30 pairs (28 deterministically scoreable) from the 2,000-postcode sweep,
frozen as ONE anonymised raw-payload JSON (pairs + cohorts + actuals — a
thousand per-cert files would drown the PR diff). The gate replays the
whole conditioning path offline — mapper, conditioning, selection,
synthesis, comparison — in ~9s; floors are the measured values, tighten-
only. comparable_from_payload is extracted from the corpus loader so both
fixture formats share one payload->ComparableProperty path; the builder
(build_expired_pairs_corpus.py) refreezes from the raw-JSON disk cache.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
roof_construction codes group by FORM (empirical: 1=Flat 98%, 4/5/8=
Pitched 88-99%, 3=dwelling-above 100% over 7,974 certs; 7/9=premises-
above per #1452), so the filter matches families — an exact-code filter
would wrongly drop pitched neighbours lodged as 5/8. Historic prefixes
map to the same families; roof rooms and thatch stay unconditioned.
Harness ladder replay and telemetry mirror the new filter.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Per pair, replay the age->fuel->TFA conditioning ladder over the plain
arm's cohort to record ENGAGED vs RELAXED per filter, and record whether
each historic stable attribute still agrees with the newly lodged cert
(the direct staleness measurement). Emitted as JSONL (--telemetry) and
aggregated into two diagnosis tables appended to the report.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Classification hit-rates for every compare_prediction component, all five
numeric residuals, and the secondary calculator-floored SAP residual
(calc(predicted) − lodged), plain vs conditioned side by side — the same
metric shape as the prediction-corpus gate (ADR-0030). Pair-check now
precedes the cohort fetch so a national postcode sweep only pays the
expensive search-by-postcode for shards that actually hold a pair.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Finds pre-2012 (S3 backup) x SAP-10.2 (new API) cert pairs per postcode,
predicts each from its leave-one-out cohort with and without ADR-0054
conditioning, and reports compare_prediction hit rates side by side.
Evidence for the stable-attribute whitelist, not a CI gate.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
EpcSource widens to "expired" (ADR-0054; the column is TEXT — no
migration). "predicted"/"expired" form one slot family: _slot_sources
routes every slot read and slot-clearing delete through the family, so a
re-ingestion flipping the flavour replaces the row instead of stranding
its sibling. FakeEpcRepo mirrors the family.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Pins behaviour the exact-match slice already carried (max by
lodgement_date; ISO dates sort lexicographically).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Golden cert 0330 now reaches band C on the dwelling-sized ASHP alone
(ADR-0049), dropping its solid_floor_insulation companion; cert 0390
still fires three measures, so the per-measure trigger-attribute
assertions move there (and gain the lighting triggers).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
`from_sap_schema_17_1` hardcoded is_dwelling_export_capable=False, so
SAP 10.2 Appendix M1 zeroed the PV export credit on every export-capable
full-SAP cert. Cert 0380-3044-6070-2305-5925 (property 741840, PRD #1435
WS3) now reproduces its lodged 92 exactly (was 89); the existing
19.1.0 pin 10096028301 closes its documented -1 residual (84 -> 85 =
lodged). The full-SAP top-level pv_connection is deliberately NOT
carried: its enum disagrees with the RdSAP one the calculator gates on.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>