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Khalim Conn-Kowlessar 3d6cf5ea17 Slice S0380.71: Monthly Table 12d/12e cascade for STANDARD-tariff electric mains (ASHP cohort closure)
S0380.65 added the dual-rate Table 12a Grid 1 + Table 12d blend for
the electric main_heating CO2 factor, but the STANDARD-tariff branch
fell back to the annual Table 12 flat (code 30 = 0.136). Same gap
existed on the PE side (no helper at all — line 3756 hardcoded
`primary_energy_factor(main_fuel)` = 1.501 annual flat). For the
20-cert STANDARD-tariff ASHP cohort this hid a systematic
+2.7 kWh/m² PE under-count on every cert.

Per SAP 10.2 Table 12d header (p.195) and Table 12e header (p.196):
  "Where electricity is the fuel used, the relevant set of factors
  in the table below should be used to calculate the monthly [CO2
  emissions / primary energy] instead the annual average factor
  given in Table 12."

The spec rule applies regardless of tariff — only the high/low
split is tariff-dependent. STANDARD-tariff electric mains still
require the monthly cascade, just with single-code (30) factors.

Cohort closure (PE residual vs lodged EPC PEUI):
  9796: -4.18 → -1.36
  4800: -3.83 → -0.59
  2536: -3.48 → -1.02
  ...
  20 cluster certs mean: -3.10 → -0.66

Changes:
- `_main_heating_co2_factor_kg_per_kwh` — drop STANDARD-tariff
  fallback; instead apply `_effective_monthly_co2_factor` with
  `_STANDARD_ELECTRICITY_FUEL_CODE` (30) for STANDARD-tariff
  electric mains. Dual-rate path unchanged.
- NEW `_main_heating_primary_factor(main, tariff, monthly_kwh)` —
  PE-side mirror covering both STANDARD (single-code 30 monthly
  cascade) and dual-rate (Table 12a Grid 1 high/low blend over
  Table 12e high/low codes) paths.
- `cert_to_inputs` `space_heating_primary_factor` field — routed
  through the new helper (was annual `primary_energy_factor`).

Tests:
- Updated `test_standard_meter_ashp_main_heating_co2_factor_…`
  (renamed `…_falls_back_to_annual_table_12` →
  `…_applies_monthly_table_12d_code_30`) to assert the monthly
  cascade > annual flat by the winter-weighting margin.
- Added `test_standard_meter_ashp_main_heating_primary_factor_…`
  pinning the PE Table 12e analog.
- Added `test_dual_meter_ashp_main_heating_primary_factor_…`
  pinning the dual-rate Table 12a Grid 1 PE blend.
- `test_golden_fixtures.py`: 20 ASHP cluster cert pins updated to
  the post-S0380.71 residuals (mean PE residual -3.10 → -0.66
  kWh/m²). Other certs unchanged.

Baseline: 544 pass + 9 expected `test_sap_result_pin[000565-*]`
cascade-gap fails. Pyright net-zero on every touched file.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-29 11:51:39 +00:00
.devcontainer added 0.0.7 2026-05-13 16:04:53 +00:00
.github/workflows undo postcodesplitter changes 2026-05-21 10:12:08 +00:00
.idea scaffolding for ml pipeline 2026-05-16 14:15:56 +00:00
.vscode added utils to allow easier subtask management 2026-03-02 15:15:39 +00:00
applications local run changes 2026-05-21 10:37:13 +00:00
asset_list redeploy old postcode splitter 2026-05-21 09:46:47 +00:00
backend Slice S0380.64: Elmhurst per-extension wall_construction mappings + strict-raise 2026-05-29 08:57:25 +00:00
backlog implemented onboarding 2026-04-21 20:23:33 +00:00
datatypes Slice S0380.64: Elmhurst per-extension wall_construction mappings + strict-raise 2026-05-29 08:57:25 +00:00
deployment/terraform undo postcodesplitter changes 2026-05-21 10:12:08 +00:00
docs/adr refactor: move docs/sap-spec/ contents into domain/sap10_calculator/ 2026-05-26 13:17:18 +00:00
domain Slice S0380.71: Monthly Table 12d/12e cascade for STANDARD-tariff electric mains (ASHP cohort closure) 2026-05-29 11:51:39 +00:00
epr_data_exports allowing carbon and energy otimisation by removing slack 2025-07-31 19:13:16 +01:00
etl scaffolding for ml pipeline 2026-05-16 14:15:56 +00:00
infrastructure some excel files are formatted differently 2026-05-20 17:36:20 +00:00
model_data/requirements its working the way khalim wanted wiht postcode and then search that 2026-01-22 15:17:13 +00:00
orchestration get rid of comments 2026-05-20 13:21:11 +00:00
recommendations save 2026-05-07 15:55:44 +00:00
repositories tests framework completed 2026-05-20 14:00:19 +00:00
scripts Slice S0380.39: bulk-fetch 38 cohort-2 EPC API JSONs for cross-mapper parity 2026-05-28 16:40:58 +00:00
sfr/principal_pitch added added historic epc data class with shape 2026-05-08 12:03:35 +00:00
survey_report quidos site notes extraction 2025-02-18 19:49:29 +00:00
tests tests framework completed 2026-05-20 14:00:19 +00:00
utilities get rid of comments 2026-05-20 13:21:11 +00:00
utils rename files in sharepoint to desired structure 2026-05-20 16:26:07 +00:00
.coveragerc fixed unit tests 2023-10-05 16:04:12 +01:00
.dockerignore deployment from infrastructure 2026-05-19 12:55:30 +00:00
.gitignore fixed merge conflicts from main 2026-05-26 11:21:09 +00:00
__init__.py added checking for directory before creation and made some minor style changes 2023-08-25 15:21:17 +01:00
ara_backend_design.md refactor: lift-and-shift packages/domain/src/domain/ml → domain/sap10_ml 2026-05-26 13:01:35 +00:00
BaseUtility.py fixed missing task and subtask for single remote assessments 2025-11-27 17:50:26 +00:00
CLAUDE.md fixed merge conflicts from main 2026-05-26 11:21:09 +00:00
conftest.py working on integrating new EPC api into address2UPRN 2026-04-27 11:32:44 +00:00
CONTEXT.md refactor: lift-and-shift packages/domain/src/domain/ml → domain/sap10_ml 2026-05-26 13:01:35 +00:00
devcontainer.sh add dev container 2026-04-17 14:50:57 +00:00
Dockerfile.test fix: address 22 project-wide test failures from previous sweep 2026-05-26 13:34:51 +00:00
Dockerfile.test.dockerignore deployment from infrastructure 2026-05-19 12:55:30 +00:00
Makefile adding to dev container to create shared network on start up 2026-04-25 15:03:07 +00:00
MEMORY.md memory 2026-04-02 10:24:31 +00:00
package-lock.json restructuring openUrpn code 2023-07-20 11:41:43 +01:00
package.json restructuring openUrpn code 2023-07-20 11:41:43 +01:00
pyproject.toml slice 14a: ml_training_data pkg + sample.py (CSV filter + random sample) 2026-05-16 17:39:43 +00:00
pyrightconfig.json slice 14d: build_features wires bulk reader -> mapper -> EpcMlTransform 2026-05-16 18:38:41 +00:00
pytest.ini refactor: lift-and-shift packages/domain/src/domain/ml → domain/sap10_ml 2026-05-26 13:01:35 +00:00
README.md adding to dev container to create shared network on start up 2026-04-25 15:03:07 +00:00
run_lambda_local.sh debugging local lambda run and updating the sap point checking condition 2023-09-13 18:47:12 +01:00
serverless.yml added logic to add to serverless 2026-04-22 12:39:44 +00:00
test.requirements.txt infrastructure: typed S3/SQS clients (S3Client, CsvS3Client, SqsClient, Address2UprnQueueClient) 2026-05-19 17:12:21 +00:00
tox.ini removing playright install for integration test 2026-04-30 20:08:13 +00:00
UBIQUITOUS_LANGUAGE.md postcode_splitter: pure domain (UserAddress, sanitise_postcode, postcode_batching) 2026-05-19 16:45:47 +00:00

Model Repository

This repository contains the code pertaining to the development of the data science and machine learning products being utilised by Hestia.

The different folders in this repository relate to services that can be used independently, or can be imported and used as part of a larger application

Getting Started

Prerequisites

Dev Container Setup

This repo uses a Docker Compose-based dev container. The model-backend service joins a shared-dev Docker network so it can communicate with other local services (e.g. a frontend container) running on your machine.

VS Code users: The initializeCommand in devcontainer.json creates the shared-dev network automatically before the container starts. No manual step required — just open the repo and select Reopen in Container.

Non-VS Code / CI workflows: Run the following once before starting the container:

make dev-setup

This is idempotent and safe to re-run if the network already exists.

Folders

backend/

This folder contains the code for the fastapi backend service, which provides an interface to much of the functionality in this repository, for the frontend

model_data/

This folder contains related to the reading and preparation of assessment model data, including pulling out epc attributes

Testing

All tests can be run, against the configuration in pytest.ini running

pytest

This will run the complete panel of tests and report on coverage in the locations specified by the pytest.ini file.

To run tests in a specific service, e.g. inside of model_data, simply run

pytest --cov-config=model_data/.coveragerc --cov=model_data

This will produce the test results and coverage reports