Model/domain
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar 3d6cf5ea17 Slice S0380.71: Monthly Table 12d/12e cascade for STANDARD-tariff electric mains (ASHP cohort closure)
S0380.65 added the dual-rate Table 12a Grid 1 + Table 12d blend for
the electric main_heating CO2 factor, but the STANDARD-tariff branch
fell back to the annual Table 12 flat (code 30 = 0.136). Same gap
existed on the PE side (no helper at all — line 3756 hardcoded
`primary_energy_factor(main_fuel)` = 1.501 annual flat). For the
20-cert STANDARD-tariff ASHP cohort this hid a systematic
+2.7 kWh/m² PE under-count on every cert.

Per SAP 10.2 Table 12d header (p.195) and Table 12e header (p.196):
  "Where electricity is the fuel used, the relevant set of factors
  in the table below should be used to calculate the monthly [CO2
  emissions / primary energy] instead the annual average factor
  given in Table 12."

The spec rule applies regardless of tariff — only the high/low
split is tariff-dependent. STANDARD-tariff electric mains still
require the monthly cascade, just with single-code (30) factors.

Cohort closure (PE residual vs lodged EPC PEUI):
  9796: -4.18 → -1.36
  4800: -3.83 → -0.59
  2536: -3.48 → -1.02
  ...
  20 cluster certs mean: -3.10 → -0.66

Changes:
- `_main_heating_co2_factor_kg_per_kwh` — drop STANDARD-tariff
  fallback; instead apply `_effective_monthly_co2_factor` with
  `_STANDARD_ELECTRICITY_FUEL_CODE` (30) for STANDARD-tariff
  electric mains. Dual-rate path unchanged.
- NEW `_main_heating_primary_factor(main, tariff, monthly_kwh)` —
  PE-side mirror covering both STANDARD (single-code 30 monthly
  cascade) and dual-rate (Table 12a Grid 1 high/low blend over
  Table 12e high/low codes) paths.
- `cert_to_inputs` `space_heating_primary_factor` field — routed
  through the new helper (was annual `primary_energy_factor`).

Tests:
- Updated `test_standard_meter_ashp_main_heating_co2_factor_…`
  (renamed `…_falls_back_to_annual_table_12` →
  `…_applies_monthly_table_12d_code_30`) to assert the monthly
  cascade > annual flat by the winter-weighting margin.
- Added `test_standard_meter_ashp_main_heating_primary_factor_…`
  pinning the PE Table 12e analog.
- Added `test_dual_meter_ashp_main_heating_primary_factor_…`
  pinning the dual-rate Table 12a Grid 1 PE blend.
- `test_golden_fixtures.py`: 20 ASHP cluster cert pins updated to
  the post-S0380.71 residuals (mean PE residual -3.10 → -0.66
  kWh/m²). Other certs unchanged.

Baseline: 544 pass + 9 expected `test_sap_result_pin[000565-*]`
cascade-gap fails. Pyright net-zero on every touched file.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-29 11:51:39 +00:00
..
addresses get rid of comments 2026-05-20 13:21:11 +00:00
sap10_calculator Slice S0380.71: Monthly Table 12d/12e cascade for STANDARD-tariff electric mains (ASHP cohort closure) 2026-05-29 11:51:39 +00:00
sap10_ml Slice S0380.26: RdSAP10 §5.8 dry-lining adjustment on alt walls — closes cert 7700 -0.44 → +5e-5 2026-05-28 10:56:11 +00:00
tasks added postcode splitter rewrite to ddd 2026-05-19 16:35:09 +00:00
postcode.py get rid of comments 2026-05-20 13:21:11 +00:00