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Khalim Conn-Kowlessar 36d4bf8750 Slice S0380.172: Heat-network heat-source-eff CO2/PE factor scaling
Closes the CO2 / PE residuals for CH1 (boiler community heating, SAP
code 301) and CH3 (HP community heating, SAP code 304) via SAP 10.2
Table 4a (PDF p.164) heat-network heat-source efficiency:

  "Boilers (RdSAP)"     → 80%   → code 301
  "Heat pump (RdSAP)"   → 300%  → code 304

Spec block 13a (PDF p.153) (467) "PE associated with heat source 2"
= [(307b)+(310b)] × 100 / (467b) — i.e. fuel input = network_input ×
100 / heat_source_eff before applying Table 12 PE factor. Block 12b
(367) mirrors for CO2. The cascade meters network_input directly
(eff = 1/DLF for the cost path via Table 12 heat-network rate), so
PE / CO2 factors are scaled by 1/heat_source_eff at lookup time —
mathematically equivalent to spec's (network_input / eff) × factor.

Three changes:

1. New `_HEAT_NETWORK_HEAT_SOURCE_EFFICIENCY: Final[dict[int, float]]`
   keyed on SAP code: 301 → 0.80, 304 → 3.00. SAP 302 (CHP+boilers)
   is omitted — the 35%/65% split + displaced-electricity credit per
   spec block 13b (464)/(466)/(364)/(366) needs the .171 follow-up.

2. New `_heat_network_heat_source_efficiency_scaling(main)` helper
   returning 1.0 for non-heat-network mains + SAP 302, and
   1/heat_source_eff for SAP 301 / 304.

3. Wired into `_main_heating_co2_factor_kg_per_kwh` and
   `_main_heating_primary_factor` non-electric branches (heat
   networks are non-electric per `_is_electric_main`). Both functions
   return `Table_12_factor × scaling` so the cascade's
   `network_input × scaled_factor` lands on the spec
   `(network_input / eff) × Table_12_factor`.

Closures vs pre-S0380.172 residuals (heating-systems corpus block 11b):

  variant            ΔCO2          ΔPE        notes
  CH1 (Boilers/Gas)  -787→-126    -3827→-967  ~75-84% closure
  CH2 (CHP/Gas)      unchanged     unchanged   excluded — SAP 302
  CH3 (HP/Elec)      +1614→+473  +11879→+1749 ~71-85% closure
  CH4 (CHP/Oil)      unchanged     unchanged   excluded — SAP 302
  CH6 (CHP/Coal)     unchanged     unchanged   excluded — SAP 302

Cost + SAP unchanged on all 5 (heat-network rate × network_input via
Table 12 is correct regardless of heat-source efficiency).

Residual CH1 / CH3 gap drivers (follow-up scope):
- WHC=901 HW path: cascade reads cert-lodged "Mains gas" as HW fuel
  on community-heating certs; should fall through to main fuel for
  the heat-network so the scaling applies on HW side too.
- Elmhurst 0.8523 multiplier on heat-network energy column (worksheet
  (467) energy = spec_formula × 0.8523 uniformly across non-CHP
  heat-network rows; mechanism not yet identified — spec divergence
  candidate for SAP_CALCULATOR.md §8).

Cohort no-regression verified: 9 ASHP + 38 cohort-2 golden fixtures
pass unchanged; the 41-variant heating-systems corpus has identical
residuals for non-heat-network certs. The 2 closed CH variants are
re-pinned at their new sub-1000 magnitudes.

Test baseline at HEAD: 926 pass + 1 skipped (was 926 + 1 at
predecessor a4b5f4e7; pin updates net to 0). Pyright net-zero on
affected files (cert_to_inputs.py, test_heating_systems_corpus.py):
32 → 32.

Per [[feedback-spec-citation-in-commits]] the dispatch table cites
SAP 10.2 Table 4a (PDF p.164) verbatim row labels.

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-02 11:44:06 +00:00
.devcontainer added 0.0.7 2026-05-13 16:04:53 +00:00
.github/workflows undo postcodesplitter changes 2026-05-21 10:12:08 +00:00
.idea scaffolding for ml pipeline 2026-05-16 14:15:56 +00:00
.vscode added utils to allow easier subtask management 2026-03-02 15:15:39 +00:00
applications refactor(ara): rename FirstRunPipeline → AraFirstRunPipeline (PR #1139 review) 2026-06-01 15:00:33 +00:00
asset_list redeploy old postcode splitter 2026-05-21 09:46:47 +00:00
backend Slice S0380.172: Heat-network heat-source-eff CO2/PE factor scaling 2026-06-02 11:44:06 +00:00
backlog implemented onboarding 2026-04-21 20:23:33 +00:00
datatypes Slice S0380.171: CHP heat-fraction split for community heating cost 2026-06-02 11:21:01 +00:00
deployment/terraform undo postcodesplitter changes 2026-05-21 10:12:08 +00:00
docs refactor(property-baseline): units on co2 / PEUI columns (PR #1139 review) 2026-06-01 14:57:00 +00:00
domain Slice S0380.172: Heat-network heat-source-eff CO2/PE factor scaling 2026-06-02 11:44:06 +00:00
epr_data_exports allowing carbon and energy otimisation by removing slack 2025-07-31 19:13:16 +01:00
etl booking status 2026-05-28 12:15:37 +00:00
infrastructure refactor(property): PropertyRow.id non-Optional (PR #1139 review) 2026-06-01 14:58:11 +00:00
model_data/requirements its working the way khalim wanted wiht postcode and then search that 2026-01-22 15:17:13 +00:00
orchestration refactor(ara): rename FirstRunPipeline → AraFirstRunPipeline (PR #1139 review) 2026-06-01 15:00:33 +00:00
recommendations save 2026-05-07 15:55:44 +00:00
repositories refactor(property): PropertyRow.id non-Optional (PR #1139 review) 2026-06-01 14:58:11 +00:00
scripts feat(ingestion): relocate EpcClientService to infrastructure + SolarRepo (#1133) 2026-05-30 19:45:26 +00:00
sfr/principal_pitch added added historic epc data class with shape 2026-05-08 12:03:35 +00:00
survey_report quidos site notes extraction 2025-02-18 19:49:29 +00:00
tests refactor(ara): rename FirstRunPipeline → AraFirstRunPipeline (PR #1139 review) 2026-06-01 15:00:33 +00:00
utilities get rid of comments 2026-05-20 13:21:11 +00:00
utils rename files in sharepoint to desired structure 2026-05-20 16:26:07 +00:00
.coveragerc fixed unit tests 2023-10-05 16:04:12 +01:00
.dockerignore deployment from infrastructure 2026-05-19 12:55:30 +00:00
.gitignore fixed merge conflicts from main 2026-05-26 11:21:09 +00:00
__init__.py added checking for directory before creation and made some minor style changes 2023-08-25 15:21:17 +01:00
ara_backend_design.md refactor: lift-and-shift packages/domain/src/domain/ml → domain/sap10_ml 2026-05-26 13:01:35 +00:00
BaseUtility.py fixed missing task and subtask for single remote assessments 2025-11-27 17:50:26 +00:00
CLAUDE.md fixed merge conflicts from main 2026-05-26 11:21:09 +00:00
conftest.py working on integrating new EPC api into address2UPRN 2026-04-27 11:32:44 +00:00
CONTEXT.md feat(baseline): BaselineOrchestrator + BaselinePerformance aggregate (#1135) 2026-05-30 21:21:34 +00:00
devcontainer.sh add dev container 2026-04-17 14:50:57 +00:00
Dockerfile.test fix: address 22 project-wide test failures from previous sweep 2026-05-26 13:34:51 +00:00
Dockerfile.test.dockerignore deployment from infrastructure 2026-05-19 12:55:30 +00:00
Makefile adding to dev container to create shared network on start up 2026-04-25 15:03:07 +00:00
MEMORY.md memory 2026-04-02 10:24:31 +00:00
package-lock.json restructuring openUrpn code 2023-07-20 11:41:43 +01:00
package.json restructuring openUrpn code 2023-07-20 11:41:43 +01:00
pyproject.toml slice 14a: ml_training_data pkg + sample.py (CSV filter + random sample) 2026-05-16 17:39:43 +00:00
pyrightconfig.json slice 14d: build_features wires bulk reader -> mapper -> EpcMlTransform 2026-05-16 18:38:41 +00:00
pytest.ini refactor: lift-and-shift packages/domain/src/domain/ml → domain/sap10_ml 2026-05-26 13:01:35 +00:00
README.md adding to dev container to create shared network on start up 2026-04-25 15:03:07 +00:00
run_lambda_local.sh debugging local lambda run and updating the sap point checking condition 2023-09-13 18:47:12 +01:00
serverless.yml added logic to add to serverless 2026-04-22 12:39:44 +00:00
test.requirements.txt infrastructure: typed S3/SQS clients (S3Client, CsvS3Client, SqsClient, Address2UprnQueueClient) 2026-05-19 17:12:21 +00:00
tox.ini removing playright install for integration test 2026-04-30 20:08:13 +00:00
UBIQUITOUS_LANGUAGE.md postcode_splitter: pure domain (UserAddress, sanitise_postcode, postcode_batching) 2026-05-19 16:45:47 +00:00

Model Repository

This repository contains the code pertaining to the development of the data science and machine learning products being utilised by Hestia.

The different folders in this repository relate to services that can be used independently, or can be imported and used as part of a larger application

Getting Started

Prerequisites

Dev Container Setup

This repo uses a Docker Compose-based dev container. The model-backend service joins a shared-dev Docker network so it can communicate with other local services (e.g. a frontend container) running on your machine.

VS Code users: The initializeCommand in devcontainer.json creates the shared-dev network automatically before the container starts. No manual step required — just open the repo and select Reopen in Container.

Non-VS Code / CI workflows: Run the following once before starting the container:

make dev-setup

This is idempotent and safe to re-run if the network already exists.

Folders

backend/

This folder contains the code for the fastapi backend service, which provides an interface to much of the functionality in this repository, for the frontend

model_data/

This folder contains related to the reading and preparation of assessment model data, including pulling out epc attributes

Testing

All tests can be run, against the configuration in pytest.ini running

pytest

This will run the complete panel of tests and report on coverage in the locations specified by the pytest.ini file.

To run tests in a specific service, e.g. inside of model_data, simply run

pytest --cov-config=model_data/.coveragerc --cov=model_data

This will produce the test results and coverage reports