Commit graph

737 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
a9632937d5 fix(ventilation): use lodged extract-fan count when known, not max(lodged, age default) (RdSAP 10 §4.1 Table 5, PDF p.28)
Table 5 reads "Number of extract fans if known; if number is unknown:
[age-band default]" — the default is an UNKNOWN-fallback, NOT a floor. The
cascade applied `max(lodged, table_5_default)`, flooring a genuinely-lodged
count up to the age-band minimum: e.g. an age H-M dwelling lodging 2 extract
fans was billed at the 6-8-room default of 3, over-counting ventilation line
(8) and the heat-loss coefficient. Fixed to `lodged if lodged > 0 else
default` (a lodged 0 is the Elmhurst/RdSAP "unknown" form → default; any
positive count is taken literally).

Surfaced by Khalim's Elmhurst stress worksheet (simulated case 46): this was
its last ventilation residual — our Jan effective ACH 9.14 -> 9.0748 (exact
match to the accredited worksheet), SAP 29 -> 30 = Elmhurst, cost £1496 vs
£1493. Corpus IMPROVED: within-0.5 71.6% -> 72.5%, MAE 0.819 -> 0.815 (the
max-flooring over-counted ventilation on every cert lodging fans below its
age default). Floor ratcheted 0.71 -> 0.72. pyright not installed locally.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-21 06:22:26 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
34e52a893c fix(heating): assume portable-electric secondary for unheated habitable rooms (SAP 10.2 Appendix A.2.2)
When the main heating system does not heat every habitable room (heated rooms
< habitable rooms), SAP 10.2 Appendix A.2.2 assumes the unheated rooms are
served by a portable-electric secondary heater, so the Table 11 secondary
fraction (0.10 for a boiler main) must be costed at the electricity tariff —
even when the cert lodges no explicit secondary system.

`_secondary_fraction` previously returned 0 unless a secondary was lodged or
the main was a forced-secondary electric-storage code, dropping the assumed
secondary and billing 100% of space heat to the (cheaper) main fuel — an
over-rate. Added an `unheated_habitable_rooms` trigger plus
`_has_unheated_habitable_rooms(epc)`, which prefers the lodged
`any_unheated_rooms` flag and guards the gov-API `heated_rooms_count == 0`
"not provided" sentinel. The secondary fuel/efficiency cascade already
defaults to portable electric (code 693) when no secondary code is lodged.

Worksheet-validated on simulated case 46 (heated 4 < habitable 7, no lodged
secondary): the assumed 10% electric secondary (2289 kWh, ~£260) lifted our
SAP 39 -> 29.35 vs accredited Elmhurst 30 (cost £1502 vs £1493, within 0.6%).

Corpus UNCHANGED (71.6% / MAE 0.819): all 17 corpus certs with heated <
habitable already lodge an explicit secondary description, so the gov-API
path was already costing it; this only adds the assumed secondary where none
is lodged (Elmhurst / reduced-field path). pyright not installed locally.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-21 06:15:37 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
d7a60efcdf fix(uvalues): thread glazing gap into pre-2002 window U fallback (RdSAP 10 Table 24, PDF p.50)
`u_window` hard-coded the 12 mm gap row for pre-2002 double/triple glazing
(double 2.8, triple 2.1), ignoring the lodged glazing gap. Table 24 splits
the pre-2002 rows by gap: double 6mm=3.1 / 12mm=2.8 / 16mm+=2.7; triple
6mm=2.4 / 12mm=2.1 / 16mm+=2.0 (PVC/wooden), with a metal-frame column
(+0.5/+0.5/+0.5 ish). Added a `glazing_gap` parameter + `_glazing_gap_row`
helper and wired `w.glazing_gap` through the synthesised-window caller in
heat_transmission.

Corpus impact nil by design: the gov-API mapper already resolves per-window
U gap-aware via `_API_GLAZING_TYPE_GAP_TO_TRANSMISSION` (e.g. code 3 + gap
"16+" → 2.7), so corpus certs use that lodged per-window U, not this fallback.
This aligns the reduced-field / worksheet fallback path with the mapper and
Table 24. Unknown gap still defaults to the 12 mm row.

(Metal frames are not distinguishable on the gov-API path — only a `pvc_frame`
boolean exists and Table 24 groups PVC+wooden — so the PVC/wooden U stands
there; the metal column applies only where frame material is lodged.)

Spec-pinned: pre-2002 double + triple gap-row tests. pyright not installed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-20 14:14:31 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
600684f5df fix(uvalues): apply metal-frame U 1.6 for 2022-or-later windows (RdSAP 10 Table 24, PDF p.51)
Table 24 "Double or triple glazed, 2022 or later" row gives U = 1.4 for
PVC/wooden frames and 1.6 for metal frames. `u_window` returned 1.4 for both,
ignoring the metal-frame variant and under-counting metal-frame heat loss on
post-2022 windows. The 2002-2021 and pre-2002 rows already split PVC/metal
correctly; this aligns the 2022+ row.

Spec-pinned in test_u_window_post_2022_metal_returns_table24_1_6_not_pvc_1_4.
pyright not installed in this container.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-20 14:09:21 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
b22b27c0ff fix(uvalues): correct rafter-roof age-M default U 0.18->0.15 (RdSAP 10 Table 18 col 2, PDF p.46)
A full row-by-row audit of the roof U-value tables (16, 17, 18) and floor
tables (19, 20) against the PDF found one numeric error: Table 18 column (2)
"Pitched, insulation at rafters" band M is 0.15 W/m²K (footnote (1) only — no
country variation; the whole M row converges to 0.15), but _ROOF_RAFTERS_BY_AGE
carried 0.18. The rafters column diverges above the joist column at H-L
(0.35/0.35/0.20/0.20/0.18) and rejoins it at M=0.15.

Everything else in the roof/floor tables is exact: Table 16 joist + rafter
thickness ladders, Table 17 room-in-roof (all 6 columns), Table 18 cols (1)
joists / (3) flat / (4) room-in-roof, Table 19 (England & Wales) floor
insulation defaults, and Table 20 (England) exposed-floor U-values.

Known remaining gaps (NOT fixed — zero England-corpus reach, would need a new
roof country-override mechanism): Scotland Table 18 footnote (2) K=0.20 (flat/
RR/thatch) and (3) joists-L=0.15; Scotland/NI Table 19 thicknesses; Scotland/
Wales Table 20 L/M overrides. Logged for a future country pass.

Corpus unchanged (band-M rafter roofs essentially absent from the 1000-cert
England corpus). pyright not installed in this container.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-20 13:57:29 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
381ecfda4c fix(uvalues): add missing Scotland band-J 0.30 wall override for all 7 as-built types (RdSAP 10 Table 7, PDF p.35)
A full code-vs-spec sweep of unknown-thickness as-built U-values across all
seven wall types found exactly one divergence: Scotland age band J. Table 7
(Scotland) gives 0.30 for every uninsulated wall type, but the England base
(Table 6) is 0.35 and the _COUNTRY_KLM_OVERRIDES[SCT] dicts listed H/K/L/M
while omitting J — so a Scotland band-J wall wrongly returned England's 0.35.

Added 'J': 0.30 to all 7 SCT as-built entries (granite, sandstone, solid
brick, cavity, timber frame, system built, cob).

The audit's companion finding — Scotland sandstone age E = 1.5 — needs NO
table override: the §5.6 stone branch intercepts all sandstone bands A-E and
already caps age E at 1.5 for Scotland (e_default in the prior commit), so a
table-E override would be dead code. England base tables and Isle of Man
(= England) are confirmed correct by the same sweep.

Corpus unchanged (England-only corpus has no Scotland band-J certs).
pyright not installed in this container — strict type gate not run locally.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-20 13:29:54 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
54ae05d04b fix(uvalues): default unknown-thickness stone to §3.5 Table 3 thickness, not flat 1.7 (RdSAP 10 Table 3, PDF p.20)
When a stone wall lodges no documentary thickness, RdSAP 10 §3.5 Table 3
supplies the default thickness to feed the §5.6 formula — it does NOT fall
to a flat 1.7. Table 3 stone row: A-D = 500 mm, E = 450, F-H = 420;
Scotland footnote (*) adds 200 mm for bands A,B and 100 mm otherwise.

This matches accredited Elmhurst: an England age-B granite/whinstone wall,
as built, unknown thickness defaults to 500 mm →
  U = 45.315 × 500^(-0.513) = 1.87   (sandstone → 1.68).
The previous flat-1.7 fallback was a setup error — Table 6 reads "According
to 5.6" for bands A-D with no 1.7 entry, so the formula (not 1.7) is the
spec target. The age-E footnote-(a) cap still applies on top.

Adds `_table_3_stone_thickness(band, country)`. Updated the stale
`..._returns_table_6_age_a_default` pin (was 1.7 → now 1.87 via Table-3)
and added sandstone (1.68) + Scotland-+200mm (700 mm → 1.39) pins.

Corpus: within-0.5 71.6% unchanged, SAP MAE 0.821 → 0.819, PE MAE 3.7 → 3.6.
pyright not installed in this container — strict type gate not run locally.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-20 13:26:36 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
7e187078b9 fix(uvalues): cap as-built stone U at age E only, not A-E; drop insulation-state gate (RdSAP 10 Tables 6-7 footnote a, PDF p.33-35)
Commit 034d4b7c corrected two stone cases but via the wrong mechanism: it
removed the 1.7 cap for ALL age bands and gated the §5.6 formula on
`wall_insulation_type is not None`. Both diverge from RdSAP 10 Tables 6-10:

- The stone rows read "According to 5.6" for bands A-D (uncapped formula)
  and "1.7 a" at band E, where footnote (a) = "Or from equations in 5.6 if
  the calculated U-value is less than 1.7" → U_E = min(formula, 1.7). The
  cap belongs ONLY at age E. Removing it for E let an as-built 50 mm granite
  age-E wall return the formula's 6.09 instead of 1.70.
- Scotland sandstone/limestone age E defaults to 1.5 (Table 7, PDF p.35);
  granite/whinstone stays 1.7.
- The insulation-state gate is not a spec rule. It sent age-A-D stone with
  "insulation Unknown" (wall_insulation_type None) to the flat-1.7 table
  instead of the §5.6 formula; it only "worked" for fixture 000565 Ext1
  because that wall is age E, where 1.7 is correct anyway. Removed: the
  age-E cap, not the gate, is what produces 000565 Ext1's worksheet 1.70.

Bands A-D stay uncapped (sandstone 400 mm → 1.90, granite 120 mm → 3.89).
Unknown-thickness handling unchanged in this commit (still flat-table; the
§3.5 Table-3 default follows separately).

pyright not installed in this container — strict type gate not run locally.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-20 13:24:31 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
034d4b7cd5 fix(uvalues): bill known-insulation stone walls by the §5.6 thickness formula, uncapped (RdSAP 10 §5.6)
An uninsulated stone wall of lodged thickness, age bands A-E, is billed by
the RdSAP 10 §5.6 Table-12 formula on its measured thickness — sandstone /
limestone U = 54.876·W^-0.561, granite / whinstone U = 45.315·W^-0.513. Two
bugs suppressed it:

1. CAP: the as-built branch capped the formula result at the Table-6
   typical-thickness default (`if u0 >= 1.7: return 1.7`). But the formula
   only dips below 1.7 past ~488 mm (sandstone) / ~640 mm (granite), so the
   cap nullified §5.6 for essentially every real-thickness stone wall,
   under-counting fabric loss and over-rating. A measured 400 mm sandstone
   age-B wall is 1.90 (Elmhurst-confirmed), not 1.70.

2. NO INSULATION-STATE GATE: the branch fired for any stone wall with a
   lodged thickness, including ones whose insulation is "Unknown". RdSAP
   treats an unknown-insulation wall via the Table-6 typical-thickness
   default, NOT as bare stone of the lodged thickness — so a 50 mm granite
   wall with Unknown insulation must read 1.70 (worksheet), not the formula's
   6.09. Gated on `wall_insulation_type is not None`.

Fixes the 2 long-standing stone-U unit tests (granite 120 mm → 3.8871,
sandstone 120 mm → 3.7408 — they were correct red tests, not "known fails").
Corpus within-0.5 70.3% -> 71.6% (MAE 0.833 -> 0.822); ratcheted floors to
0.71 / 0.83. Worksheet fixture 000565 (granite 50 mm Unknown → 1.70) still
passes via the insulation gate. The two stone groups (sandstone/limestone vs
granite/whinstone) keep their distinct §5.6 coefficients.

pyright not installed in this codespace (strict gate not run locally).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-19 14:32:31 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
fc5f10ea92 fix(rating): floor the continuous SAP score at 1 (SAP 10.2 §13 / RdSAP 10 §13)
The SAP rating is spec-floored at 1 ("if the result of the calculation is
less than 1, the rating is 1"). `sap_rating_integer` already clamps, but the
continuous `sap_score_continuous` did not — so a degenerate dwelling could
emit a physically impossible negative SAP. Apply the same max(1, …) floor to
the continuous value (the un-rounded part is for sensitivity near real
ratings, not for negative ratings).

Removes a -12.3 accuracy outlier on the committed corpus (cert 422000111926,
lodged at the floor of 1, was computing -11.3): within-0.5 70.2% -> 70.3%,
MAE 0.845 -> 0.833. Ratcheted the corpus MAE ceiling to 0.84. Unit-pinned in
test_calculator.

pyright not installed in this codespace (strict gate not run locally).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-19 14:03:13 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
a7de8c5c35 Merge remote-tracking branch 'origin/main' into feature/per-cert-mapper-validation 2026-06-18 15:00:32 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
8942d45772 fix(fuel): price secondary dual-fuel/anthracite at their own rate, not the colliding LPG code (RdSAP 10 Table 32)
The gov-API lodges secondary fuel as an enum whose value can COLLIDE with a
different same-valued RdSAP 10 Table 32 / SAP 10.2 Table 12 fuel code:
  - enum 9  = "dual fuel (mineral and wood)"  vs Table code 9  = LPG SC11F
  - enum 5  = "anthracite"                    vs Table code 5  = LPG (bulk)
The main-fuel boundary already canonicalises these (`_GOV_API_COLLISION_
FUELS`), but the SECONDARY-heating cost + CO2/PE paths never did — they took
the bare same-value lookup, so a dual-fuel room heater was priced as LPG
(3.48 vs dual-fuel 3.99 p/kWh) and emitted as LPG (CO2 0.241 vs 0.087),
and an anthracite secondary as bulk LPG (12.19 vs 3.64 p/kWh). The price
under-count over-rates SAP; the CO2 over-count inflates emissions.

Fix: add enum 9 to `_GOV_API_COLLISION_FUELS` (5 and 33 were already there)
and canonicalise the secondary fuel code on both the cost
(`_secondary_fuel_cost_gbp_per_kwh`) and factor (`_secondary_fuel_code`)
paths, mirroring the main-fuel boundary. canonical_fuel_code only touches
{5,9,33}, so genuinely Table-coded secondaries (House coal 11, wood logs 20,
community fuels 30-32) are left unchanged — confirmed by a full-map audit.

Corpus: within-0.5 69.7% -> 70.2% (MAE 0.854 -> 0.845; dual-fuel-secondary
cohort 42.9% -> 49.0%, signed +0.55 -> +0.41) and CO2 MAE 0.12 -> 0.08 t/yr
(bias +0.04 -> 0.00). Ratcheted the corpus floors (within 0.70, MAE 0.85,
CO2 0.09, PE 4.0). A prior session deferred enum 9 ("direction not
understood") while the EPC PE/CO2 lens was confounded by the climate-cascade
bug (fc7c4d2d); on the corrected lens the over-rate direction is clear.

pyright not installed in this codespace (strict gate not run locally).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-18 14:52:58 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
fc7c4d2d3b fix(climate): compute EPC CO2/PE on the postcode demand cascade (SAP 10.2 Appendix U p.124)
The SAP/EI rating is computed on UK-average weather (Appendix U Tables
U1-U3 region 0) so ratings are nationally comparable, but Appendix U
paragraph 1 (PDF p.124) requires that "other calculations (such as for
energy use and costs on EPCs) are done using local weather. Weather data
for each postcode district are taken from the PCDB". `Sap10Calculator.
calculate` ran ONE cascade (UK-average) and fed it to SAP, CO2 AND primary
energy, so every cert's EPC-displayed CO2/PE were computed on the wrong
climate. Because most of England is warmer than the UK-average, this
systematically OVER-counted heating demand on the emissions/PE outputs.

The two cascades (`cert_to_inputs` rating, `cert_to_demand_inputs`
postcode) already existed; this wires the demand cascade into the
production entry point and grafts its CO2/PE onto the rating result (SAP
unchanged). The corpus gauge's longstanding +5% CO2/PE over-estimate was
mostly this climate bug, NOT (as previously diagnosed) per-cert mapper
fidelity:
  CO2 MAE 0.26 -> 0.12 t/yr  (bias +0.18 -> +0.04)
  PE  MAE 13.6 -> 3.8 kWh/m2 (bias +9.0  -> +0.24)
  SAP within-0.5 = 69.7% (rating cascade, unchanged)

Worksheet-validated to 1e-4 on simulated case 45 (heat-pump ground-floor
flat, postcode W6): the P960 prints the current dwelling twice — Block 1
on UK-average weather (SAP 60.5318, CO2 692.13) and Block 2 on postcode
weather (CO2 626.78, PE 6581.59). Both reproduce exactly. Added a tracked
case-45 Summary fixture + two-cascade cascade pin as a permanent guard,
and ratcheted the corpus CO2/PE ceilings to 0.13 / 4.2. The e2e Elmhurst
suite (Block-1 line refs) now pins the rating cascade directly; the two
Vaillant overlay snapshots refreshed to demand-cascade CO2/PE.

pyright not installed in this codespace (strict gate not run locally);
change is type-trivial (dataclasses.replace over SapResult).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-18 14:15:34 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
72ef0f0e7b fix(water): don't apply heat-pump water SCOP to a separate immersion (SAP N3.7a)
When a heat-pump cert lodges a PCDB Table 362 record, the APM override
set BOTH the space efficiency (N3.6) and the water efficiency (N3.7a)
from the heat pump unconditionally. But the PCDB η_water applies only
when the DHW is heated BY the heat pump (water-heating code "from main":
901/902/914). A separate electric immersion (WHC 903) heats the water at
100% regardless of the space system, so applying the HP's water SCOP
(187.5% × 0.6 in-use = 112.5%) under-counted the immersion's hot-water
fuel.

Gate the η_water override on the DHW-from-main codes; a separate immersion
keeps its own 100% efficiency. Space η_space still always uses the APM
value (the heat pump is the space main).

Worksheet-validated to 1e-4 on simulated case 45 (HP space + WHC-903
immersion): water fuel (62) 1893.57 -> 2130.2639, total cost (255)
619.7433, CO2 692.13 — all matching the P960 exactly; SAP 60.53 -> rounds
to the worksheet's 61. RdSAP-21.0.1 corpus unchanged (no HP+WHC903 certs
in it). Pinned in test_cert_to_inputs (immersion fuel is main-independent).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-18 13:44:51 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
9b0c590bf8 fix(heat-transmission): bill a ground-floor flat's ground floor (RdSAP 10 §3.12)
The flat floor-exposure heuristic keys on dwelling_type: a flat defaults
to has_exposed_floor=False (assuming a heated dwelling below). The
Elmhurst Summary path lodges a ground-floor flat's vertical position as a
"Ground floor" floor_type rather than the API floor_heat_loss=1 exposed
code, and the mapper can label such a flat "Top-floor flat" — so the
cascade dropped the ground floor entirely (a ground floor is in contact
with the ground and carries heat loss).

Treat a "ground floor" floor_type as a heat-loss floor, overriding the
dwelling-level suppression upward — mirroring the existing "another
dwelling below" party override downward.

Worksheet-validated to 1e-4 on simulated case 45 (a ground-floor flat
the mapper labelled "Top-floor flat"): floor (28a) 0 -> 25.38 W/K,
fabric (33) 75.63 -> 101.0104, HTC (39) 112.93 -> 145.3579, all matching
the P960 exactly; SAP 67.81 -> 62.52. RdSAP-21.0.1 corpus within-0.5
69.5% -> 69.7% (MAE 0.859 -> 0.854). Floors ratcheted. Pinned in
test_heat_transmission (ground-floor billed + party-floor suppressed).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-18 13:16:44 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
7f8bfa5d06 move overlas to its own thing 2026-06-18 10:04:14 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
4219ef9d8b Overlay landlord property-type and built-form corrections onto the Effective EPC 🟩
Adds whole-dwelling property_type/built_form to EpcSimulation (folded by
apply_simulations) and maps those override components. property_type drives
party-wall heat loss + ASHP/solar/wall eligibility, so a landlord correction now
moves both the SAP calc and the measure menu; built_form has no calculator
consumer today (feeds the ML transform). Written as the landlord text value
(park-home check is text-only). Refines ADR-0032 dec-4.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-17 18:06:29 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
0305241ad3 Overlay more wall materials and roof loft-insulation depth from landlord overrides 🟩
Extends WallType coverage to timber/stone/system-built/cob/park-home/curtain and
adds RoofType "Pitched, N mm loft insulation" -> roof_insulation_thickness. The
"(assumed) insulated"/"partial" wall states stay deferred (ambiguous code, needs
Elmhurst validation per ADR-0032); property_type/built_form carry no SAP weight.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-17 17:15:50 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
d08c35ee03 Merge branch 'feature/hyde_make_it_more_accurate_with_tests' into feature/landlord-overrides 2026-06-17 09:43:28 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
d87718f316 Merge remote-tracking branch 'origin/main' into feature/hyde_make_it_more_accurate_with_tests
# Conflicts:
#	datatypes/epc/domain/mapper.py
2026-06-17 09:05:37 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
70ca56415e Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/Hestia-Homes/Model into feature/landlord-overrides 2026-06-17 08:50:52 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
e136e937d6 fix(heat-transmission): match roof description per part by kind (RdSAP 10 §5.11)
The deduplicated `epc.roofs[]` list cannot be indexed 1:1 against the
building parts (190/329 multi-part certs have len(roofs) != len(parts)),
so every part's `u_roof` consumed a SINGLE join of all roof descriptions.
That leaked one part's insulation state onto another: a "Flat, no
insulation" extension dragged a "Pitched, insulated (assumed)" main roof
to the uninsulated 2.30, ~3x over-stating its heat loss. 3-part certs
systematically under-rated (56% within-0.5, mean -0.79 SAP).

Partition the non-RR roof descriptions into flat vs pitched/sloping and
match each part to its own kind (`_main_roof_descriptions_by_kind`),
falling back to the global join when a part's kind has no matching entry.

Corpus cert 100010129331: roof 110.5 -> 31.3 W/K, +13.10 -> -0.05 SAP.
RdSAP-21.0.1 within-0.5 68.8% -> 69.5% (MAE 0.888 -> 0.859; PE 13.9 ->
13.6); 3-part cohort 56% -> 61%. Floors/ceilings ratcheted. Pinned in
test_heat_transmission (by_kind split + mixed-roof no-contamination).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-17 00:48:50 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
c5aa5620ca fix(uvalues): apply §5.8 insulation R to stone walls (RdSAP 10 p.41-42)
The §5.8 Table-14 added-insulation R-value adjustment was gated to
WALL_SOLID_BRICK, so a stone (granite/sandstone) wall lodging
wall_insulation_type 1/3 ("External"/"Internal") + a thickness fell
through the §5.6 thin-wall branch and was billed at its UNINSULATED U
(e.g. sandstone 520 mm + 100 mm internal: 1.64 instead of 0.30 → ~5×
the wall heat loss). Mirror the brick insulation branch into the stone
block, feeding the RAW §5.6 U₀ into the §5.8 chain per the same rule the
brick branch and the dry-lined granite pin 000565 already follow (the
Table-6 footnote (a) 1.7 cap does not apply on the insulated path).

Corpus cert 100052159386 (sandstone 520 mm + 100 mm internal): -26.20 ->
-4.08 SAP, walls 300 -> 55 W/K. RdSAP-21.0.1 corpus within-0.5 68.6% ->
68.8% (SAP MAE 0.942 -> 0.888; PE MAE 14.3 -> 13.9; CO2 0.27 -> 0.26);
floors/ceilings ratcheted. Unit-pinned in test_rdsap_uvalues.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-17 00:26:25 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
0d24f5b13a Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/Hestia-Homes/Model into feature/per-cert-mapper-validation 2026-06-16 23:43:16 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
2a4d67e396 feat(conservatory): §6.1 solar gains + TFA-occupancy (demand-side)
Close the §6.1 conservatory demand cascade per RdSAP 10 §6.1 + Table 25.

Solar gains (§6, solar_gains.py) — Table 25 note (PDF p.51): "The
orientation of windows in a conservatory is not recorded, thus solar
gains are calculated using the default solar flux (East/West orientation,
with 20° pitch for roof windows)." The glazed wall bills onto the (76)
East line (vertical, average-overshading Z); the glazed roof onto the
(82) roof-window line (20° pitch, Z=1.0), both at Table 25 g=0.76, FF=0.70.

TFA-occupancy (mapper) — §6.1: the conservatory floor area is added to the
dwelling total floor area. TFA drives occupancy → §5 internal gains + §4
hot-water demand, so the non-separated conservatory's floor area now
enters `EpcPropertyData.total_floor_area_m2` (the worksheet's (4) = 95.38
carries it). Separated conservatories (§6.2) stay excluded.

Pinned against the case-44 P960 demand cascade at abs=1e-4: (73) internal
gains 625.1759, (83) solar gains 495.8655, (95) useful gains 1079.6510,
(99) space heating per m² 89.8073 — the full §6.1 chain reproduces EXACTLY.

The whole-dwelling SAP (72.9517) / CO2 (3241.8656) are not pinned: the
case-44 Summary omits the House-Coal secondary heater (SAP 633) the P960
descriptor carries (cf. case 43), so the cascade computes no secondary —
the entire residual (+349.77 kg CO2). A Summary-input defect, independent
of §6.1; every conservatory-affected line ref is exact. Worksheet harness
stays 47/47 0-raised; corpus unchanged (API path; mirror is the next slice).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 23:21:08 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
fe3bf4eaed fix(ventilation): read Blower Door AP50 pressure test (Summary)
SAP 10.2 §2 (17)-(18): a measured/design air permeability at 50 Pa from a
Blower Door test routes infiltration via `(18) = AP50/20 + (8)`, in
preference to the components-based (16) estimate. The Elmhurst extractor
read only the AP4 ("Pulse") column of §12.2, so a Blower Door result
(§12.2 "Pressure Test Result (AP50)") fell through to the structural-
infiltration default — over-counting ventilation heat loss.

Surfaced by simulated case 44 (AP50 4.50): effective air change rate was
0.81 vs the worksheet's 0.58 (+38% ventilation loss). The cascade already
supports `air_permeability_ap50` (preferred over AP4); this wires the read
end to end (extractor → ElmhurstSiteNotes → SapVentilation → cert_to_inputs).

Pinned against the case-44 P960 §2 at abs=1e-4: (18) infiltration 0.3417
(= 4.5/20 + 0.1167) and (25) Jan effective ach 0.5812. Worksheet harness
stays 47/47 0-raised.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 23:18:17 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
4d14607e7e Add SAP-16.2 schema coverage + single-glazing fix; flat party-wall fix; pin 2 certs
SAP-Schema-16.2 (datatypes/epc/domain/mapper.py):
- 16.2 is structurally an RdSAP-17.1 cert under a different name; add
  _normalize_sap_schema_16_2 (field renames + defaults) and dispatch to the
  tested from_rdsap_schema_17_1 mapper. uprn_100020933699 maps → SAP 71.
- Honour a "Single glazed" windows description when multiple_glazing_type="ND"
  (was defaulting to double) → RdSAP-21 code 5; eng 72→71 (lodged 70).
- 4 regression tests + sap_16_2.json fixture; 0 new pyright errors.

Flat party-wall fix (domain/sap10_calculator/worksheet/heat_transmission.py):
- Full-SAP flats carry flatness in dwelling_type, not property_type, so the
  party-wall default fell through to the 0.25 house value instead of the RdSAP
  Table-15 flat 0.0. Add _is_flat_or_maisonette_dwelling fallback + regression
  test. uprn_10093116529 80→81 (matches the cert's lodged party u_value 0).

Accuracy corpus pins (tests/domain/sap10_calculator/test_real_cert_sap_accuracy.py):
- uprn_10093116543 (SAP-17.1 gas-combi semi): engine 81 (Elmhurst 77; documented
  full-SAP→RdSAP residual — measured wall/floor U + PCDB boiler vs RdSAP defaults).
- uprn_10093116529 (SAP-17.1 g/f flat): engine 81 (Elmhurst 78).

devcontainer: add poppler-utils (pdfinfo) for the documents-parser PDF fixtures.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 18:53:00 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
364867b05e Merge remote-tracking branch 'origin/main' into feature/landlord-overrides 2026-06-16 17:46:28 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
6eaf7456c2 Fold landlord overrides onto the lodged EPC to form the Effective EPC 🟩
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 17:18:31 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
db1e283b07 Map a landlord wall-type override to a wall Simulation Overlay 🟩
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 17:14:54 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
d4d2b222fc feat(conservatory): §6.1 fabric cascade (27/27a/28a + TFA/volume)
Wire the non-separated conservatory into the §3 heat-transmission +
§1 dimensions cascade per RdSAP 10 §6.1 (PDF p.49) + Table 25 (p.51):

  "The floor area and volume of a non-separated conservatory are added to
   the total floor area and volume of the dwelling. Its roof area is taken
   as its floor area divided by cos(20°), and wall area is taken as the
   product of its exposed perimeter and its height. ... The conservatory
   walls and roof are taken as fully glazed ... Glazed walls are taken as
   windows, glazed roof as rooflight."

New `worksheet/conservatory.py` derives the geometry:
  - height from the equivalent storey count (§6.1: 1 storey → ground-floor
    room height; 1½ → ground + 0.25 + 0.5×first; etc.);
  - glazed WALL → window (27) at Table 25 U (double 3.1 / single 4.8) with
    the §3.2 curtain resistance (R=0.04) → U_eff 2.758;
  - glazed ROOF → rooflight (27a) at Table 25 roof U (double 3.4 / single
    5.3) + curtain → U_eff 2.993;
  - FLOOR → (28a) via BS EN ISO 13370 as an uninsulated SOLID ground floor
    with 300 mm walls (§5.12, spec p.43), exposed perimeter = glazed
    perimeter → U 0.89;
  - glazed wall + roof + floor areas join (31)/(36); the fully-glazed
    structure walls/roof add nothing (the glazing IS the window/rooflight).

`dimensions_from_cert` adds the conservatory floor area to TFA (4) and
floor area × height to volume (5) (feeds ventilation (8)), without making
it a storey (avg storey height for §2 infiltration is unchanged).

Pinned against the simulated case-44 P960 §3 at abs=1e-4 — every line ref
EXACT: (4) 95.3800, (5) 257.1630, (27) 96.1169, (27a) 38.2201, (28a)
21.4164, (29a) 35.5852, (30) 7.4688, (31) 294.2900, (33) 207.3274,
(36) 23.5432. The remaining whole-dwelling SAP/CO2 gap is the §6 solar
gains, closed in the next slice. Worksheet harness stays 47/47 0-raised.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 15:59:26 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
3580d059ec feat(modelling): drive measure scoping from the Scenario's exclusions
The measures a run considers should come from the Scenario, not a CLI flag.
The live scenario table persists exclusions only (no inclusions column), as a
Postgres text-array of exact MeasureType values.

- Scenario gains `exclusions: frozenset[MeasureType]` + `considered_measures()`
  (all measures minus the excluded ones, or None when none are excluded).
- ScenarioModel.to_domain parses the `{a,b,c}` exclusions array into
  MeasureTypes, raising on a token that is not an exact MeasureType value
  (no high-level category expansion), per the strict-enum convention.
- ModellingOrchestrator._plan_for derives the allowlist from the Scenario's
  exclusions, combined (intersection) with any explicit considered_measures
  override via the new `combine_considered_measures`.
- run_modelling_e2e sources the allowlist from the Scenario; --measures /
  --exclude-measures become optional overlays (e.g. the technical
  secondary_heating_removal exclusion the catalogue cannot yet stock).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 15:26:25 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
928fbbc33a Merge remote-tracking branch 'origin/main' into feature/hyde_make_it_more_accurate_with_tests
# Conflicts:
#	applications/sharepoint_renamer/handler.py
#	domain/sap10_calculator/worksheet/heat_transmission.py
2026-06-16 15:23:52 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
2f0eb49eee Checkpoint: UPRN 10093116543 Elmhurst build + devcontainer VNC/Playwright + perms
- Add SAP-accuracy sample for uprn_10093116543 (epc.json, elmhurst_inputs.md,
  summary/worksheet PDFs)
- Persist hyde viewer stack (xvfb/fluxbox/x11vnc/novnc/websockify) and Playwright
  chromium in the backend devcontainer; forward noVNC 6080
- Broaden .claude/settings.local.json allowlist (display/python/grep/tail)
- In-progress campaign mapper/cert_to_inputs work carried from prior cert

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 15:21:56 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
a1ce8ece50 Map landlord-override property type and built form to gov EPC codes 🟩
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 15:07:09 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
53d9f21f73 fix(modelling): offer ASHP when the catalogue has no ASHP row
The ASHP bundle is priced from the rate sheet (ADR-0025); the catalogue
row is read only for its material id, which is nullable end-to-end. The
live `material` catalogue has no `air_source_heat_pump` row, so
`products.get` raised `ValueError: no active product` and aborted every
ASHP-eligible property.

Add `ProductNotFound(ValueError)` + a concrete `ProductRepository
.get_optional`, raise the typed error from both repos, and have
`_ashp_option` look the row up optionally — a missing row now yields an
ASHP Option with `material_id=None` rather than crashing.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 14:55:41 +00:00
KhalimCK
90bed458f4
Merge pull request #1238 from Hestia-Homes/feature/epc-prediction
Feature/epc prediction
2026-06-16 21:58:40 +08:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
7ca1f815f6 refactor(epc-prediction): PR review — rename ComparableProperty, relocate PredictionTarget
Two review points from @dancafc:

1) Rename the `Comparable` dataclass → `ComparableProperty` (it models one
   comparable *property*; the collection stays `ComparableProperties`). Applied
   across domain, repositories, orchestration, harness, scripts, and tests with a
   word-boundary rename so `ComparableProperties` is untouched.

2) Move `PredictionTarget` out of comparable_properties.py into prediction_target.py
   (where `PredictionTargetAttributes` + `build_prediction_target` already live).
   comparable_properties.py now imports it; no import cycle (prediction_target no
   longer depends on comparable_properties). Importers updated.

92 tests pass across the touched suites; pyright strict clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 13:34:44 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
b55b969b84 fix(water-heating): use lodged cylinder_heat_loss declared-loss factor
The gov API lodges a manufacturer's declared cylinder loss factor
(kWh/day) in `sap_heating.cylinder_heat_loss`, in which case it leaves
the cylinder volume / insulation type / thickness None. That field was
undeclared on the 21.0.x schemas, so `from_dict` dropped it — then
`_cylinder_storage_loss_override` hit its insulation-None / volume-None
guards and returned None, dropping the §4 storage loss ENTIRELY. The
dwelling over-rated (the declared loss is typically ~1.5 kWh/day ≈
550 kWh/yr).

SAP 10.2 §4 branch a) (PDF p.136): when the declared loss factor is
known, storage loss (50) = (48) declared loss × (49) Table-2b
temperature factor — replacing the Table 2 V×L×VF computation.

- declare `cylinder_heat_loss` on RdSapSchema21_0_0/21_0_1.SapHeating +
  EpcPropertyData.SapHeating; thread through the 21.0.x mappers.
- `cylinder_storage_loss_monthly_kwh` gains `declared_loss_kwh_per_day`:
  when set, combined_55 = declared × TF (volume/insulation unused).
- `_cylinder_storage_loss_override` resolves the declared loss BEFORE the
  insulation/volume guards (the gov omits those when the loss is lodged).

12 /tmp certs carry it (mean |err| 3.00 -> 2.51; the clean ones close
hard, e.g. 2360 2.65 -> 0.30, 0245 2.25 -> 0.53). Corpus within-0.5
67.0% -> 67.3% (MAE 1.025 -> 1.020); /tmp 71.2% -> 71.4% (0.889 ->
0.882). Worksheet harness 47/47; regression = only the 3 pre-existing
fails; pyright net-zero.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 05:27:47 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
7cfd54129b fix(mapper): read the dropped rafter_insulation_thickness API field
Roofs lodged insulated at rafters carry their thickness in a DEDICATED
gov-EPC API field, `rafter_insulation_thickness` (e.g. "225mm"), while
`roof_insulation_thickness` stays None (rafters aren't loft joists). That
field was undeclared on the 21.0.x schemas, so `from_dict` silently
dropped it — the rafter certs only *looked* redacted (roof EER 2-4 =
insulated, yet no thickness), and the cascade fell to the Table 18 col (2)
unknown default (2.30), badly under-rating them.

- declare `rafter_insulation_thickness` on RdSapSchema21_0_0/21_0_1 +
  EpcPropertyData.SapBuildingPart (mirrors the existing
  sloping_ceiling_/flat_roof_insulation_thickness dropped-field handling).
- thread it through `from_rdsap_schema_21_0_0/21_0_1` (older schemas get
  None via getattr).
- `heat_transmission` prefers `rafter_insulation_thickness` over
  `roof_insulation_thickness` when the part is at-rafters, so the measured
  RdSAP 10 §5.11.2 Table 16 column (2) row applies (225 mm → 0.25).

Completes the rafters roof fix: with the real thickness read, the rafter
certs are recovered rather than over-stated — cert 3100-8675-0922-8628
(band E, rafters 225mm) +8.93 → +0.43 SAP. Corpus within-0.5 67.0%
(MAE 1.025) and /tmp 71.2% (MAE 0.889) — both NET ABOVE the pre-rafters
baseline (66.9% / 70.6%). Worksheet harness 47/47; regression = only the
3 pre-existing fails; pyright net-zero.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 05:04:39 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
5d556faf86 fix(roof): bill at-rafters insulation on RdSAP 10 Table 16/18 column (2)
`u_roof` only implemented the joist column, so roofs lodged insulated at
rafters (`roof_insulation_location == 1`) were mis-billed at the joist U
on both the API and Summary paths — under-stating loss, over-rating SAP.

RdSAP 10 §5.11.2 Table 16 (spec p.42-43) gives a distinct "insulation at
rafters" column (2): the rafter cavity is shallower than a loft void, so
the same depth yields a higher U (200 mm: rafters 0.29 vs joists 0.21).
§5.11 Table 18 (p.45) likewise carries a rafters column (2) for unknown /
as-built thickness (footnote (1): "The value from the table applies for
unknown and as built") — band A-D = 2.30, E = 1.50, F = 0.68, diverging
from the joist column's 100 mm-equivalent 0.40 default (footnote (4)).

- add `_ROOF_RAFTERS_BY_THICKNESS` (Table 16 col 2) + `_ROOF_RAFTERS_BY_AGE`
  (Table 18 col 2) to rdsap_uvalues; `u_roof` selects them via a new
  `insulation_at_rafters` flag (ignored for flat / sloping-ceiling roofs).
- `heat_transmission` derives the flag PER BUILDING PART from
  `roof_insulation_location` (gov-API int 1 / Summary "R Rafters"), which
  also fixes the multi-part dedup-roof-join problem: each part's own
  location now drives its U, replacing the unattributable joined
  `epc.roofs[]` description.

Worksheet-validated to 1e-4: simulated case 41 (4-bp — Ext1 rafters 200mm
→ 0.29, Ext3 rafters As-Built band F → 0.68; roof total 24.8350) and case
42 (6 variants — rafters 50mm → 0.88, rafters unknown band C → 2.30,
joists/none unchanged). Case 40 stays exact (roof 35.340, total 441.1606);
worksheet harness 47/47.

Corpus within-0.5 66.9% → 66.5% (gates 0.65/1.08 hold) — a spec-correct
shift, NOT a regression: all 15 corpus rafter certs carry redacted (None)
thickness yet lodge roof EER 2-4 (insulated), so the open API blanked a
specified thickness and the spec's unknown-rafter 2.30 default correctly
over-states them. Recovery needs a roof-EER→thickness inference on the
API path (follow-up), not a change to the U-table.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 04:42:44 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f66e2cb020 docs(epc-prediction): module README + end-to-end showcase test
README at domain/epc_prediction/README.md — the flow diagram, where each piece
lives, links to the ADRs/CONTEXT/handover/migration note, and a runnable test
command. The team's entry point.

tests/e2e/test_epc_prediction_e2e.py — the whole gap-fill flow against the REAL
Postgres Unit of Work + EPC/Property repositories + EpcComparablePropertiesRepository
+ EpcPrediction, with only the three external HTTP clients faked (EPC API,
geospatial S3, Solar). Proves: EPC-less Property → Ingestion predicts from its
postcode cohort → persists to the predicted slot → reloaded Property resolves
effective_epc via source_path == "predicted". The canonical "see it in action".

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 04:13:30 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f2f954f459 feat(epc-prediction): slice-5d target assembly + eligibility gate
build_prediction_target assembles an EPC-less Property's PredictionTarget from
its identity (postcode), resolved coordinates, and Landlord-Override attributes
(property_type / built_form / wall_construction). The eligibility GATE: a Property
whose property_type is unknown returns None — never sized from a mixed-type
cohort (ADR-0031). property_type is the hard cohort filter.

The override attributes are read through a PredictionTargetAttributesReader port
(stub seam) — the real adapter (a read over property_overrides) is being built
separately by the team; ingestion wiring depends on the abstraction and tests
substitute a fake. 2 tests (assembly + gate); pyright strict clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 03:56:57 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
086187ddc7 feat(epc-prediction): slice-5a predicted source path on Property
Add a `predicted_epc` slot to the Property aggregate and a "predicted" branch to
SourcePath / source_path / effective_epc (ADR-0031 decisions 1+3). A
neighbour-synthesised EpcPropertyData resolves as the Effective EPC ONLY when
there is neither a lodged EPC nor Site Notes — a real source always wins
(prediction is last-resort gap-fill). The slot is distinct from `epc` so a
predicted picture coexists with any lodged one (provenance is structural, not a
flag on EpcPropertyData); downstream consumers are untouched.

3 tests: predicted resolves when sole source; lodged EPC wins over predicted;
Site Notes win over predicted. 10/10 green, pyright strict clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 03:33:47 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
be3e51bae9 feat(epc-prediction): geo-proximity-weighted floor-area median
Size the predicted dwelling from the geo-proximity-weighted median of the
cohort's floor areas rather than the plain median: homes built together share a
footprint, so a nearer neighbour's area should count for more (the same street
signal #1227 already wired into age / wall / glazing). Reuses `_geo_weights` and
adds `_weighted_median`, which reduces exactly to `statistics.median` under
uniform weights (geo off / no target coordinates) — including the even-count
midpoint average — so the MAD-minimising guarantee is preserved.

Measured over the 514-target SAP-10.2 corpus (leave-one-out):
  floor_area MAE  10.48 -> 9.73 m²   MAPE 13.2% -> 12.2%

Re-baselines the n=36 fixture floor_area ceiling 11.8983 -> 12.0378 (a method
change, not a loosening; the small fixture subset moved +0.14 the other way as
sample noise while the population improved decisively). The ceiling still pins
the new deterministic value exactly, so the tighten-only ratchet resumes.

Investigation ruling out the adjacent floor-area levers (kept in the follow-up):
lowering minimum_cohort (9.78-10.03, worse), hard same-form filter (10.19),
mean instead of median (10.68), constant bias correction (10.47),
extension-conditioning (oracle 9.50, not worth the misclassification cost) and
room-in-roof conditioning/additive (RiR is a confound for large multi-part
outliers — RiR area is only ~21% of total, and the increment breaks the homes
already predicted exactly). Remaining cohort lever is built-form soft-weighting,
gated on a denser corpus.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-16 00:08:05 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
5c11fd35c8 Validate SAP calculator vs Elmhurst; fix reduced-field window U; add accuracy harness
Reduced-field window U: heat_transmission derived the synthesised-window
raw U from u_window(all None) -> the 2.5 placeholder regardless of glazing.
Now routes the (uniform) glazing_type code through u_window (RdSAP Table 24)
so e.g. double pre-2002 reads 2.8, not 2.5. Only the pre-SAP10 reduced-field
path is affected (21.0.1 certs carry per-window U upstream) — the RdSAP-21.0.1
corpus gauge is unchanged at 66.9% within-0.5.

test_real_cert_sap_accuracy: pin uprn_10002468137 (RdSAP-17.1, all-electric
storage heaters) at SAP 61, validated against Elmhurst on identical inputs
(dual off-peak immersion, 110 L cylinder, 2 baths). Our engine reproduces
Elmhurst's fuel cost to the penny; lodged 55 is the old SAP-2012 schema.

Tooling to grow the accuracy corpus:
- scripts/fetch_real_life_epc_sample.py — capture a cert by UPRN into the corpus.
- scripts/compare_epc_paths.py — diff gov-API vs Elmhurst-summary EpcPropertyData
  and run both through the engine, localising mapper vs calculator differences.
- skill validate-cert-sap-accuracy — the end-to-end loop (capture -> Elmhurst
  inputs -> human builds -> compare -> reconcile -> pin in the test).
- skill epc-to-elmhurst-rdsap-inputs reference: corrected immersion (code 1=dual),
  cylinder size (code 2 = Normal/110 L), and bath-count (WWHRS sub-tab) mappings.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-15 15:26:11 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
0b2827e9ff Merge remote-tracking branch 'origin/main' into feature/epc-prediction 2026-06-15 15:03:27 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
1f26703dc5 feat(epc-prediction): geo-proximity weighting, per-component (#1227)
Folds a haversine distance kernel into the categorical-mode weighting so a
nearer neighbour counts for more — applied ONLY to the components that showed
a clear distance signal in the corpus pre-check (age band, wall + floor
construction, glazing: homes built/retrofitted together cluster). Roof
construction showed no decay and is excluded; heating keeps its coherent
donor. Predictor stays pure: weights come from target.coordinates vs each
Comparable.coordinates (resolved at the boundary); geo is OFF when the target
has no coords, neutral for a neighbour with none.

Scale chosen on the harness: _GEO_SCALE_KM=0.1 is the gate-safe optimum
(0.05 lifts the corpus more but regresses fixture floor_construction).
Corpus (150pc/514, geo off->on): age 0.564->0.572, age_pm1 0.841->0.847,
wall 0.902->0.912, floor_con 0.786->0.796, glazing 0.667->0.673; roof
unchanged. Fixture: glazing 0.5278->0.5833 (floor ratcheted), all else held.

Refactored recency into a reusable _recency_weights vector composed via
_combine, so similarity/recency/geo factors multiply uniformly. Fixture ships
a committed _coordinates.json (OGL OS OpenData; build script carries it from
the corpus sidecar on rebuild) so the gate exercises geo without S3.

This is the per-component method applied to geography ([[feedback_per_component_best_method]]).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-15 14:58:42 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
fdc314c857 feat(epc-prediction): thread coordinates onto Comparable + target (#1227)
Adds coordinates: Optional[Coordinates] to Comparable and PredictionTarget
(data carriers — the pure predictor stays IO-free), and wires load_corpus to
read an optional _coordinates.json sidecar ({uprn: [lon, lat]}) and populate
each Comparable from its cert's uprn; iter_predictions threads the held-out
target's coordinates through. Absent sidecar -> geo-weighting stays off (no
behaviour change yet — weighting lands next slice). fetch_corpus_coordinates
now writes the sidecar into the corpus dir. load_corpus populates 99% of
corpus comparables.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-15 14:46:01 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
4afab2c3d8 feat(epc-prediction): roof-insulation +/-1-bucket reporting
Adds roof_insulation_thickness_pm1 (mirrors construction_age_band_pm1, issue
#1222): adjacent RdSAP thickness buckets (0/NI,12mm..400mm+) carry near-
identical roof U-values, so an off-by-one bucket is a SAP-neutral hit. 'ND'
(no-data) is off the ordered scale, so only an exact match counts there.
Honest measurement of SAP-relevant roof-insulation quality.

Corpus (150pc/514): exact 49.3% -> +/-1 53.7% (the misses are often multiple
buckets or ND, so the band gain is smaller than age's). Fixture: exact ==
+/-1 (0.4118) — its misses are all >1 bucket; gate floor added at 0.4118.

Also fixes two pre-existing pyright errors in the touched test file
(_epc main_fuel_type/main_heating_control were Optional but the
MainHeatingDetail attributes are non-optional Union[int, str]).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-15 14:04:18 +00:00