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Khalim Conn-Kowlessar fba45d1111 Slice S0380.159: SAP 10.2 Table 4a R tariff-aware dispatch for electric storage
SAP 10.2 Table 4a (PDF p.166) Cat 7 "Electric storage heaters"
splits the responsiveness R between two sub-tables:

  Off-peak tariff:
    Slimline storage heaters       ... R = 0.2  402
    Convector storage heaters      ... R = 0.2  403
    Slimline + Celect-type control ... R = 0.4  405
    Convector + Celect-type ctrl   ... R = 0.4  406
  24-hour heating tariff:
    Slimline storage heaters       ... R = 0.4  402
    Convector storage heaters      ... R = 0.4  403
    Slimline + Celect-type control ... R = 0.6  405
    Convector + Celect-type ctrl   ... R = 0.6  406

Per SAP 10.2 §12.4.3 (PDF p.36) the 18-hour tariff has electricity
at low rate for 18 hours per day with at most 6h of interruption /
2h max each — operationally equivalent to 24-hour for storage-heater
charging. The cascade therefore routes EIGHTEEN_HOUR + TWENTY_FOUR_
HOUR through the 24-hour Table 4a sub-row.

Pre-slice `_responsiveness` keyed on `sap_main_heating_code` only
and returned R=0.2 for code 402 regardless of tariff. The existing
docstring already flagged the gap:

    402: 0.20,  # Slimline storage heaters (24-hr tariff: 0.40)
    ... "promote to (sap_code, tariff) lookup when 24-hour fixture
    surfaces; until then the off-peak default applies (under-shoots
    R for the 24-hour case)."

Per-line walk on electric 5 (sap_main_heating_code=402 +
meter_type="18 Hour"): cascade T_living (87)[Jan] = 20.1213 vs
worksheet 19.6519, (92)[Jan] = 18.6996 vs worksheet 18.2063, (93)
[Jan] = 19.0996 vs worksheet 18.6063 (cascade +0.4933 K throughout
the cascade). Back-solve from worksheet T_living=19.6519 via the
Table 9b Tsc formula:

  Tsc(R=0.4) = 0.6 × (21-2) + 0.4 × (4.3 + 0.9933 × 705.4/210.23)
             = 11.4 + 0.4 × 7.6325 = 14.4528

  ΔT = 21 - 14.4528 = 6.5472
  u_sum = 0.5 × 6.5472 × (7² + 8²) / (24 × 11.43) = 1.3481
  T_living = 21 - 1.3481 = 19.6519 EXACT match.

Adds:
  - `_CONTINUOUS_CHARGING_TARIFFS: frozenset[Tariff]` = {EIGHTEEN_
    HOUR, TWENTY_FOUR_HOUR} — the tariffs treated as "24-hour
    heating" for Table 4a R selection.
  - `_RESPONSIVENESS_24_HOUR_OVERRIDE_BY_SAP_CODE: dict[int, float]`
    — the override table for codes 402/403/405/406 (404, 407, 409
    keep the same R in both sub-tables).
  - `tariff: Optional[Tariff]` parameter to `_responsiveness`, with
    the override consulted before the off-peak default.
  - Tariff threaded through both call sites of MIT cascade (rating
    + demand paths) via `tariff_from_meter_type`.

Closures electric 5:
  ΔSAP −1.1759 → +0.1081 (91% reduction)
  Δcost +£27.09 → −£2.49
  ΔCO2 +62.72 → +7.30 kg
  ΔPE +438.03 → +0.07 kWh (essentially EXACT)

Electric 5 now joins the same residual cluster as electric 3/6/7/8/
9 (+0.09..+0.12 SAP, −£2..−£3 cost, +£7 CO2) — the cluster that
the prior handovers suspected was a shared shave-the-residual gap.

No regressions on the other 24 cohort variants. Extended handover
suite: 903 pass / 0 fail (was 902 — +1 from the new AAA test).
Pyright net-zero (43 → 43).

Σ |ΔSAP_c| across the 25-variant cohort: 2.30 → 1.24 (~46%
reduction from this slice).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 22:25:51 +00:00
.devcontainer added 0.0.7 2026-05-13 16:04:53 +00:00
.github/workflows undo postcodesplitter changes 2026-05-21 10:12:08 +00:00
.idea scaffolding for ml pipeline 2026-05-16 14:15:56 +00:00
.vscode added utils to allow easier subtask management 2026-03-02 15:15:39 +00:00
applications refactor(ara): rename FirstRunPipeline → AraFirstRunPipeline (PR #1139 review) 2026-06-01 15:00:33 +00:00
asset_list redeploy old postcode splitter 2026-05-21 09:46:47 +00:00
backend Slice S0380.159: SAP 10.2 Table 4a R tariff-aware dispatch for electric storage 2026-06-01 22:25:51 +00:00
backlog implemented onboarding 2026-04-21 20:23:33 +00:00
datatypes Slice S0380.149: Table 4f — circulation pump dispatch by pump age + wet-boiler gate 2026-06-01 09:14:11 +00:00
deployment/terraform actually deploy postcode splitter 2026-05-20 15:17:55 +00:00
docs refactor(property-baseline): units on co2 / PEUI columns (PR #1139 review) 2026-06-01 14:57:00 +00:00
domain Slice S0380.159: SAP 10.2 Table 4a R tariff-aware dispatch for electric storage 2026-06-01 22:25:51 +00:00
epr_data_exports allowing carbon and energy otimisation by removing slack 2025-07-31 19:13:16 +01:00
etl booking status 2026-05-28 12:15:37 +00:00
infrastructure refactor(property): PropertyRow.id non-Optional (PR #1139 review) 2026-06-01 14:58:11 +00:00
model_data/requirements its working the way khalim wanted wiht postcode and then search that 2026-01-22 15:17:13 +00:00
orchestration refactor(ara): rename FirstRunPipeline → AraFirstRunPipeline (PR #1139 review) 2026-06-01 15:00:33 +00:00
recommendations save 2026-05-07 15:55:44 +00:00
repositories refactor(property): PropertyRow.id non-Optional (PR #1139 review) 2026-06-01 14:58:11 +00:00
scripts feat(ingestion): relocate EpcClientService to infrastructure + SolarRepo (#1133) 2026-05-30 19:45:26 +00:00
sfr/principal_pitch added added historic epc data class with shape 2026-05-08 12:03:35 +00:00
survey_report quidos site notes extraction 2025-02-18 19:49:29 +00:00
tests refactor(ara): rename FirstRunPipeline → AraFirstRunPipeline (PR #1139 review) 2026-06-01 15:00:33 +00:00
utilities get rid of comments 2026-05-20 13:21:11 +00:00
utils rename files in sharepoint to desired structure 2026-05-20 16:26:07 +00:00
.coveragerc fixed unit tests 2023-10-05 16:04:12 +01:00
.dockerignore deployment from infrastructure 2026-05-19 12:55:30 +00:00
.gitignore fixed merge conflicts from main 2026-05-26 11:21:09 +00:00
__init__.py added checking for directory before creation and made some minor style changes 2023-08-25 15:21:17 +01:00
ara_backend_design.md refactor: lift-and-shift packages/domain/src/domain/ml → domain/sap10_ml 2026-05-26 13:01:35 +00:00
BaseUtility.py fixed missing task and subtask for single remote assessments 2025-11-27 17:50:26 +00:00
CLAUDE.md fixed merge conflicts from main 2026-05-26 11:21:09 +00:00
conftest.py working on integrating new EPC api into address2UPRN 2026-04-27 11:32:44 +00:00
CONTEXT.md feat(baseline): BaselineOrchestrator + BaselinePerformance aggregate (#1135) 2026-05-30 21:21:34 +00:00
devcontainer.sh add dev container 2026-04-17 14:50:57 +00:00
Dockerfile.test fix: address 22 project-wide test failures from previous sweep 2026-05-26 13:34:51 +00:00
Dockerfile.test.dockerignore deployment from infrastructure 2026-05-19 12:55:30 +00:00
Makefile adding to dev container to create shared network on start up 2026-04-25 15:03:07 +00:00
MEMORY.md memory 2026-04-02 10:24:31 +00:00
package-lock.json restructuring openUrpn code 2023-07-20 11:41:43 +01:00
package.json restructuring openUrpn code 2023-07-20 11:41:43 +01:00
pyproject.toml slice 14a: ml_training_data pkg + sample.py (CSV filter + random sample) 2026-05-16 17:39:43 +00:00
pyrightconfig.json slice 14d: build_features wires bulk reader -> mapper -> EpcMlTransform 2026-05-16 18:38:41 +00:00
pytest.ini refactor: lift-and-shift packages/domain/src/domain/ml → domain/sap10_ml 2026-05-26 13:01:35 +00:00
README.md adding to dev container to create shared network on start up 2026-04-25 15:03:07 +00:00
run_lambda_local.sh debugging local lambda run and updating the sap point checking condition 2023-09-13 18:47:12 +01:00
serverless.yml added logic to add to serverless 2026-04-22 12:39:44 +00:00
test.requirements.txt infrastructure: typed S3/SQS clients (S3Client, CsvS3Client, SqsClient, Address2UprnQueueClient) 2026-05-19 17:12:21 +00:00
tox.ini removing playright install for integration test 2026-04-30 20:08:13 +00:00
UBIQUITOUS_LANGUAGE.md note kwh service not needing predictions 2026-05-13 21:52:02 +00:00

Model Repository

This repository contains the code pertaining to the development of the data science and machine learning products being utilised by Hestia.

The different folders in this repository relate to services that can be used independently, or can be imported and used as part of a larger application

Getting Started

Prerequisites

Dev Container Setup

This repo uses a Docker Compose-based dev container. The model-backend service joins a shared-dev Docker network so it can communicate with other local services (e.g. a frontend container) running on your machine.

VS Code users: The initializeCommand in devcontainer.json creates the shared-dev network automatically before the container starts. No manual step required — just open the repo and select Reopen in Container.

Non-VS Code / CI workflows: Run the following once before starting the container:

make dev-setup

This is idempotent and safe to re-run if the network already exists.

Folders

backend/

This folder contains the code for the fastapi backend service, which provides an interface to much of the functionality in this repository, for the frontend

model_data/

This folder contains related to the reading and preparation of assessment model data, including pulling out epc attributes

Testing

All tests can be run, against the configuration in pytest.ini running

pytest

This will run the complete panel of tests and report on coverage in the locations specified by the pytest.ini file.

To run tests in a specific service, e.g. inside of model_data, simply run

pytest --cov-config=model_data/.coveragerc --cov=model_data

This will produce the test results and coverage reports