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836 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
e89b4041c7 test(efficiency): lock solid-fuel room-heater space eff to Table 4a column (B)
An API audit flagged the solid-fuel room-heater space efficiencies
(_SPACE_EFF_BY_CODE 631-636) as reading the "Water" column of SAP 10.2
Table 4a. That was a misread: the two room-heater columns are (A)
minimum-for-HETAS-approved and (B) other appliances — BOTH are space
efficiency, not space/water. RdSAP defaults to column (B) when HETAS
approval is not lodged, which is what these values already hold and what
the reference software produces (Elmhurst worksheet "solid fuel 9", SAP
code 636 → (206) space efficiency = 70 = column B; flipping to column A
75 broke that pin and three sibling solid-fuel corpus pins).

No value change — add a pin test + spec-cited comment so the column-(A)/
(B) distinction is explicit and this misread can't recur.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-10 11:09:12 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
07f534ee11 feat(modelling): system tune-up options (standard + zone controls)
Add the system tune-up to the heating Recommendation: keep the existing wet
boiler but install better heating controls and fix the cylinder. Two competing
Options (the Optimiser picks <=1 across the whole heating rec) per the user's
two best control end-states:

- system_tune_up        — standard controls (programmer + room thermostat +
  TRVs, SAP 10.2 Table 4e code 2106)
- system_tune_up_zoned  — time-and-temperature zone control (code 2110, type 3):
  more SAP uplift for more cost

Both keep the boiler (no fuel / SAP code / flue change), set the control
ABSOLUTELY to their end-state, and apply the conditional cylinder fixes (an
80 mm jacket when under-insulated, a thermostat when absent — only when a
cylinder exists). Each control option is offered only when it genuinely improves
the existing control — standard is skipped when the control is already 2106 /
2110 / 2112, zone when already 2110 / 2112 — so neither is ever a downgrade or a
no-op.

Validated against the Elmhurst "system tune up" re-lodgements (cert 001431):
nine befores spanning controls 2101-2113 all converge to the two common afters,
proving the control overlay is absolute. The cascade pin is parametrised over
two starting controls (2101 "no control" + 2113 "room thermostat and TRVs") x
both afters, delta 0 (SAP/CO2/PE).

Wires the two MeasureTypes through contingencies (0.15), the offline catalogue
(500 / 900), the catalogue-coverage list, the report triggers, and the ARA
first-run seed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-10 10:20:46 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
5a74897fed fix(water-heating): gate DHW separate-timing on programmer + boiler age (RdSAP 10 §10.5)
`_separately_timed_dhw` returned True for any boiler+cylinder+from-main
cert, applying the SAP 10.2 Table 2b note b) ×0.9 temperature-factor
reduction unconditionally. For the lpg-boiler "before" worksheet (pre-
1998 LPG boiler SAP code 115 + 210 L cylinder, NO cylinder thermostat,
control 2113 "Room thermostat and TRVs" — no programmer) this dropped
the (53) temperature factor to 0.702 (= 0.60 × 1.3 × 0.9) where the
worksheet lodges 0.78 (= 0.60 × 1.3), under-counting cylinder storage
loss (55) by ~119 kWh/yr and over-rating SAP by ~0.25.

RdSAP 10 §10.5 (PDF p.57) "Hot water separately timed":
    No programmer, pre-1998 boiler → No
    Programmer, pre-1998 boiler    → Yes
    Post-1998 boiler               → Yes
DHW is therefore NOT separately timed only when a pre-1998 boiler is
paired with a no-programmer control. Add the two SAP 10.2 Table 4c(2) /
Table 4b lookups (controls without a programmer = {2101, 2103, 2111,
2113}; pre-1998 gas/LPG boilers 110-119 + oil 124/125/128) and return
False for that combination; every other boiler+cylinder cert keeps the
separately-timed default, so the change is confined to old low-control
stock and the heating corpus + goldens are unchanged.

Effect: the full chain (Summary PDF → extractor → mapper → cert_to_inputs
→ calculator) now reproduces the lpg-boiler worksheet's §11a unrounded
SAP -6.6499 at abs < 1e-4 (was -6.4013). Full regression suite green bar
the 3 pre-existing unrelated fails.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-10 10:07:27 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
2413bc87da feat(modelling): solid-fuel(coal)->gas boiler upgrade + boiler_flue_type end-state
Pin the coal-boiler-with-cylinder upgrade and add the `boiler_flue_type`
end-state field. A solid-fuel (coal) boiler (fuel 11, SAP code 153) on a
mains-gas street converts to a gas condensing boiler (fuel 11->26, code 102) —
the non-gas->gas path for a solid-fuel system, eligible because code 153 is in
the wet-boiler solid-fuel range 151-161 and mains gas is present.

New `boiler_flue_type` HeatingOverlay field, routed to main_heating_details[0]
and set to 2 (room-sealed/balanced) on both boiler shapes: every relodged after
lodges flue type 2, but coal's before lodged none. The field is SAP-inert (the
cascade score is unchanged by it), so it is written purely for end-state
fidelity — the overlay now represents the installed condensing boiler's flue.
Validated via the overlay-equality unit tests.

The coal after predates the user-locked "always add a cylinder thermostat when
absent" rule, so it stale-lodged thermostat 'N'; the pin corrects it to the
rule's end-state 'Y' in-test (the gas with-cylinder after got the same
correction by re-lodging). The cylinder is already 80 mm insulated, so the
jacket is skipped and only the thermostat is added; controls (2106) are
unchanged. Cascade-pinned delta 0 (SAP/CO2/PE).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-10 08:27:07 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
63dd69ff8b feat(modelling): gas combi boiler upgrade + controls-when-inadequate
Extend the gas-boiler-upgrade Option to combi (no-cylinder) dwellings and add
the controls upgrade shared by both boiler shapes. A dwelling has a cylinder or
it does not, so the one `gas_boiler_upgrade` Option is shaped per dwelling:

- no cylinder -> a gas condensing combi (Table 4b code 104), no cylinder fields
  touched;
- a cylinder  -> a regular boiler (code 102) heating it, with the conditional
  cylinder jacket/thermostat (slice 1).

Controls: bring an inadequate boiler control up to full programmer + room
thermostat + TRVs (SAP 10.2 Table 4e Group 1 code 2106). "Inadequate" = the
Group-1 codes with NO room thermostat (2101, 2102, 2107, 2108, 2109, 2111) —
these lack boiler interlock (Table 4c(2) / footnote c) p.171), so adding a room
thermostat genuinely improves SAP. Room-thermostatted (2103/2104/2105/2106/2113)
or better zone controls (2110/2112) are left unchanged — never downgraded, so
no phantom uplift. The with-cylinder cert (control 2106) is therefore untouched
and its pin still holds at delta 0.

Validated by the combi before/after re-lodgement (cert 001431, gas boiler
upgrade - no cylinder): control 2111 "TRVs and bypass" -> 2106, fan flue
False->True, SAP code 112 -> 104. Cascade-pinned delta 0 (SAP/CO2/PE). Removed
the slice-1 placeholder test asserting no boiler Option fires without a cylinder
(the combi Option now correctly fires there).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-09 16:28:00 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
31c74ab500 feat(modelling): gas-boiler-upgrade-with-cylinder option in the heating rec
Add the first boiler-upgrade option to the single "Heating & Hot Water"
Recommendation (ADR-0024 expansion): a dwelling whose existing wet boiler heats
a hot-water cylinder is offered a new gas condensing boiler, with the cylinder
jacketed when under-insulated and given a thermostat when absent. One competing
Option (the Optimiser picks <=1), folded into one composite Plan line.

The end-state is read from the Elmhurst before/after re-lodgements (cert 001431,
gas boiler upgrade - with cylinder), which REVISE ADR-0024:

- Target is always a gas condensing boiler, not fuel-preserving: every after
  lodges fuel 26. Gas->gas always; a non-gas wet boiler ->gas only with a
  mains-gas connection; electric boilers are left alone (electrification is the
  upgrade path). Eligibility = wet-boiler SAP code (Table 4a/4b 101-141 /
  151-161 / 191-196) + not an electric boiler + mains gas present.
- End-state is a Table 4b SAP code, not a PCDB index: code 102 (regular boiler
  + cylinder). The calculator derives the condensing seasonal efficiency from
  the code, so no efficiency input exists or is needed.
- A modern condensing boiler has a fanned flue: the after flips
  `fan_flue_present` False->True on every cert (SAP 10.2 Table 4f flue-fan +
  the Table 4b condensing-efficiency basis). Added as a new HeatingOverlay
  field, routed to main_heating_details[0].
- Cylinder thermostat is always added when absent (user-locked); the jacket is
  the 80 mm `cylinder_insulation_type=2` end-state, applied only when the
  cylinder is below 80 mm (never downgrading a better one). Both are conditional
  per-dwelling components, not a frozen overlay.

Cascade-pinned delta-0 (SAP/CO2/PE) against the relodged after via
`_assert_overlay_reproduces_after`. NB the absolute SAP on this dwelling is
subject to a separate Summary-path mapper roof-fidelity gap (we read the roof
better-insulated than Elmhurst, scoring ~75 vs the printed 56); the gap is
identical on before+after (the boiler measure never touches the roof) so it
cancels and the pin still proves the exact heating field-delta. Tracked on the
calculator branch.

Wires the new `gas_boiler_upgrade` MeasureType through contingencies (0.26),
the offline sample catalogue, the catalogue-coverage list, and the ARA
first-run integration seed (the option fires on any mains-gas boiler+cylinder
dwelling).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-09 16:16:46 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
3b7d26fe34 added test for a 1000 examples 2026-06-09 16:02:21 +00:00
Daniel Roth
236f33c25f move spreadsheet population logic to domain 2026-06-09 14:43:24 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
872bc585f7 fix(hot-water): apply Table 12c distribution loss to HW-only heat networks (whc 950/951/952)
The heat-network HW distribution-loss override fired only when the MAIN was
a heat network AND whc inherited from main ({901,902,914}). Water-heating-only
heat networks (SAP 10.2 Table 4a HW codes 950 boilers / 951 CHP / 952 heat
pump) were missed entirely: their Table 4a plant efficiency applied with NO
distribution loss, so the HW fuel was under-counted by the Table 12c DLF
(1.33-1.48x) → under-cost → over-rate.

RdSAP 10 §10 (spec p.36): a water-heating-only heat network is calculated 'for
plant efficiency, distribution loss and pumping energy - see Table 12c'. Added
a whc-gated branch (independent of the main) applying water_eff = plant_eff /
DLF — the per-kWh-generated cost model (q_generated = q_useful x DLF). Fires on
the WHC alone so a HW-only heat network with a non-network main (cert 9093, whc
950 + warm-air main 502) is covered.

The 3 corpus whc=950 certs all improve in |err|: 2153 +2.62->-0.48 (now within
0.5), 7220 +1.27->-0.97, 9093 +6.04->+3.60 (residual is its warm-air main, a
separate cause). within-0.5 56.66->56.79%, within-1.0 71.9->72.2%, mean|err|
down; only those 3 certs change. New AAA test pins the DLF scaling fires on the
WHC independent of the main. Goldens + gate green, pyright net-zero.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-09 13:40:17 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
a7990edb8c robustness: strict-raise on unmapped glazing + heating/HW efficiency codes
Forcing-function guards so a lodged-but-unmapped code surfaces loudly instead
of silently taking a wrong-but-plausible default (the class that hid single
glazing as U=2.5 until this session). Four silent fallbacks converted to raise
on PRESENT-but-unmapped codes, while keeping the legitimate ABSENT (None)
defaults:

- _api_glazing_transmission: unmapped glazing_type -> UnmappedApiCode (was
  None -> u_window all-None default 2.5).
- _api_cascade_glazing_type: unmapped glazing_type -> UnmappedApiCode (was
  pass-through -> wrong g-value slot).
- seasonal_efficiency: a lodged code/category resolving in neither
  _SPACE_EFF_BY_CODE nor the category/room-heater fallbacks -> UnmappedSapCode
  (was blind 0.80 gas-boiler default, which 'catastrophically misrates heat
  pumps and storage' per the table comment). Data-free calls keep 0.80.
- water_heating_efficiency: WHC in no SAP 10.2 Table 4a HW row ->
  UnmappedSapCode (was blind 0.78). Absent code keeps 0.78.

Zero current-corpus impact (909 computed / 0 raises, 56.66% within-0.5
unchanged) — the code/efficiency tables are complete for today's data, so
these are guards for the ongoing audit + future data refreshes. Verified the
WHC table already covers 908 (multi-point gas) and 950 (HW heat network), so
those are NOT unmapped-code bugs. 8 AAA tests, goldens + gate green, pyright
net-zero.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-09 13:21:13 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
06cb4f7b6e Merge branch 'feature/bill-derivation' into feature/junte+khalim 2026-06-09 10:06:40 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
7878a96900 fix(fuel): strict-raise on unmapped Table-12 factor fuel codes
Tier-1 finding of the silent-fallback audit. The fuel-type helpers fed the
SAP 10.2 Table 12/32 cost/CO2/PE lookups via a silent
`API_FUEL_TO_TABLE_12.get(fuel, fuel)` passthrough at 5 sites
(_heat_network_factor_fuel_code, HW CO2/PE, _secondary_fuel_code, PV). A fuel
code in NEITHER the API enum map NOR the Table-12 numbering passed straight
through to the mains-gas default baked into unit_price_p_per_kwh /
co2_factor_kg_per_kwh / primary_energy_factor (table_12.py:233/274/287,
table_32.py:190) — silently mis-pricing a novel/colliding fuel as grid gas.
This is the class that mis-priced cert 8536's community biomass as
electricity (-17 SAP) before a7761ea8.

New _table_12_factor_fuel_code mirrors .get(fuel, fuel) EXACTLY for every
recognised input (union of the CO2/PE/price/monthly table keys +
API_FUEL_TO_TABLE_12 values) and raises UnmappedSapCode only when the
resolved code is recognised by no table — surfacing the gap loudly per the
strict-raise principle (reference_unmapped_sap_code). Verified behaviour-
preserving: 0/909 corpus certs hit the new raise; eval unchanged at 54.9%
within-0.5 / 909 computed / 0 raises.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-09 10:05:57 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
e6dda705f4 fix(ventilation): apply Table 4g default SFP to index-less MEV fan electricity
Completes the MEV fan-electricity thread. The PCDB-index slice closed the
9 MEV certs carrying a Table 322 record; the other 11 (mostly gas houses)
lodge mechanical_ventilation=2 with NO PCDB index, so
`_mev_decentralised_kwh_per_yr_from_cert` returned 0 and billed no fan
running cost — a tight +2.2 SAP over-rate (signed +1.23, median +2.19).

SAP 10.2 §2.6.3 / Table 4g note 1 (PDF p.176) prescribes a DEFAULT
specific fan power of 0.8 W/(l/s) for an MEV system whose fans are not in
the PCDB, used directly as SFPav in the §5 Table 4f (230a) formula
(SFPav × 1.22 × V). Restructure the helper: when no Table 322 record
resolves, fall back to the default for a mechanical-extract system
(`mechanical_ventilation_kind == EXTRACT_OR_PIV_OUTSIDE`); natural /
balanced (MVHR / MV) systems still contribute nothing.

Index-less extract cohort closed +1.23 -> +0.18 signed (each gains
~1.1 SAP of fan electricity). This is a spec-correct fix that improves
the aggregate but is a HEADLINE TRADE-OFF: within-2.0 83.6% -> 84.6%,
within-1.0 70.08% -> 70.19%, mean|err| 1.232 -> 1.224, but within-0.5
55.12% -> 54.90% (-2) — the fan energy is only ~half each cert's
over-rate, so the cohort lands at ~+1.0 (still outside 0.5) while two
borderline certs with offsetting errors cross out. Applied uniformly per
the determinism principle ([[feedback_software_no_special_handling]]):
the unmasked residual (~+1.0 on gas-house MEV) is the next lead.

1 AAA test (default SFP 0.8 × 1.22 × V for index-less MEV, 0 for
natural). Goldens + full calc/epc regression green (000565 MEV uses its
resolvable PCDB record, unaffected); pyright net-zero.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-09 09:00:54 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
3e05c95e65 fix(wall-U): apply RdSAP Table 4 "Sheltered" R=0.5 to alternative walls
Audit of the API-SAP error (53% within 0.5) localised the systematic
under-rate to ELECTRIC FLATS (houses sit at 60-66% within 0.5; electric
flats 13-19%). Decomposing the flat error showed it tracks space-heating
demand per m² — the worst certs reach 130-289 kWh/m² (accurate certs sit
at 14-110), i.e. a grossly over-stated fabric heat loss, amplified ~4x by
the electricity unit price and the steep low-band SAP log curve.

Root cause: the gov-EPC API lodges `sheltered_wall="Y"` on alternative
wall sub-areas (a sub-area adjacent to an unheated buffer — stair core,
adjoining structure), but the field was dropped by the schema + domain
dataclasses and the calculator billed the alt sub-area at its full
exposed U. RdSAP 10 Table 4 (PDF p.22) "Sheltered": such a wall carries
an added external surface resistance R=0.5 m²K/W → U_sheltered =
1/(1/U + 0.5) — the SAME adjustment the main wall already applies for
`gable_wall_type=2` (`gable_wall_sheltered`,
`_SHELTERED_GABLE_ADDED_RESISTANCE_M2K_W`). Cert 0340-2976 (band-A flat,
42 m² sheltered timber-frame alt) over-stated its wall channel by
~58 W/K → walls 128 -> 70 W/K.

Threads the field end-to-end: schema dataclasses (21.0.0/21.0.1) +
domain `SapAlternativeWall.is_sheltered` (default False — the Summary/
Elmhurst path leaves it False, sheltering rides through its lodged
U-value there, so goldens are untouched) + `from_api_response` mapping
`"Y"->True` + `_alt_wall_w_per_k` applying the 0.5 resistance on the
cascade path (lodged-U and basement alt-walls return before it).

140 certs (15% of the corpus) carry a sheltered alt-wall; they under-
rated at median -0.82 / mean signed -1.33 / 23% within 0.5. Eval: 102
improved, 38 regressed (offsetting-error cases — fix is spec-uniform per
[[feedback_software_no_special_handling]]); within-0.5 53.14% -> 54.24%,
within-1.0 67.99% -> 69.64%, within-2.0 81.85% -> 83.50%, mean|err|
1.312 -> 1.248, 909 computed / 0 raises. Goldens (6035, 000565) and full
calc/epc/parser regression green; pyright net-zero.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 22:49:42 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
a7761ea83f fix(fuel): map gov-API community fuels 30/31/32 (waste/biomass/biogas) to Table-12 community rows, gated on heat-network context
The gov-API `main_fuel_type`/`water_heating_fuel` enum (epc_codes.csv)
codes 30="waste combustion (community)", 31="biomass (community)",
32="biogas (community)" collide in VALUE with the Table-32 electricity
codes 30 (standard rate), 31 (7-hour low) and 32 (7-hour high). All three
sit in `_ELECTRIC_FUEL_CODES`, so `is_electric_fuel_code` flagged a
community-scheme main as electric and `_is_electric_main` routed its cost
through the off-peak electricity branch — BYPASSING the heat-network rate
in `_heat_network_factor_fuel_code`. Cert 8536 (biomass community, SAP
code 301) was billing at 5.5 p/kWh grid electricity instead of the 4.24
p/kWh heat-network rate → -17.2 SAP.

Per RdSAP 10 §C / SAP 10.2 Table 12 (PDF p.191) the community
waste/biomass/biogas rows are codes 42/43/44 (the same rows the
backwards-compat enum codes 11/12/13 already map to). Add 30->42, 31->43,
32->44 to both API fuel-translation tables.

The remap CANNOT be global (`canonical_fuel_code`): the cascade uses the
bare Table-32 code 30 internally as `_STANDARD_ELECTRICITY_FUEL_CODE`
(the RdSAP no-water-heating immersion default writes
`water_heating_fuel=30`), so a blanket remap mis-prices genuine grid
electricity as community waste (cert 2211 regressed +16 SAP in a
prototype). Instead `_heat_network_community_fuel_code` translates only
when `_is_heat_network_main` is true, at the `_main_fuel_code` /
`_water_heating_fuel_code` fuel-TYPE boundary, where the community
meaning is unambiguous.

Per the strict-raise principle ([[reference-unmapped-sap-code]]), a
heat-network main lodging a colliding community fuel the table doesn't
cover raises `UnmappedSapCode` rather than silently falling through to
the same-numbered electricity code.

Eval (API SAP vs lodged): cert 8536 -17.25 -> -6.51, cert 5036 -6.29 ->
+1.36; mean|err| 1.329 -> 1.312, within-1.0 67.88% -> 67.99%,
within-2.0 81.74% -> 81.85%, within-0.5 held at 53.14%, 909 computed /
0 raises. No golden / calculator regressions.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 21:55:48 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
7942a8101a feat(modelling): considered_measures allowlist on the orchestrator
Add domain/modelling/considered_measures.py::restrict_to_considered_measures —
the pure allowlist that limits a run to a chosen set of MeasureType (mirroring
the legacy engine's `inclusions`). It filters at the Option level, so a
multi-option Recommendation (e.g. Heating & Hot Water competing HHRSH against
an ASHP bundle) is kept with only its allowed Options; a Recommendation left
with none is dropped. None = consider everything (unrestricted default).

Thread `considered_measures: frozenset[MeasureType] | None` through
ModellingOrchestrator.run -> _plan_for -> _scored_candidate_groups /
_candidate_recommendations (applies the filter) and _measure_dependencies
(suppresses a forced dependency whose required measure is outside the
allowlist, so a restricted run forces nothing it is not considering). The
local-run seam (harness.console.run_modelling) gains the same param.

The Optimiser still freely chooses among survivors — including none. Tests:
the pure filter (3 cases) + an orchestrator-seam test proving a
{solar_pv}-restricted run yields only solar_pv options. 257 pass + 3 xfail;
pyright clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 20:32:11 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
19235d1144 fix(fuel): canonicalise colliding gov-API solid-fuel codes (anthracite/coal) at the fuel-type boundary
A coal main (gov-API main_fuel_type=33) was priced at the electricity
10-hour low rate (7.5 p) and anthracite (5) at the bulk-LPG rate
(12.19 p), because the shared price/CO2/PE lookups check Table-32/12-code
membership BEFORE translating the API enum — and codes 5/33 collide with
a different-fuel Table code. This drove the cohort's single worst cert
(2100 anthracite, -61 SAP). `is_electric_fuel_code(33)` also wrongly
classified the coal main as electric.

The gov-API fuel enum (confirmed by description-vs-code audit on
main_heating[].description): 5=anthracite, 33=coal, 9=dual-fuel,
20/25/31=community. The collision can't be resolved inside the shared
table functions — code 33 is ALSO the electricity-10h TARIFF code used by
the dual-rate CO2/PE split (golden 000565), so normalising there breaks
electricity certs. Instead `canonical_fuel_code` normalises the colliding
SOLID-fuel enums (5->15 anthracite, 33->11 house coal) at the fuel-TYPE
boundary in `_main_fuel_code` / `_water_heating_fuel_code`, where the code
is known to be a fuel type (never a tariff code).

Scoped to anthracite (5) + coal (33) — the unambiguous large mispricings.
Dual-fuel (9, 0.45 p delta) and community (20/25/31, heat-network path)
are deferred (noted in `_GOV_API_COLLISION_FUELS`).

API SAP eval: mean|err| 1.424 -> 1.329 (the -61 anthracite outlier 2100
-> -11, residual now fabric); within-0.5 53.1% (flat); 909 computed, 0
raises. Golden + Elmhurst regression green (the shared table functions
are unchanged, so the electricity-tariff CO2/PE path is untouched).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 20:31:43 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
9ef97be958 refactor(modelling): type measure_type fields as MeasureType
Tighten the recommendation/plan vocabulary off generic str:
MeasureOption.measure_type and PlanMeasure.measure_type are now MeasureType
(also _GlazingTarget.measure_type, MeasureDependency.triggers ->
frozenset[MeasureType], and the optimiser's chosen/required-type locals).
Because MeasureType is a StrEnum the change is transparent to persistence
(the `recommendation` varchar column), the optimiser group-by key, and every
`== "solar_pv"`-style comparison — so pyright now enforces the enum at every
construction site with no runtime behaviour change.

The catalogue boundary stays str: ProductRepository.get(measure_type: str)
and Product.measure_type are unchanged (they map arbitrary DB/JSON rows), so
the fake product repos in tests need no edit. Test construction helpers coerce
their str arg via MeasureType(...); direct constructions use members.

Suite green: tests/domain/modelling + orchestration + harness 253 pass + 3
xfail; pyright clean on production + tests (pre-existing moto + property-
override-rowcount baselines untouched).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 20:13:31 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
d58ac60d29 feat(modelling): MeasureType StrEnum as the canonical measure vocabulary
Introduce domain/modelling/measure_type.py — a StrEnum with one member per
modelled measure (the 15 the generators emit). A StrEnum so each member *is*
its string value: it persists straight into the `recommendation` varchar
column, is the optimiser's group-by key, and compares equal to the catalogue /
EPC strings — so it replaces the per-generator string constants with no
persistence or optimiser change.

Repoint every generator's measure-type constant/literal to a MeasureType
member (wall, solid_wall, roof, floor, glazing, lighting, ventilation,
heating, solar). Field annotations stay `str` for now; tightening them to
MeasureType is the next slice.

This is the enum the historical engine deferred (engine.py:970
"TODO - formalise property measure types into an enum") and the vocabulary the
forthcoming `considered_measures` allowlist will speak (mirroring the legacy
`inclusions`).

Suite green: tests/domain/modelling + orchestration + harness 253 pass + 3
xfail; pyright clean on the enum + generators.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 19:54:04 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
58cff932e6 fix(roof-U): flat roof, undetermined thickness, "no/limited insulation" → Table 18 age default
A flat roof lodged "Flat, no insulation" / "Flat, limited insulation" with
an undetermined insulation thickness ('ND'/'AB' → parsed None) was given the
Table 16 row-0/12mm U (2.30 / 1.50) from the description marker, regardless
of age band. Per RdSAP 10 §5.11.4 (PDF p.44) "U-values in Table 18 are used
when thickness of insulation cannot be determined" — the column (3)
flat-roof age-band default applies. The "no/limited insulation" text is
RdSAP's as-built rendering: at old bands (A-D) the column (3) default IS
2.30 (so those certs are unchanged), but a newer-band flat roof carries the
age-band insulation as built (band H = 0.35, F = 0.68, not 2.30).

Confirmed by the description-vs-rating audit: cert 0390-2753 (top-floor
flat, band H, "Flat, no insulation", thickness 'ND') lodges roof
energy_efficiency_rating = 3 (moderate U), NOT the rating-1 that 2.30
implies — and drove a -31.78 SAP error (roof 202 W/K over 88 m²). Same
masked-at-old-bands structure as the cavity-U fix: accurate at A-D where the
default coincides with 2.30, catastrophic only where it diverges.

Pitched roofs are deliberately NOT rerouted (their "no insulation" text is
load-bearing — the broad 'ND'→Table-18 reroute was empirically net-negative
for pitched lofts).

API SAP eval: 52.1% -> 53.1% within 0.5; <1.0 67.2% -> 68.0%; median |err|
0.475 -> 0.467; mean|err| 1.497 -> 1.424; flat-roof bucket within-0.5
23% -> 35% (11 improved, 2 regressed).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 19:26:03 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
2e466ed1e6 fix(wall-U): as-built "insulated (assumed)" cavity uses Cavity-as-built row, not Filled cavity
An as-built cavity wall (wall_insulation_type=4) lodged "Cavity wall, as
built, insulated (assumed)" was routed to RdSAP 10 Table 6's "Filled
cavity" row. Per Table 6 (England, PDF p.41) the Filled-cavity row carries
the "†" footnote ("assumed as built") only at age bands I-M, where it is
numerically identical to "Cavity as built"; at bands A-H the Filled-cavity
row represents a GENUINE fill, not the as-built assumption. So an as-built
cavity must use the "Cavity as built" row at all bands (band G/H = 0.60,
not the filled 0.35).

This is the same latent A-H bug slice S0380.210 fixed for the "partial
insulation (assumed)" variant but left in place for "insulated (assumed)"
by a legacy production convention. The API SAP-accuracy cohort over-rated
"Cavity wall, as built, insulated (assumed)" certs at bands G/H by a clean
+1.38 / +1.61 SAP median (n=37 / n=18); bands I-M were unaffected (rows
coincide), confirming the spec mechanism per-band.

Retires the `_cavity_described_as_filled` description sniffer — as-built
cavities now always use the as-built row regardless of the rendered
insulation adjective; a genuine retrofit fill is still caught by the
explicit wall_insulation_type=2 branch.

API SAP eval: 48.6% -> 52.1% within 0.5; <1.0 63.8% -> 67.2%; median |err|
0.548 -> 0.475; mean|err| 1.561 -> 1.497; 909 computed, 0 raises.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 18:51:17 +00:00
Jun-te Kim
b48700e964 Merge branch 'main' into feature/junte+khalim 2026-06-08 16:56:15 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
43d4c67d12 fix(hw-cost): WHC-903 immersion off-peak HW bills at Table 13 high-rate fraction
Electric immersion water heating (WHC 903) on an off-peak tariff billed
100% at the low rate, under-costing the dwelling and over-rating it
(median +0.98 SAP across the off-peak WHC-903 API cohort, n=57).

SAP 10.2 Table 12a "Immersion water heater" row (PDF p.191) routes the
water-heating column to Table 13 (PDF p.197): the high-rate fraction is
a function of cylinder volume V, assumed occupancy N (Appendix J Table
1b) and single-/dual-immersion. The remainder bills at the low rate.
Table 13 Note 2 supplies exact equations equivalent to the rounded grid;
`electric_dhw_high_rate_fraction` evaluates them (validated against the
published 110 L grid cells). Per Note 1 the 10-hour equations cover any
tariff with >=10 hours/day low-rate (so 18-/24-hour use that column).

Immersion code mapping CONFIRMED 1=dual, 2=single via RdSAP 10 §10.5
(PDF p.54 — an immersion is "assumed dual" on a dual/off-peak meter)
cross-checked against the API cohort (code 1 sits 3.6:1 on dual meters;
code 2 on single meters). This INVERTS an earlier handover's unverified
"1=single, 2=dual" note — the dual code carries Table 13's small
fraction, matching the cohort over-rating direction; the single mapping
overshot in a prototype.

API SAP eval: 47.6% -> 48.6% within 0.5; <1.0 62.6% -> 63.8%;
mean|err| 1.586 -> 1.561; 909 computed, 0 raises.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 15:45:41 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
faf29942ba fix(secondary): apply Table 11 secondary when lodged via description only (§A.2.2)
`_secondary_fraction` keyed "has a secondary" off the integer
`secondary_heating_type` code. The gov-API path surfaces the secondary as a
DESCRIPTION instead (`secondary_heating.description`, e.g. "Portable electric
heaters (assumed)") and leaves the integer code None. So a gas/oil boiler
main (not in the §A.2.2 forced-secondary set) with an assumed portable-electric
secondary dropped the secondary entirely (sec_kWh=0), under-costing the
dwelling and over-rating its SAP.

Per RdSAP §A.2.2 / SAP 10.2 Table 11, a lodged secondary is costed at its
Table 11 fraction (cat-2 boiler = 0.10, billed at standard-rate electricity per
the §A.2.2 assumed portable-electric default). New
`_has_lodged_secondary_description` treats a real `secondary_heating.description`
as a lodged secondary; passed to `_secondary_fraction` at both call sites. The
description is authoritative — same lesson as floor_heat_loss / roof codes.
(Electric-storage mains were unaffected: they force the secondary already.)

Also adds the Table 11 fraction for main_heating_category=8 (electric underfloor,
"Integrated storage/direct-acting electric systems" = 0.10) — the strict-raise
surfaced this latent gap once cat-8 mains were routed through the lookup.

Eval: 909 computed, 0 raises, 46.9% -> 47.6% within 0.5 (+13 certs: 420 -> 433),
mean|err| 1.633 -> 1.586. 13 improved / 1 regressed (2610, a cat-10 room-heater
cert with an independent over-count). Bucket "Portable electric heaters"
median +2.73 -> ~0 on the gas/cat-2 subset (cat-7 storage was already correct).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 14:28:22 +00:00
Daniel Roth
aaeb339254 Logging plus invoke locally bypassing subtask handler 2026-06-08 13:32:59 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
5e7ef5c7ff fix(control): no boiler interlock for TRVs+bypass controls 2107/2111 (SAP §9.4.11)
`_BOILER_NO_ROOM_THERMOSTAT_CONTROL_CODES` held only {2101, 2102} — it was
keyed off the Table 4e "+0.6 °C" annotation rather than the actual interlock
criterion. SAP 10.2 §9.4.11 (PDF p.66): "A boiler system with no room
thermostat (or a device equivalent in this context, such as a flow switch or
boiler energy manager) ... must be considered as having no interlock", and
"TRVs alone ... do not perform the boiler interlock function". A fixed bypass
likewise provides no interlock (it keeps water circulating when TRVs close).

So control 2107 ("Programmer, TRVs and bypass") and 2111 ("TRVs and bypass")
lack interlock and must take the Table 4c(2) −5pp Space+DHW seasonal-efficiency
adjustment and the Table 4f footnote a) ×1.3 circulation-pump uplift — both of
which they previously missed. (2108 flow switch / 2109 boiler energy manager
carry interlock-equivalent devices → excluded; 2103-2106/2113 have a room
thermostat.) All affected certs are cat-2 gas boilers, where §9.4.11 applies.

Eval: 909 computed, 45.3% → 46.9% within 0.5 (+14 certs: 412 → 426), mean|err|
1.659 → 1.633. Bucket means corrected: control 2107 +1.50 → +0.32 (n=38),
2111 +1.48 → +0.16 (n=4). 32 improved / 10 regressed (all small; the six that
crossed out of ±0.5 were coincidentally-accurate offsetting-error certs).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 13:17:15 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
24492aa4ba Merge origin/main into feature/bill-derivation (calculator + mapper fixes)
Pulls in 42 commits of calculator/mapper accuracy fixes from the per-cert
mapper-validation and floor/roof/heating fronts.

Conflict resolutions:
- mapper `_is_elmhurst_roof_window`: main dropped the branch's "wall location →
  vertical" guard (it broke cert 000516's rooflight), but that re-broke cert
  001431's two External-wall U>3.0 windows (which must stay vertical). The two
  certs lodge a BYTE-IDENTICAL §11 row, so neither location nor U separates
  them — the real discriminator is the room-in-roof context. Replaced the
  unconditional U>3.0 backstop with one gated on the BP having a room-in-roof
  (`_elmhurst_bp_has_room_in_roof`): 000516's Main BP has a "Room in roof type
  1" (→ rooflight), 001431's does not (→ vertical). Validated against BOTH —
  full Elmhurst worksheet suite 1038 pass + the 001431 window-extraction pin.
- property_postgres_repository: kept main's `ids_by_uprn` method + the branch's
  `_restrictions_of` helper.
- sap_fuel.py: the branch relocated it to domain/billing/ (already carrying
  main's to_table_32_code normalization), so kept the old path deleted.

Fallout from main's fabric fixes (validated by the boiler-3 real-cert pin which
still reproduces at delta 0):
- re-pinned the boiler-1 + boiler-instant-hw ASHP snapshot scores;
- main's §14.2 gas-boiler main-fuel derivation resolved the BGB/102 baseline
  gap, so `test_gas_boiler_instant_hw_before_baselines` is now a passing test
  (was an xfail tripwire).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 13:12:21 +00:00
Daniel Roth
bd4ad9022c Merge branch 'main' into feature/handle-new-magicplan-response-structure 2026-06-08 12:36:27 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
09cb8ceb9d feat(modelling): recommend_solar — eligibility + competing array Options
Slice 6 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). `recommend_solar`
emits one "Solar PV" Recommendation of up to five conservatively-sized configs
× {no battery, battery} = ≤10 competing Options (a free Optimiser candidate).
Each Option folds a SolarOverlay built from the chosen config: one
PhotovoltaicArray per non-north segment (peak_power = panels × panelCapacityW /
1000; orientation/pitch from geometry; generation-calibrated overshading),
is_dwelling_export_capable set True absolutely, a diverter when the dwelling
has a cylinder (None for a combi), a 5 kWh battery for the battery variant, and
the per-config composite cost from Products.solar_bundle_cost.

Eligibility = house/bungalow ∧ not listed/heritage (blocks_internal, the same
gate as ASHP — a conservation area does NOT block PV) ∧ no existing PV ∧ a
feasible SolarPotential. Flats and existing-PV top-up are deferred.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 12:14:24 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
46bca47365 feat(modelling): Products.solar_bundle_cost + committed solar rate sheet
Slice 7 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). Adds the
composite per-dwelling Solar PV cost on the Products collection (ADR-0025
pattern): pv_system(kWp band, nearest of the ECOPV06-13 EA bands 1.0→4.5 kWp,
floor/cap at the ends) + scaffolding(£900 first elevation + £450 each
additional, default 2) + enabling base (EICR £150 + DNO £50 + 2-way consumer
unit £330) + [diverter £980 if cylinder] + [battery if the with-battery
variant] → Cost(total, contingency_rate 0.15).

Rates are data in the committed solar_rates.json (Southern Housing "SOLAR PV &
BATTERY" EA column), loaded via SolarRates.from_json/.default and injectable.
The £2,000 / 5 kWh battery is NOT on the rate sheet — a flagged estimate
(battery_estimate=true), confirmed with the user to stand in until a DB rate.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 12:10:27 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
9dddfa00c8 feat(modelling): SolarOverlay + _fold_solar (sixth overlay surface)
Slice 5 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). Adds the flat
`SolarOverlay` and `_fold_solar`, the sixth Simulation Overlay surface: like
the ventilation/lighting overlays it targets no building part and folds its
fields onto `sap_energy_source` (home of the SAP Appendix M PV inputs) —
photovoltaic_arrays (absolute target, one PhotovoltaicArray per non-north
segment, replacing the dwelling's existing arrays), pv_diverter_present,
pv_connection, is_dwelling_export_capable (set True absolutely), pv_batteries.
Omitted fields leave the baseline unchanged (combi → no diverter); the
baseline is never mutated.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 10:10:15 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
c03f4ff123 feat(modelling): conservative PV config selection (5-config spread)
Slice 4 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026).
`select_conservative_configs` turns Google's full solarPanelConfigs ladder
into up to five competing array configs for the Optimiser: drop north-facing
planes (within 30° of due north, wrap-aware), cap usable panels at ~70% of
maxArrayPanelsCount (imagery misses obstructions; MCS edge setback), collapse
rungs that trim to the same usable size keeping the higher-generation layout,
then sample five spanning min→max by expected generation. Returns () when
nothing usable remains.

Real London example → 5 rungs at 4/12/19/26/34 panels (all ≤34.3 = 70% of
49); synthetic cases pin the north-drop and the 70% cap.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 10:02:15 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
82c3422788 feat(modelling): generation-calibrated PV overshading derivation
Slice 3 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). Per roof segment,
back-solve the effective overshading factor ZPV from Google's expected
generation against SAP's own unshaded annual output:

    ZPV = (yearlyEnergyDcKwh × 0.955) / (0.8 × kWp × S)

reusing the calculator's Appendix U3.3 annual solar radiation S via a new
public seam `pv_annual_solar_radiation_kwh_per_m2`. Dividing Google's
generation by SAP's S cancels orientation/tilt and isolates shading; the
result snaps to the RdSAP bucket {1:1.0, 2:0.8, 3:0.5, 4:0.35} via the
ADR-0026 midpoint cutpoints (≥0.90→1, 0.65–0.90→2, 0.425–0.65→3, <0.425→4;
ZPV>1→1). The real London example's planes all back-solve to ZPV>1 → code 1.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 09:59:48 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f31d5bcff9 feat(modelling): typed SolarPotential projection over Google buildingInsights
Slice 2 of the Solar PV Recommendation Generator (ADR-0026). Adds the
strictly-typed `SolarPotential` domain projection over the raw Google Solar
`buildingInsights` JSON that Ingestion persists (SolarRepository): the
`solarPanelConfigs` ladder, each rung broken into its roof segments with
Google's continuous azimuth/tilt mapped to the SAP octant
(`azimuth_to_sap_octant`, 0°=N clockwise → 1=N..8=NW, matching the
calculator's ORIENTATION_BY_SAP10_CODE) and RdSAP §11.1 pitch code
(`pitch_to_sap_code`, snap to {0→1,30→2,45→3,60→4,90→5}).

Pinned against the real London buildingInsights example (mirrored into
fixtures from the user-provided RTF): 400 W panels, maxArrayPanelsCount 49,
46-rung ladder, per-segment SE/NW/NE/SW octants at ~32° → pitch code 2.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-08 09:55:55 +00:00
Daniel Roth
7a1aaf4965 Window carries no opening_type — ventilation table is the sole persistence point 🟩 2026-06-08 09:45:15 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
8741fbdfac fix(floor): floor_heat_loss=3 → above partially heated space, U=0.7 (RdSAP §3.12)
The API `floor_heat_loss` code is authoritative — confirmed by joining each
single-BP cert's code to its independent `floors[].description` (which the
gov register publishes alongside the code):

  code 1 ↔ "To external air"        (exposed,        9/9)
  code 2 ↔ "To unheated space"      (semi-exposed,   6/6)
  code 3 ↔ "(other premises below)" (partially htd,  9/9)
  code 6 ↔ "(another dwelling below)" (party,      176/176)
  code 7 ↔ "Solid"/"Suspended …"    (ground,     all)

Code 3 was mis-mapped to "To unheated space" (semi-exposed) and, on
mid-/top-floor flats, had its floor area zeroed entirely by the
dwelling-level exposure heuristic. RdSAP 10 §3.12 (PDF p.25) classes a
flat's floor over non-domestic "other premises … heated, but at different
times" as "above a partially heated space" → the §5.14 (PDF p.47) constant
U=0.7 W/m²K — distinct from semi-exposed (Table 20) and party (no loss).

Fix: the mapper sets `is_above_partially_heated_space` on the floor=0
dimension for code 3 (string → "(other premises below)" for fidelity), and
the heat-transmission step lets that per-BP lodgement override the flat
suppression upward (mirroring the existing exposed / "another dwelling
below" overrides). The cascade already routes is_above_partial → U=0.7.

Re-pins golden cert 7536-3827: its Ext2 (bp3) lodges code 3, but the cert's
lossy `floors[]` summary dropped that description, so a prior agent guessed
"code 3 = ground" (U=1.12) and concluded the residual was an irreducible
"register-rounding" artifact. It was this bug: Ext2 floor U 1.12 → 0.70,
PE -6.1952 → -5.6414, CO2 -0.1639 → -0.1492 (both toward 0), SAP unchanged.

Eval: 909 computed, 45.1% → 45.3% within 0.5, mean|err| 1.702 → 1.659,
<1.0 59.5% → 60.2%. 13 code-3 certs improve (0380 +3.71 → -0.63, 0350
+7.82 → +0.83, 2610 +7.47 → -1.29); the few that overshoot were already
failing and carry independent fabric bugs (9763's walls = 8 W/K for 60 m²).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 22:25:04 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
b40e0f67b8 fix(floor): exposed floor on a flat carries heat loss (RdSAP §3.12)
A mid-/top-floor flat whose lowest floor is lodged as an exposed floor
(API floor_heat_loss=1) had its floor area zeroed by the dwelling-level
exposure heuristic, which keys only on the flat label and defaults
has_exposed_floor=False (assuming the floor sits over another *heated*
dwelling). RdSAP 10 §3.12 (PDF p.25) is explicit:

  "Otherwise the floor area of the flat ... is:
     - an exposed floor if there is an open space below"

i.e. a flat cantilevered over a passageway IS a heat-loss floor on
Table 20. The per-BP `is_exposed_floor` lodgement is authoritative and
now overrides the dwelling-level suppression upward, mirroring the
existing "another dwelling below" party override (which suppresses
downward). The code-1↔"E To external air" enum is confirmed by the
paired API+Summary worksheet certs (0350, 3800).

Eval: 45.1% → 45.3% within 0.5 (909 computed); cert 3836 +6.79 → +0.77,
5717 +1.31 → -0.07 and 0997 +0.76 → +0.05 cross into <0.5. Two
already-failing under-rated certs (7636, 2241) shift further — both are
dominated by independent cost-side over-counts the exposed floor merely
unmasks (7636 walls = 8.98 W/K for 33.87 m² is the real defect).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 21:47:52 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
a8e5563ace fix(warm-air): Table 11 secondary fraction for category 9 → 0.10
main_heating_category=9 (warm-air systems, NOT heat pump) had no entry
in _SECONDARY_HEATING_FRACTION_BY_CATEGORY, so a warm-air main with a
lodged secondary raised UnmappedSapCode in
_secondary_heating_fraction_for_category — the last calc_raise in the
API sample (cert 0380-2197-2590-2996-2715: warm air mains gas code 506 +
electric room-heater secondary).

SAP 10.2 Table 11 (p.188): a gas/oil warm-air unit falls under "All gas,
liquid and solid fuel systems" (0.10), and electric warm air under
"Other electric systems" (also 0.10) — so 0.10 regardless of fuel. The
warm-air efficiency (Table 4a code→eff: 506→0.70) and Table 4f fan
energy were already wired; this was the only missing dispatch entry.

0380 now computes: SAP 78.1 vs lodged 77 (+1.1; the residual is per-cert
fabric/PV, not the warm-air dispatch — a faithful 0380 worksheet isn't
available, sim case 28 diverges at SAP 57 / code 502 / condensing unit).
Eval: zero raises remain, computed 908→909; mean|err| 1.703→1.702.
Regression green (2448 pass incl. golden 6035 + cohort); pyright
net-zero (44=44).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 20:26:32 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f40485887d fix(u-value): RdSAP10 ignores gov-API wall insulation conductivity → §5.8 default λ
The gov EPC API field wall_insulation_thermal_conductivity is OUTPUT
metadata in the openly-published EPC, not an input to the RdSAP10 tool
(Elmhurst) that produced it — its wall entry is Type + Insulation +
thickness only, with no conductivity field. So the RdSAP10 reduced-data
method always uses the SAP 10.2 §5.8 (p.41) default λ=0.04 W/m·K,
whatever code the register lodged.

`_resolve_wall_insulation_lambda_w_per_mk` previously mapped only code 1
(→0.04) and RAISED on others, blocking cert 2090-6909-8060-5201-6401
(code 3 on an internally-insulated 360mm solid-brick wall) with
calc_raise:ValueError. Now it returns the §5.8 default for any code.

Validated: 2090 computes to SAP 73.97 vs lodged 74 (err -0.03); λ of
0.04 / 0.03 / 0.025 all round to 74, and Elmhurst exposes no conductivity
input, so 0.04 is the spec-faithful RdSAP10 value. Eval computed
905→906; mean|err| 1.708→1.706. Regression green (only the 2 pre-existing
stone-wall U failures); pyright net-zero (69=69).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-07 18:39:01 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
dd92ba5972 refactor(modelling): load ASHP rates from a committed costs file
Slice 10 of ADR-0025 costing. The Southern Housing rate table moves from code
constants into ashp_rates.json (structured rows the flat scalar catalogue can't
hold), loaded via AshpRates.from_json. Products takes an injected AshpRates
(default: the committed sheet), so rates are now data -- tunable (e.g.
reuse_distribution_fraction) without a code change, and ready for ETL/DB-supplied
rates later. Behaviour-preserving: the 6 pinned cost tests still hold against the
default, plus a new test proving injected rates drive the total.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 23:19:53 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
449d8c5b95 fix(hw): direct-acting electric boiler (191) → zero primary circuit loss
SAP 10.2 Table 3 (PDF p.160) names "Direct-acting electric boiler"
verbatim in the primary-loss zero list (alongside electric immersion,
combi, CPSU, integral-vessel heat pump). RdSAP 10 §12 (p.62) classifies
SAP code 191 as the direct-acting electric boiler. Its cylinder is
immersion-heated with no primary pipework, so no primary circuit loss
applies — but `_primary_loss_applies` had no 191 branch, so a 191 main
(main_heating_category 2, "Boiler and radiators, electric") fell through
to the cat-{1,2} boiler branch and accrued ~1177 kWh/yr of phantom
primary loss on the electric-flat segment.

Validated against the cert-2474 worksheet: §4 (59) primary loss = 0,
(64) HW output 1760 (cylinder) + (64a) shower 581. Cert 2474 HW kWh
3585 → 2408; SAP 64.66 → 70.35 (the residual to the lodged 78 is an
Unknown-meter data-fidelity artifact — the register recorded meter_type=3
"Unknown" but the lodged rating used an 18-hour off-peak meter, per RdSAP
§12 / the example worksheets).

Eval mean|err| 1.720 → 1.708 (headline 45.0%, flat ±1 cert — the
electric-flat segment is dominated by the meter data-fidelity artifact).
Regression green (2448 pass incl. golden 6035 + ASHP cohort 1e-4);
pyright net-zero.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 21:31:27 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f06a048a6f feat(modelling): ASHP option carries the composite per-dwelling cost
Slice 9 of ADR-0025 costing. _ashp_option now prices via Products.ashp_bundle_
cost(ashp_cost_inputs(epc)) instead of the flat catalogue scalar; the catalogue
row is still read for its material_id. Pinned on boiler-3: gas reuse dwelling
composes to 15600.60 (decommission 720 + pump 9720 + cylinder 2382.60 + reuse
distribution 2778) with 25% contingency.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 21:17:06 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
6f136a8d6a feat(modelling): classify ASHP existing system by fuel code
Slice 8 of ADR-0025 costing. _existing_system keys on the heating fuel code,
not the mains_gas flag -- the 001431 electric fixtures all lodge mains_gas=True
(gas available at the property) while heating electrically (fuel 30), which the
flag-based check misread as gas (and would have wrongly reused a non-existent
wet system). Electric/gas/oil/LPG map to their categories; empty details ->
NONE; unrecognised -> OTHER (gas-line fallback).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 21:10:45 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
f182f36802 feat(modelling): ashp_cost_inputs reads a dwelling into AshpCostInputs
Slice 7 of ADR-0025 costing: the modelling-layer interpretation half of the
split. ashp_cost_inputs derives existing system (mains_gas/fuel/SAP-code),
size band (floor area <= 75 m2), design heat loss (floor_area x 0.05 -- the
chosen proxy over HLC, ADR updated), radiator count (habitable + 3, floor-area
fallback) and reusable-wet-system flag. Catalogue math (Products) stays
EPC-free. ADR-0025 updated to record the floor-area pump-sizing choice.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:59:27 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
9860f06864 feat(modelling): ASHP decommission fallbacks for off-sheet systems
Slice 4 of ADR-0025 costing. ASHP is offered to any house regardless of fuel,
so _decommission now prices a fallback instead of raising: no system -> 0,
electric room/panel heaters -> electric-storage line, anything else -> gas
line (representative default). Never blocks ASHP eligibility.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:42:14 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
22612a19eb feat(modelling): ASHP reuse case prices flush + half distribution
Slice 3 of ADR-0025 costing. When the dwelling has a reusable wet system,
_distribution charges a power-flush (168) plus _REUSE_DISTRIBUTION_FRACTION
(0.5) of the full radiator band -- a documented stand-in for partial radiator
upsizing at ASHP flow temps, the headline uncertainty in the model. Without a
wet system the full new distribution is priced.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:41:06 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
cf7c2e017d feat(modelling): ASHP decommission cost by existing system
Slice 2 of ADR-0025 costing. _decommission maps the existing system to its
Southern Housing line: gas/oil flat 720, LPG 960 (tank+fuel removal),
electric-storage 570/840 by property-size band. Unmapped systems raise for
now -- the no-system/electric-other/other fallbacks land in the next slice.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:36:12 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
d23b84209d feat(modelling): Products.ashp_bundle_cost composite ASHP cost (tracer)
First slice of the per-dwelling ASHP bundle costing (ADR-0025). Products is
the rich catalogue collection over Product, owning the catalogue math: given
a typed AshpCostInputs it sums the applicable Southern Housing rate lines
(decommission + heat-pump band + fixed cylinder + full wet distribution) into
a Cost with the separate 25% ASHP contingency. Pure -- no EpcPropertyData or
calculator. Pinned exact (1e-9) against the real rate sheet. Reuse branch,
decommission variants, fallbacks, band edges and radiator clamp follow.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 20:32:54 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
2bc73fb08d fix(cost): HP-DHW from PCDB heat pump bills Table 12a ASHP_APP_N WH split
When DHW is heated by the main heat pump (WHC 901/902/914 = "from main
system") and the main carries a PCDB Table 362 record,
`_hot_water_fuel_cost_gbp_per_kwh` billed the electric HW at 100% off-peak
low rate (its long-standing TODO). SAP 10.2 Table 12a Grid 1 WH column
(PDF p.191) puts HP-DHW on the ASHP/GSHP-from-database row: 0.70
high-rate fraction at 7-hour and 10-hour → 0.70×14.68 + 0.30×7.50 =
12.526 p/kWh (10-hour), not 7.50 p. The low-rate collapse over-credited
the cat-4 HP-DHW cluster.

Fix: pass the cert WHC into the helper and, for HP-DHW (WHC ∈ {901,902,
914} + PCDB-HP main), bill at the ASHP_APP_N WH blended rate. Electric
IMMERSION (WHC 903) is a different Table 12a row (off-peak immersion 0.17
/ Table 13) and stays on the 100%-low-rate fallback until that slice
lands.

cat-4 cluster (20 certs): mean|err| 2.43→2.11, mean signed +0.06→-0.52
(now per-cert scatter, no systematic bias); cert 9472 +6.4→+3.2, 2789
+6.8→+4.0, 4135 +2.7→within 0.5. Headline mean|err| 1.727→1.720.
Regression green (2447 pass incl. golden 6035 + ASHP cohort at 1e-4);
pyright net-zero.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 19:54:01 +00:00
Khalim Conn-Kowlessar
e41a0bc0d7 fix(cost): PCDB heat pump without SAP code bills Table 12a ASHP_APP_N split
A heat pump that resolves via its PCDB Table 362 index alone (API path,
data_source=1, no Table-4a SAP code) had sap_main_heating_code=None, so
`_table_12a_system_for_main` fell through the 211-227/521-524 code-range
gate to None → the "100% off-peak low-rate" fallback. On a Dual meter
(RdSAP §12 Rule 3 routes heat pumps to the 10-hour tariff) this billed
space heating at 7.50 p/kWh instead of the SAP 10.2 Table 12a Grid 1
(PDF p.191) ASHP/GSHP-from-database row: 0.80 high-rate fraction →
0.80×14.68 + 0.20×7.50 = 13.244 p/kWh. The collapse over-credited the
whole cat-4 heat-pump cluster.

Fix: route any main with a PCDB heat-pump record to ASHP_APP_N regardless
of SAP code (a Table 362 record IS an Appendix-N heat pump by
definition). ASHP_APP_N and GSHP_APP_N share the 0.80 SH fraction at
7h/10h, so ASHP_APP_N is the canonical Appendix-N row for the SH split.

cat-4 cluster (20 certs): within-0.5 45%→50%, mean signed +1.43→+0.06,
mean|err| 3.81→2.43; cert 9472 +15.0→+6.4, 2789 +13.4→+6.8. Headline
45.0%→45.1%, mean|err| 1.757→1.727. Regression green (only the
pre-existing test_total_floor_area fails); pyright net-zero.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-06 19:48:37 +00:00