check — fixing the latent name-vs-value
inconsistency the old str column masked (the scenario repo test stored the enum
*name*). Parity columns are nullable (mirror convention; live NOT-NULLs owned by
Drizzle).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 22:52:35 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
2fbd7147b7 refactor(modelling): move PortfolioGoal to domain/modelling/
PortfolioGoal is domain vocabulary (a Scenario's goal — legacy planning branches
on PortfolioGoal.INCREASING_EPC), so it belongs in domain/ co-located with
scenario.py, mirroring how domain/epc/wall_type.py holds an enum that
infrastructure/ imports. This lets the consolidated ScenarioModel (next slice)
source the goal enum from domain without an infra→backend dependency.
portfolio.py keeps a re-export so every existing
`from ...portfolio import PortfolioGoal` caller is unaffected.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 22:44:48 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
01c2c3910e refactor(modelling): rename the cluster SQLModel classes …Row → …Model
Standardise the modelling persistence classes on the …Model suffix (PlanModel,
RecommendationModel, RecommendationMaterialModel) — matching the epc_property
precedent and the legacy names the rest of backend/ already imports, so the
shim's plan re-export becomes literal (no alias) and the eventual shim deletion
needs zero renames. The …Row→…Model sweep for the non-cluster tables
(Property/Task/Material/…) waits until their live legacy …Model counterparts
are retired, to avoid reintroducing dual-definition collisions. No behaviour
change.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 22:42:21 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
0add6b6a59 docs: mark Thread 3 (cert 0390) CLOSED by S0380.210
Update the mapper-bugs handover: Thread 3 closed via the cavity
"partial insulation (assumed)" → "Cavity as built" routing fix; record
the latent open question about the unvalidated "insulated (assumed)" →
filled-cavity test (slice S-B25). Bump HEAD/baseline/next-slice.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 21:58:37 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
c75ef6417f S0380.210: cert 0390 cavity "partial insulation (assumed)" → as-built row, not filled
Golden cert 0390-2954-3640 (detached, TFA 360, age F) carried a +7 SAP /
-28 kWh/m² PE residual the audit attributed to a demand-side fabric gap.
Walking the §3 cascade localised it to the Main wall: lodged
wall_construction=4 (cavity), wall_insulation_type=4 (as-built / assumed),
description "Cavity wall, as built, partial insulation (assumed)". The
cascade mis-routed it to the Table 6 "Filled cavity" row (band F = 0.40)
because `_described_as_insulated` matches the "partial insulation"
substring.

RdSAP 10 Specification (10-06-2025) Table 6 — Wall U-values, England
distinguishes two cavity rows:
  "Cavity as built"  A-E 1.5, F 1.0, G 0.60, H 0.60, I 0.45, J 0.35, ...
  "Filled cavity"    A-E 0.7, F 0.40, G 0.35, H 0.35, I 0.45†, J 0.35†, ...
An "as built ... partial insulation (assumed)" cavity is the as-built
partial fill of the age band, NOT a retrofit cavity fill (a genuine fill
lodges the distinct "Cavity wall, filled cavity", wall_insulation_type=2).
It therefore routes to "Cavity as built" (band F = 1.0), mirroring the
worksheet-validated solid-brick rule in S0380.209 (cases 9/10: "as built,
insulated (assumed)" → as-built age-band row, not retrofit).

New `_cavity_described_as_filled` predicate is used only in u_wall's
cavity filled-row branch; it excludes the "partial insulation" substring
while keeping "insulated (assumed)" → filled (the unrelated, separately
asserted test_cavity_as_built_insulated_assumed_uses_filled_cavity_row is
unchanged). The shared `_described_as_insulated` (also consumed by the
roof/floor paths) is left untouched.

Wall HLC +53.6 W/K (U 0.40 → 1.0 over ~268 m²) lifts all four metrics
together — the signature of a real fabric bug, not a tuned offset:
  SAP  +7      → +0
  PE   -27.9745 → +0.5281 kWh/m²
  CO2  -2.7134  → -0.1189 t/yr
Bands I-M are unaffected (the two rows coincide per the † footnote), so
golden certs 0535 (band M) / 7536 (band L) with "insulated (assumed)"
cavities continue to pin at 0. Full suite 2384 passed, 1 skipped.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 21:57:00 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
58ff7d8881 docs: handover for golden-cert mapper/cascade bugs (roof S0380.210 + community fuel collision)
Records post-S0380.209 state: 0240 verdict (true SAP 72, register 73 = unpreserved
2013+ pump, proven 0=Unknown via 13 pairs), and three open threads — roof Ext1
"insulated (assumed)" U over-count (needs case 11 worksheet), community fuel-code
collision (API 18-25 vs Table-12 biomass 18-25; cert 9390 CO2 6x low; needs 9390
worksheet), and 0390 +7 demand-side gap. Plus the audit table of all 5 non-zero-SAP
golden certs.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 21:22:04 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
b97d06882f feat(modelling): drop the plan_recommendations m2m
Stop writing the m2m (remove create_plan_recommendations + its call, the bulk
link insert and the now-dead plan_ids_by_index, and the plan_recommendations
delete in delete_property_batch) and remove the PlanRecommendationRow model +
its shim alias and the test_export fixture inserts. Measures now link to their
Plan solely via recommendation.plan_id (writers set it, readers join on it).

The live drop of the plan_recommendations table is the FE-owned Drizzle
migration documented in docs/migrations/recommendation-plan-id.md, sequenced
after the read-cut + backfill.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 21:13:00 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
af5dbe325d feat(modelling): cut plan→recommendation readers onto plan_id
Rewrite the three structurally-identical m2m-join readers
(portfolio_functions.aggregate_portfolio_recommendations,
Outputs.get_recommendations_from_db, export get_recommendations) to join
PlanModel directly via recommendation.plan_id, dropping the plan_recommendations
join and its now-unused import. The writers set plan_id (prior slice), so the
rows resolve. test_export pins the export reader through the cut (its fixtures
now set recommendation.plan_id). A portfolio_functions DB characterization test
lands with the scenario consolidation (which provides the full-parity scenario
table the aggregation writes to).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 21:09:43 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
27fcc5b184 feat(modelling): legacy writers set recommendation.plan_id (dual-write)
upload_recommendations and bulk_upload_recommendations_and_materials now set
plan_id on each recommendation row (the plan id is already in scope), while
still writing the plan_recommendations m2m — the dual-write that lets readers
move onto plan_id with no breakage during the transition (ADR-0017 amendment /
docs/migrations/recommendation-plan-id.md). The m2m write is removed in a later
slice once no reader depends on it.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 21:01:56 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
c1c7b06f09 refactor(modelling): consolidate plan/recommendation models into infrastructure
Move the live plan, recommendation, recommendation_materials and (retiring)
plan_recommendations tables into a new infrastructure/postgres/modelling/
subpackage as single SQLModel definitions (the epc_property pattern), absorbing
the rebuild's partial PlanRow/RecommendationRow mirrors and carrying full
legacy column parity plus recommendation.plan_id. Out-of-cluster references are
plain indexed ints (mirror convention); the live FKs are owned by the Drizzle
schema. backend/app/db/models/recommendations.py becomes a re-export shim
(ScenarioModel/InstalledMeasure stay for a later slice).

Fix the export conftest to create SQLModel-first (so Base funding_package's FK
to the now-SQLModel plan resolves) and skip the redundant drop_all on its
function-scoped throwaway DB (the epc enum type is now shared across both
metadatas). Resolves the pre-existing dual-definition collision: the rebuild
and legacy export suites are now co-runnable. No behaviour change.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 21:00:14 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
844fc22f67 S0380.209: API-path wall U — as-built "insulated (assumed)" uses age-band row, not 50mm
The EPC renders a recent-band as-built wall as "<material>, as built,
insulated (assumed)". The API mapper populates epc.walls with that string,
and heat_transmission's wall_ins_present gate keyed off the "insulated"
substring → routed the wall to the RdSAP 50 mm "insulation of unknown
thickness" bucket (e.g. sandstone band J U=0.25) instead of the as-built
age-band row (U=0.35).

Per RdSAP 10 Table 8/9 footnote the 50 mm row applies ONLY when insulation
is "known to have been increased subsequently (otherwise 'as built'
applies)". An "as built ... (assumed)" description is the EPC's age-band
assumption — it only renders on RECENT bands (an old band renders "no
insulation (assumed)"), so the as-built row applies. Genuine retrofit is
signalled by wall_insulation_type (External/Internal/Filled), which the
gate still checks independently.

Worksheet-validated by two new Elmhurst worksheets, both As Built band J:
  - simulated case 9: sandstone   → (29a) U 0.35
  - simulated case 10: solid brick → (29a) U 0.35
both the as-built row, NOT 50 mm (0.25).

Fix: restrict the description-based gate to genuine retrofit via the new
local `_described_as_retrofit_insulated` (excludes "as built"/"(assumed)").
The cavity filled-row routing inside `u_wall` (which uses
`_described_as_insulated` directly) is untouched — the 3 cavity API certs
(0390/0535/7536) are unaffected.

test_heat_transmission: the old `..._uses_50mm_row` test asserted 50 mm via
an IMPOSSIBLE band-B + "insulated (assumed)" combination; corrected to a
valid recent-band (J) scenario asserting the as-built row (35 W/K).

Golden 0240: walls 24.45 → 34.23 W/K (U 0.25 → 0.35). SAP integer 72
unchanged; PE residual re-pinned +1.8687 → +5.5044, CO2 +0.0907 → +0.2757.
This spec-correct fix REMOVED the wall under-count that was masking the
Ext1 vaulted-roof over-count (cascade U 0.68 via the same "insulated
(assumed)" description vs case-9 sloping-ceiling 0.25) — that roof
over-count is the next slice; fixing both lands SAP cont ≈ 72.31 (=
Elmhurst case 9).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 20:42:18 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
b76d0f814b docs(modelling): design the plan_recommendations retirement (ADR-0017 amendment)
Rewrite the migration spec into the full expand/contract sequence (add plan_id
→ backfill → dual-write → cut reads → drop) with the two load-bearing rules:
backfill before any read cuts over, and dual-write the m2m until all reads are
off it (the Drizzle FE reads the tables directly, so the repos can't deploy
atomically). Amend ADR-0017 from "m2m retired for new writes" to "m2m dropped +
one SQLModel definition per table under infrastructure/postgres/modelling/".

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 20:24:30 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
ae5bbd0646 docs(modelling): handover — per-measure bill savings landed (telescoping cascade)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 18:02:18 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
b976c3abd2 feat(modelling): attribute per-measure bill savings via a telescoping cascade
`_plan_for` now scores the baseline + every cumulative prefix once
(`cascade_scores`, best-practice order) and reuses those Scores for both the
role-3 marginal attribution and a per-measure bill cascade: bill each prefix at
one Fuel Rates snapshot and take consecutive Bill deltas as each measure's
marginal delivered-kWh and £ saving. Saving is signed (ventilation is
negative) and telescopes exactly to the Plan headline savings, because the
Plan's baseline/post Bills are now the same cascade endpoints (`bills[0]` /
`bills[-1]`) — which also drops the redundant standalone baseline `calculate`.

`recommendation.kwh_savings` / `energy_cost_savings` are filled from these.
Adds `Bill.total_consumption_kwh` (shared by Plan + the orchestrator). Pinned
end-to-end on the real calculator: Σ per-measure savings == the Plan totals
(ADR-0014 amendment).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 18:01:11 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
7e79c30af1 feat(modelling): Plan Measure carries per-measure kwh/cost savings
`PlanMeasure` grows optional `kwh_savings` (delivered energy) and
`energy_cost_savings` (£) — its slice of the telescoping bill cascade, signed
so positive is a saving and `None` until billing runs. `RecommendationRow`
declares the matching live `recommendation.kwh_savings` /
`energy_cost_savings` columns and maps them in `from_domain` (None → NULL).
The vestigial `recommendation.energy_savings` stays undeclared (legacy = 0).
No FE migration — the columns already exist on the live table (ADR-0014 / 0017).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 17:58:06 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
fe59c4d8a2 S0380.208: case 7 combi e2e fixture — condensing-oil-combi path validated exact
Adds simulated case 7: case 6 (P960-0001-001431) with the heating swapped
to a CONDENSING OIL COMBI (SAP code 130, Table 4b 82/73) and the cylinder
removed — combi instantaneous DHW (WHC 901), Table 3a keep-hot combi loss
(61) = 600 kWh/yr, no primary/storage loss, boiler interlock PRESENT (no
−5pp). This is the heating archetype golden cert 0240-0200-5706-2365-8010
uses, which case 6 (SAP code 127, a *regular* condensing oil boiler +
cylinder) never exercised.

The cascade reproduces the case-7 worksheet EXACTLY at abs=1e-4 on every
top-level SapResult output with ZERO calculator changes:
  (211) 7865.4304  (213) 7556.9821  (219) 3496.8121  (98c) 12646.3783
  (255) 1123.3372  (257) 1.9631     (272) 5738.9315  (258) 73
This validates the SAP 10.2 Appendix D Eq D1 combi efficiency blend +
Table 3a keep-hot combi loss + Table 4b code 130 (82/73) path, and
exonerates the combi mechanism as the source of 0240's API-path residual
— which therefore lives in 0240's fabric/demand or the API mapper.

Test-only slice (no impl change). New fixture file: 0 pyright errors.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 17:57:22 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
e79ffabfc5 refactor(modelling): expose cascade_scores for the role-3 + bill cascade
Pull the cumulative-prefix scoring out of `marginal_impacts` into a reusable
`cascade_scores(scorer, baseline, overlays) -> list[Score]` (index 0 the
baseline, one calculator run per prefix) plus a pure `marginals_from_scores`.
Each Score carries its SapResult, so the next slice's telescoping per-measure
bill cascade can re-bill the same prefixes the role-3 attribution already
scores — no extra `calculate` calls (ADR-0014 / ADR-0016). `marginal_impacts`
now delegates; behaviour unchanged.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 17:54:54 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
d36e42b582 docs(modelling): handover — plan-level Bill-Derivation landed; per-measure next
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 17:31:48 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
198122d145 feat(modelling): derive + persist plan-level post-retrofit bills (#1152 follow-up)
ModellingOrchestrator gains a constructor-injected FuelRatesRepository (mirrors
Baseline): run() resolves get_current() once and reuses one BillDerivation across
the batch. _plan_for prices the baseline and post-package end-states from the
SapResults already on their Scores (no extra calculate) and passes the Bills to
Plan. PlanRow mirror + from_domain gain the four live columns post_energy_bill /
energy_bill_savings / post_energy_consumption / energy_consumption_savings.
Pipeline/handler wire the fuel-rates repo. Integration tests assert the columns
persist: the multi-measure (fallback) plan shows positive bill+consumption
savings; the already-at-target zero-measure plan shows the current bill with
exactly zero savings. Fuel-switch measures price at the new fuel for free (we
bill the simulated end-state). 183 modelling/billing/orchestration/repo tests
pass, pyright strict clean. Plan-level only; per-measure savings next.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 17:30:47 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
26de28aae8 feat(modelling): Plan carries baseline/post Bills and derives the energy figures
Plan gains optional baseline_bill / post_bill (the Bills derived for the
unmodified and post-package end-states at one Fuel Rates snapshot) and derives
the four plan-level columns: post_energy_bill (post total), energy_bill_savings
(baseline - post), post_energy_consumption (Σ post section kWh), and
energy_consumption_savings (baseline - post delivered kWh). All return None until
billing runs (persisted as NULL), so existing Plan construction and the
not-yet-wired orchestrator stay green. Plan-level only; per-measure savings are a
later slice (ADR-0014 amendment).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 17:23:20 +00:00